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Fordham 14 at Florida Atlantic 45

FAU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · Tim DeMorat pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:28: Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:29: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 25 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +2.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:12: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 17 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:45: Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 48 yds for a TD (Nick Leinenweber KICK) — FOR win probability +4.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:41: Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7FOR made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 13:56FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:38FOR 4th & 5 at FOR 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:40FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:14FOR 4th & 5 at FOR 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:53FOR 4th & 6 at FOR 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:56FOR 4th & 12 at FAU 32, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:37FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:00FAU 4th & 3 at FOR 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:31FOR 4th & 10 at FOR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:28FAU 4th & 4 at FOR 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:36FOR 4th & 10 at FOR 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:06FOR 4th & 10 at FOR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:42FOR 4th & 11 at FOR 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:03FOR 4th & 10 at FOR 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:22FOR 4th & 20 at FOR 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:30FOR 4th & 7 at FAU 46, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:55FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:39FOR 4th & 7 at FOR 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:08FAU 4th & 6 at FOR 6, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:22FOR 4th & 9 at FOR 40, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FOR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:13FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:18FOR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:28FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:29FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:12FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:45FOR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:41FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
97.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
97.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:182% → 3%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.6%
Fotis Kokosioulis run for 4 yds to the Fordh 41Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
97.6%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 1 yd to the Fordh 42Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
97.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
97.5%
John O'Friel punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5898% → 97%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
97.5%
James Charles run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+1
97.5%
Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-3
97.5%
James Charles run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
97.1%
Matt Hayball punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Fotis Kokosioulis at the Fordh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:263% → 3%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
97.2%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 6 yds to the Fordh 27Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-1
97.1%
Fotis Kokosioulis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 26Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
97.2%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
97.0%
John O'Friel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:0197% → 97%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
97.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Javion Posey for 7 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
97.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
97.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
97.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+6
97.0%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the Fordh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
97.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 25 yds to the Fordh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
97.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to James Charles for 19 yds to the Fordh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.1%
James Charles run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 2Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:203% → 3%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.7%
Trey Wilson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fordh 24Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
96.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 5 yds to the Fordh 29Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.7%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.6%
John O'Friel punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the FlAtl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:574% → 4%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
96.3%
Trey Wilson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
96.3%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
96.4%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 12
OPP 32
0
96.4%
John O'Friel punt for 29 yds, downed at the FlAtl 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:1996% → 96%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
96.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+5
96.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
96.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
96.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+12
96.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 12 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
96.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
96.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+3
96.4%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
95.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:37
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
95.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 9TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:194% → 7%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
95.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Wilson III for 11 yds to the Fordh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
95.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 4 yds to the Fordh 42Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
95.6%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Wilson III for 5 yds to the Fordh 47Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
95.6%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 4 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
94.9%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for 35 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
94.9%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for no gain to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
93.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 14 yds for a TD (Nick Leinenweber KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:1394% → 93%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
94.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+5
94.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+5
93.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
94.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
94.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+7
94.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
94.4%
PERRY, N'Kosi pass to the left incomplete intended for BURTON, Je'Quan thrown to the FHU7. PENALTY FHU Pass Interference on SPENCER, Brandon enforced 15 yards to the FHU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
94.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 17 yds to the Fordh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
94.6%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fordh 21Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+6
94.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 6 yds to the Fordh 15Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
94.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
92.9%
Aaron Shahriari 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:298% → 8%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
91.7%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
91.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
91.9%
John O'Friel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1793% → 92%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
92.7%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the Fordh 47Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
92.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
92.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
91.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Fotis Kokosioulis at the Fordh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:529% → 10%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-7
90.7%
Trey Wilson III run for a loss of 7 yards to the Fordh 2Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 17
OWN 2
+2
90.8%
Trey Wilson III run for 2 yds to the Fordh 4Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 15
OWN 4
+5
91.1%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Trey Wilson III for 5 yds to the Fordh 9Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
90.5%
John O'Friel punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:0892% → 94%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
91.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 17 yds to the Fordh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
92.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 6 yds to the Fordh 12Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+6
92.0%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the Fordh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.2%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:227% → 6%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.0%
John O'Friel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16END OF HALF
