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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 39 at Charlotte 42

CLT
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2021 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:42 · Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 00:42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:04: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 18 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +17.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:16: Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 51 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +20.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Calvin Camp run for 44 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +19.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:27: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 19 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +14.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:21: Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 16 yds for a TD pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce (Chase Cunningham pass to Jaylin Lane for Two-Point Conversion) — MTSU win probability +28.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:23MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MTSU 4th & 1 at CLT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−1.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:42CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49MTSU 4th & 6 at CLT 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:03CLT 4th & 8 at MTSU 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:03MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:25CLT 4th & 5 at MTSU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−8.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:17MTSU 4th & 4 at CLT 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:06CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:10MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−2.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:22MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:00CLT 4th & 1 at MTSU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−8.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−28.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:25CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:57CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:15MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:04CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:16MTSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:27CLT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:00CLT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:12MTSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.6%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:3738% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
61.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
61.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
61.7%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+1
61.7%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
61.7%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Jalar Holley for 0 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
61.7%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 4:5862% → 65%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+22
61.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 22 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
61.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
61.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
50
0
62.0%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 10
50
+12
61.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
62.0%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+20
61.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 20 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
62.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jairus Mack for 3 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
65.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 17 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5836% → 39%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.2%
Chase Cunningham run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
63.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
63.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-5
63.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+27
63.8%
Chase Cunningham run for 27 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
63.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 21 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
63.0%
Chase Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+5
63.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
63.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
63.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
60.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 7 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:2462% → 68%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
61.8%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
62.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Roughing the Passer on SMITH, Cody enforced (Cody Smith) to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
63.2%
ChaVon McEachern run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
63.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 9 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+12
68.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4234% → 42%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.3%
DJ England-Chisolm run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
66.1%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
66.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.6%
PENALTY MTS Unsportsmanlike Conduct CLT Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WHISENHUNT, Justin , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
66.8%
Amir Rasul run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
66.2%
CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass to the right complete for 0 yards to MARSHALL, Jimmy caught at the MTS37 and advanced to the MTS36; QB hurried by URSERY, Shedrick (BEMAH, Prince), out of bounds. PENALTY CLT Offsides on WARDLOW, Kofi enforced 5 yards from the MTS36 to the MTS41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+22
65.5%
Brad Anderson run for 22 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
65.2%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+6
65.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 6 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
65.2%
Brad Anderson run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+1
65.8%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
64.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 3 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
65.1%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
58.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 24 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2661% → 60%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
61.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
61.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
60.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
60.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
59.5%
Bailey Rice punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:5341% → 45%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
59.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 4 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+50
58.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 50 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
56.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
55.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 2 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+2
57.3%
Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
55.3%
Zeke Rankin 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:4157% → 56%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
56.7%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+16
56.7%
Calvin Camp run for 16 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
57.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
59.0%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
59.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
59.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-2
59.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
55.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0043% → 44%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
57.0%
Brad Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 11
OWN 7
0
57.2%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+5
57.5%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+5
56.1%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 47 yds , Cameron Dollar returns for 5 yds to the Charl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:1257% → 54%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
57.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (Cody Smith) to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
57.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 10 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
59.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
59.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+11
56.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
53.7%
QB Keeper CUNNINGHAM, Chase rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the MTS24, out of bounds. PENALTY MTS Holding on ROBINSON, Lance enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the MTS13 to the MTS7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 16
OWN 7
+4
53.8%
Amir Rasul run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:3554% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.1%
Calvin Camp run for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+19
56.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 19 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
57.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 25 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
58.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
58.8%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
57.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
54.3%
Jonathan Cruz 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
51.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Jimmy Marshall) to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+15
51.8%
CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for GATHINGS, Izaiah thrown to the MTS35. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on HOWARD, Geo enforced 15 yards to the MTS30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:0849% → 49%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
51.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 17 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
49.2%
Brad Anderson run for 6 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
48.3%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
49.2%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
51.0%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cameron Dollar at the Charl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 4:1352% → 73%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
52.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+14
52.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ryan Carriere for 14 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
52.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
52.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+28
50.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 28 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
56.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+1
56.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+18
56.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
73.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 18 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4833% → 55%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
67.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 12 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
66.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 12 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
45.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 51 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0451% → 48%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
50.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 4 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
50.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
48.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
48.1%
Bailey Rice punt for 56 yds, downed at the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
47.7%
QB Keeper CUNNINGHAM, Chase rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the MTS31 (WHISENHUNT, Justin), out of bounds. PENALTY MTS Holding on MARSHALL, Jimmy enforced 10 yards from the MTS24 to the MTS14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5652% → 50%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 20
OWN 14
0
48.0%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 20
OWN 14
+7
48.4%
Jaylin Lane run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+5
49.8%
Chase Cunningham run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
49.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cameron Dollar at the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:1050% → 74%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
49.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+8
49.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+4
49.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
50.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+19
52.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 19 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
54.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
74.2%
Calvin Camp run for 44 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3832% → 29%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
69.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
70.9%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 35 yds , Cameron Dollar returns for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5572% → 90%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
71.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
74.2%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant broken up by BLANKENSHIP, Reed at the MTS30. PENALTY MTS Offsides on STARLING, Jorden enforced 5 yards from the CLT48 to the MTS47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+7
75.0%
Calvin Camp run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
75.0%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+22
74.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 22 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offsides (Richard Kinley) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
76.5%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
76.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 15 yds for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive Holding (D'Mitri Emmanuel) to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+19
90.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 19 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0611% → 42%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
89.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 16 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
87.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 26 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.9%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
85.1%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+9
86.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Amir Rasul for 9 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+5
87.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
85.6%
Amir Rasul run for 3 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
57.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 16 yds for a TD pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce (Chase Cunningham pass to Jaylin Lane for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22DOWNS TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:2173% → 95%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
74.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
76.0%
Calvin Camp run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
77.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 26 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
77.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
77.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
76.0%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant broken up by ROSS, Teldrick at the MTS0. PENALTY MTS Offsides on WOOD, Zaylin enforced 5 yards from the MTS20 to the MTS15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+6
76.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
82.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.6%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:484% → 16%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
95.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (Brad Anderson) to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
95.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Brad Anderson for 18 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.9%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
95.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 2
50
+5
94.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
94.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 17 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
93.6%
Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Markees Watts) to the Charl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
83.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 12 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:21
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 16 yds for a TD pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce (Chase Cunningham pass to Jaylin Lane for Two-Point Conversion)
-28
TD · Q3 6:16
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 51 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-20.9
TD · Q3 0:00
Calvin Camp run for 44 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+19.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com