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FIU

Florida International 21 at Texas Tech 54

TTU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:02 · Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+31.5Home team on offense−1.9Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:27: D'vonte Price run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +4.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:51: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 69 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +4.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:38: SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +4.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:48: Trey Cleveland 28 Yd pass from Tyler Shough (Jonathan Garibay Kick) — TTU win probability +3.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:05: Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK) — TTU win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:31FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:02TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:33FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:43FIU 4th & 8 at TTU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:30FIU 4th & 23 at FIU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:57FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:08TTU 4th & 3 at FIU 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:13FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:17TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 14, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:23FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 25, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:56TTU 4th & 7 at FIU 10, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:28FIU 4th & 24 at FIU 11, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:22FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 39, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:27FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:18TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:14TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:51FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:38TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:48TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:05TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:16FIU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:55TTU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:47TTU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2914% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
86.4%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
86.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
86.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:0686% → 86%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
86.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 20 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
86.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
86.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
86.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
85.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 4:5815% → 19%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
85.4%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+34
85.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 34 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 13
50
+30
85.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 30 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
85.1%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+13
85.1%
D'vonte Price run for 13 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
85.1%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+3
85.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 3 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-1
85.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.1%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2582% → 81%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
82.0%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
81.8%
Tyler Shough run for 2 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
80.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2919% → 20%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
80.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
80.9%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+3
81.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
80.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-71
81.8%
Marquis Waters 71 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Garibay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:2818% → 19%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.0%
Max Bortenschlager run for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
82.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+10
82.5%
BORTENSCHLAGER, Max pass up the middle incomplete intended for CHAMBERS, Tyrese thrown to the FIU40. PENALTY TTU Holding on WILLIAMS, Rayshad enforced 10 yards from the FIU40 to the FIU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
50
+13
81.8%
Nate Jefferson run for 13 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
81.8%
Nate Jefferson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
81.5%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+15
81.8%
BORTENSCHLAGER, Max pass up the middle incomplete intended for FAIRWEATHER, Rivaldo thrown to the TTU31. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on BOUYER-RANDLE, Brandon enforced 15 yards to the TTU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
79.6%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
79.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
80.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
80.6%
Chase Gabriel 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:2982% → 85%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
81.5%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
81.6%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+52
81.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 52 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
82.7%
Xavier White run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
82.7%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.7%
Xavier White run for no gain to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2316% → 21%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
83.8%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
79.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 69 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1380% → 85%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
80.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 15 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+59
80.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 59 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 2:0816% → 15%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
83.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-15
83.9%
run for a loss of 15 yards to the FlaIn 9 fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Max BortenschlagerSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 30
OWN 9
+3
84.1%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 27
OWN 12
+4
84.4%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 23
OWN 16
+1
84.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 53 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 1 yd to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:4285% → 89%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
84.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to J.J. Sparkman for 9 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+15
85.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul (Benny McCray) to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
85.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 14 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
85.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-5
85.5%
Chadarius Townsend run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
89.0%
Trey Cleveland 28 Yd pass from Tyler Shough (Jonathan Garibay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5112% → 11%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.1%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
87.9%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
88.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
88.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+17
88.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 17 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 61 yds · 2:5290% → 96%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
89.5%
Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
89.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
89.6%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+5
89.6%
Xavier White run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
89.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
89.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+11
90.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 11 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.5%
Tyler Shough run for no gain to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
90.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 6 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+5
90.2%
SHOUGH, Tyler pass to the right incomplete intended for EZUKANMA, Erik thrown to the FIU12; QB hurried by DAMES, Richard. PENALTY Before the snap, FIU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the FIU18 to the FIU13 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
90.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 12 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:5296% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
95.8%
Tahj Brooks run for 19 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
96.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 14 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.1%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
96.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 10 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
96.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 12 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
96.1%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+5
96.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.1%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
96.1%
Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
96.8%
Jonathan Garibay 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:553% → 3%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
96.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+39
97.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 58 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 39 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
96.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5697% → 97%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
96.8%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 15
OWN 7
0
96.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+7
96.7%
Xavier White run for 7 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
96.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eric Mitchell at the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:013% → 6%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
97.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D'vonte Price for 4 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
97.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offsides (Tony Bradford Jr.) to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
96.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
97.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 1 yd to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.0%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
96.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+37
97.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 37 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.7%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.7%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2196% → 99%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+20
95.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 20 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 6
50
+25
96.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Mason Tharp for 25 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
98.8%
Mason Tharp 25 Yd pass from Tyler Shough (Jonathan Garibay PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:322% → 1%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 40 yds , Adrian Frye returns for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:0499% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.7%
Chadarius Townsend run for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.8%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.8%
Chadarius Townsend run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
98.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+15
98.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 15 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
98.8%
SHOUGH, Tyler pass to the right incomplete intended for FOUONJI, Loic thrown to the FIU15. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on TURNER, Josh enforced 15 yards to the FIU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
98.9%
Chadarius Townsend run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+15
98.9%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Myles Price for 15 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
98.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+8
98.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 8 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
98.8%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
99.7%
Jonathan Garibay 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Nate Jefferson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Jacob Morgenstern for 0 yards to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
99.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.7%
Chadarius Townsend run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.7%
Henry Colombi run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
99.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.7%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
99.7%
Nehemiah Martinez run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
99.7%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Henry Colombi run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Kamareon Williams for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Grayson James sacked by Troy Te'o for 0 yards to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+10
100.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 46 yds , Myles Price returns for 10 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
100.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 17Similar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+3
100.0%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 8 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Cam'Ron Valdez run for 2 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:05
Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Koontz for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 10:51
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 69 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-4.5
TD · Q2 9:38
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Garibay KICK)
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com