14 plays · 52 yds · 2:0694% → 94%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
93.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
93.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 7 yds to the Fordh 44Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+7
93.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 7 yds to the Fordh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
94.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (LaJohntay Wester) to the Fordh 42Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+4
93.5%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the Fordh 38Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+16
93.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 16 yds to the Fordh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
93.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 10 yds to the Fordh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
93.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Fordh 17Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
94.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+5
93.8%
FORDHAM Penalty, Offsides (Richard Hofus) to the Fordh 12Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
93.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the Fordh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:187% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.6%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 2 yds to the Fordh 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
92.6%
Trey Wilson III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fordh 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
93.0%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
93.0%
John O'Friel punt for 36 yds for a 1ST down , LaJohntay Wester returns for 13 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:1393% → 96%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
93.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+11
93.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 11 yds to the Fordh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the Fordh 40Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+6
93.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the Fordh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
93.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 9 yds to the Fordh 25Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+25
95.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 25 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:264% → 4%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
95.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
95.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
95.7%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
95.7%
John O'Friel punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:415% → 5%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
50
+4
94.8%
Fotis Kokosioulis run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-3
94.8%
Fotis Kokosioulis run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
95.0%
Tim DeMorat sacked by Jaylen Joyner for 0 yards to the Fordh 40Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
95.5%
John O'Friel punt for 27 yds, downed at the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:1096% → 98%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
95.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+2
96.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the Fordh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
96.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Javion Posey for 4 yds to the Fordh 41Similar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
96.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 8 yds to the Fordh 47Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
95.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 11 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
96.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+5
95.9%
FORDHAM Penalty, Offsides (Alfonzo Dixon IV) to the Fordh 36Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+9
95.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 9 yds to the Fordh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
96.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the Fordh 24Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+9
96.1%
Javion Posey run for 9 yds to the Fordh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
96.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
96.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the Fordh 12Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-5
96.0%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Javion Posey) to the Fordh 17Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+17
98.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 17 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
98.6%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 26 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.6%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-4
98.6%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fordh 47Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+7
98.7%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 7 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
98.8%
John O'Friel punt for 31 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
99.0%
James Charles run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 2
OWN 23
-10
99.0%
PERRY, N'Kosi pass up the middle incomplete intended for LUFT, Lucas thrown to the FAU25; QB hurried by WRIGHT, Tristan. PENALTY FAU Holding on NEAL, Chaz enforced 10 yards from the FAU23 to the FAU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+24
99.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Eddie Williams for 24 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.0%
FORDHAM Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ryan Greenhagen) to the Fordh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Javion Posey for no gain to the Fordh 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 4 yds to the Fordh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 24INT
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:441% → 1%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+37
99.1%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 37 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+24
99.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to MJ Wright for 24 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for no gain to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.0%
DEMORAT, Tim pass up the middle incomplete intended for WRIGHT, MJ thrown to the FAU0. PENALTY FAU Pass Interference on GILBERT, Zyon FHU Pass Interference on CODY, Garrett , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
99.0%
DEMORAT, Tim pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, MJ thrown to the FAU0; QB hurried by WILLIAMS, Eddie. PENALTY FHU Pass Interference on CARTER, Dequece enforced 15 yards to the FAU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+7
99.1%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
99.1%
FORDHAM Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Tim DeMorat pass intercepted return for no gain to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Illegal Block (Eddie Williams) to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 11
OWN 2
0
99.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Eddie Williams) to the FlAtl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:3199% → 99%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 12
OWN 1
+2
99.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.1%
Larry McCammon III run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+5
99.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 5 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
99.1%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Fotis Kokosioulis at the FlAtl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 26TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
94.6%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 48 yds for a TD (Nick Leinenweber KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:4997% → 99%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
97.3%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 31 yds to the Fordh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
97.3%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fordh 17Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
97.3%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fordh 15Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+9
97.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 9 yds to the Fordh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
97.3%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fordh 2Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 28INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass intercepted for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Tim DeMorat run for 3 yds to the Fordh 28Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
John O'Friel punt for 44 yds for a 1ST down , LaJohntay Wester returns for 14 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 30FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 23 yds to the Fordh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 13 yds to the Fordh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds to the Fordh 17Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+9
99.9%
Nick Tronti run for 9 yds to the Fordh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the Fordh 8Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fordh 12Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 6 yds to the Fordh 6Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.9%
Aaron Shahriari 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 31DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for 5 yds to the Fordh 30Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
100.0%
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Fotis Kokosioulis for 9 yds to the Fordh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Antonio Cortez Feria run for 1 yd to the Fordh 40Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Tim DeMorat pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:45
Tim DeMorat pass complete to Dequece Carter for 48 yds for a TD (Nick Leinenweber KICK)
-4.5
TD · Q3 11:29
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 25 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q3 4:12
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 17 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com