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FIU

Florida International 27 at Central Michigan 31

CMU
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 186Pregame prior+0.8Home team on offense−26.6Garbage-time factor−10.8Score differential−5.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:51: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +7.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:33: Kamareon Williams 3 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick), (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +14.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:34: Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +14.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. FG · Q4 4:06: Chase Gabriel 28 yd FG MISSED — FIU win probability +11.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:11: Josh Rolston kickoff for 63 yds , Lexington Joseph return for 23 yds to the FlaIn 10 — FIU win probability +10.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:24CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:40FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:25CMU 4th & 4 at FIU 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:20FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:09FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:24CMU 4th & 5 at FIU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:11FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:36CMU 4th & 4 at FIU 17, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:52CMU 4th & 13 at FIU 36, down 4
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:44CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:57FIU 4th & 27 at FIU 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−4.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:42CMU 4th & 19 at FIU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−3.3
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:01CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:13FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:13FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:17CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:54FIU 4th & 11 at CMU 34, up 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.1 ptsPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%−2.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:05FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, up 1
    Close callPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:06FIU 4th & 9 at CMU 11, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−3.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−27.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:20CMU 4th & 11 at FIU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−3.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:00FIU 4th & 2 at CMU 49, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:51FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:33FIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:34CMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3174% → 74%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
73.9%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 1 yd to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+4
73.9%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 4 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+7
73.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for 7 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4427% → 27%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
73.5%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
73.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Nate JeffersonSimilar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
73.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
73.5%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 39 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for no gain to the CMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:1574% → 73%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
73.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 7 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+9
73.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Remi Simmons for 9 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
73.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
73.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Marion Lukes for 1 yd to the CMich 30Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+16
73.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 16 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
73.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+16
73.7%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 16 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
73.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Remi SimmonsSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
73.8%
Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+4
73.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
73.3%
Marshall Meeder 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0527% → 26%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
73.2%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
73.2%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-6
73.4%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Tico Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+1
73.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 42 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 1 yd to the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 37 yds · 2:0873% → 73%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
72.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 25 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
73.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.5%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
73.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Joel Wilson for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
73.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:0327% → 27%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
72.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
72.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D'vonte PriceSimilar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-8
73.1%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Amir Siddiq for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 18
OWN 23
+4
73.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 4 yds to the CMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:4573% → 72%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
72.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
73.2%
De'Javion Stepney run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
73.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
73.6%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
73.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
73.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 25
0
72.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4928% → 27%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
72.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
71.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jackson McDonald) to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 14
OWN 33
0
71.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+8
72.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 8 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
71.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
72.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:3571% → 71%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
71.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 11Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+17
71.1%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 17 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
71.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+15
71.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
72.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-30
73.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Personal Foul Personal Foul (-30 Yards) to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
73.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+13
72.2%
Jacob Sirmon run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
73.1%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+6
72.4%
Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
73.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
71.2%
Marshall Meeder 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:3329% → 40%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
70.6%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+45
70.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 45 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
67.9%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+8
67.7%
D'vonte Price run for 8 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
67.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+31
60.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:5064% → 60%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
63.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
65.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+10
65.6%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 10 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
66.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
66.4%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-8
65.3%
Jacob Sirmon sacked by Rishard Dames for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
61.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Delay Of Game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
60.0%
Luke Elzinga punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 1:1940% → 55%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
60.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+11
60.3%
D'vonte Price run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
59.7%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+11
59.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 11 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
58.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D'vonte PriceSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+75
58.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 75 yds to the CMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.0%
Kamareon Williams 3 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick), (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4447% → 45%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
46.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 10 yds to the CMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
46.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Joel Wilson for 7 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-10
47.7%
Sirmon,Jacob pass incomplete to Wilson,Joel PENALTY CMU Holding (Ferris,Tyden) 10 yards from CMU34 to CMU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
46.2%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Remi SimmonsSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+8
45.1%
Jacob Sirmon run for 8 yds to the CMich 32 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
45.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:1050% → 65%
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
50.4%
Kalil Pimpleton run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
64.8%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
57.5%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 2:0342% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.0%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-14
58.5%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Troy Hairston II for a loss of 14 yards to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 7
+1
59.9%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+5
60.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 41 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1562% → 61%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
61.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 26 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
63.4%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Kimbrough,Jamezz) 5 yards from FIU18 to FIU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+4
63.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 19
OPP 27
0
61.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 19
OPP 27
0
59.2%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+45
60.5%
Marshall Meeder 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:1040% → 45%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+41
60.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 41 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
56.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 8 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-5
56.1%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Finau,Sione) 5 yards from CMU24 to CMU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
56.1%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+24
58.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 24 yds to the CMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
54.9%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3161% → 59%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 25Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.0%
Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.5%
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 7 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
59.2%
Luke Elzinga punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:4841% → 42%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
59.1%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
57.6%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
58.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 14 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
56.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 1 yd to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+2
56.6%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
57.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
58.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 ydsSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
58.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5660% → 55%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
59.5%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMich 18Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+4
59.3%
Daniel Richardson run for 4 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+2
57.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+6
55.2%
Luke Elzinga punt blocked by Rishard Dames blocked by Rishard Dames for a TD , Rishard Dames returns for 6 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:0359% → 60%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 9 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
61.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kalil PimpletonSimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
59.5%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Tevin Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 43 Daniel Richardson fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Josh Valentine-Turner , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2048% → 46%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
51.9%
D'vonte Price run for 10 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
50.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 1 yd Bryce Singleton fumbled, forced by Alonzo McCoy, recovered by FlaIn Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
49.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+2
49.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 2 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
54.5%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5755% → 61%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
55.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+29
55.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 29 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
60.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
61.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
60.2%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
60.9%
Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete to Sullivan,JaCorey PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Sullivan,JaCorey) 15 yards from FIU38 to CMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 25
OWN 47
+11
57.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 11 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+3
57.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+24
57.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Myles Bailey for 24 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
62.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
60.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5249% → 49%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.2%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
50.7%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
51.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
50.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 1:5352% → 60%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
52.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+30
52.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 30 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
58.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+11
58.6%
Marion Lukes run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
60.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Levar Gumms for 8 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
60.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Dallas DixonSimilar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+11
58.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 11 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
59.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 14 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:0655% → 78%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
44.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 21 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
40.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 10 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
40.0%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
40.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D'vonte Price for 3 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+29
40.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 29 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
37.8%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the CMich 11Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
31.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
34.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
22.4%
Chase Gabriel 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:4632% → 27%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+38
31.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 38 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
38.8%
Daniel Richardson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
38.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
38.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 6
OPP 38
-5
34.1%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FIU38 to FIU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
27.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to JaCorey SullivanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:2086% → 88%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
13.8%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
50
+1
12.9%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
13.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
11.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 30TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:4222% → 30%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
21.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 28 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
26.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 18 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
32.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Remi SimmonsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
31.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 7 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+27
30.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 27 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 31INT
12 plays · 72 yds · 1:1189% → 96%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
11.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
11.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+24
7.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 24 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
6.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
6.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D'vonte Price for 12 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+36
5.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 36 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
4.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
4.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
4.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+95.5
TD · Q2 0:34
Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+14.4
TD · Q2 1:33
Kamareon Williams 3 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick), (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com