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UAB

UAB 40 at North Texas 6

UNT
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:11 · Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the UAB 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 178Home team on offense−56.3Score differential−47.3Pregame prior−0.6Garbage-time factor−23.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:35: Matt Quinn 23 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +0.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:24: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 42 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +3.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:49: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 61 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +4.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:04: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn PAT BLOCKED) — UAB win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:47: Detraveon Brown 3 Yd pass from Jace Ruder (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UNT win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 10 of 12UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:25UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31UNT 4th & 17 at UNT 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:35UAB 4th & 6 at UNT 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:09UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:25UNT 4th & 2 at UAB 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−1.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:44UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:58UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 15, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:50UNT 4th & 10 at UAB 42, down 24
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:44UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 27, up 24
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:52UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:28UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 28, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:52UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:05UNT 4th & 15 at UAB 48, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:47UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 45, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:30UAB 4th & 11 at UNT 12, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:47UNT 4th & 3 at UAB 3, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:47UAB 4th & 1 at UNT 33, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:47UAB 4th & 14 at UNT 35, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:19UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 41, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:38UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 13, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:11UNT 4th & 2 at UAB 21, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:49UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:24UAB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:49UAB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:04UAB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:47UNT Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:20UAB Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:3579% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
21.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 18 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
21.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
21.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
21.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
22.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
22.3%
Jace Ruder pass intercepted return for no gain to the NoTex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2978% → 78%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
22.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:1322% → 22%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
22.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
22.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
22.2%
Jace Ruder sacked by Deshaun Oliver Jr. for 0 yards to the NoTex 15Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 17
OWN 15
0
22.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:5678% → 78%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
22.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 6
50
+4
22.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+24
22.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 24 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
22.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+7
22.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
22.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
22.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the NoTex 6Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
22.5%
Matt Quinn 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:2623% → 23%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
22.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+1
22.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 14Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+19
22.5%
Austin Aune run for 19 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
22.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-5
22.9%
TORREY, DeAndre rush up the middle for no gain to the UNT35 (MOLL, Kristopher). PENALTY Before the snap, UNT False Start on CARROLL, Daizion enforced 5 yards from the UNT35 to the UNT30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+2
22.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
22.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+36
23.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 36 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:4578% → 81%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
22.4%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+42
19.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 42 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8DOWNS
13 plays · 36 yds · 3:5919% → 19%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
19.2%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
19.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 12 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
19.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 9 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
19.7%
Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
50
+5
19.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-10
19.7%
AUNE, Austin scrambles to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the UAB36 (OLIVER JR., Deshaun), out of bounds. PENALTY UNT Holding on CARROLL, Daizion enforced 10 yards from the UAB45 to the UNT45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+7
19.4%
AUNE, Austin pass to the right incomplete intended for WARD, Damon thrown to the UAB49. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on THOMAS V, Starling enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the UAB48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
19.7%
Austin Aune sacked by Mi'Cario Stanley for 0 yards to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 21
OWN 41
+6
19.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 15
OWN 47
-5
19.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Daizion Carroll) to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 20
OWN 42
+18
19.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 18 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+1
18.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:1182% → 87%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
17.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+61
13.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 61 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:0515% → 14%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
15.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
15.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
15.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-2
15.4%
Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+10
15.1%
AUNE, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for BURNS, Roderic thrown to the UAB40. PENALTY UAB Holding enforced 10 yards from the UNT37 to the UNT47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
15.7%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
15.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
15.6%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
14.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds, downed at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4688% → 85%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
12.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+2
11.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
14.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
14.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 57 yds, downed at the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:0817% → 17%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
16.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 17 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
17.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+7
18.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 7 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
18.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
18.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
17.8%
Austin Aune sacked by Nikia Eason Jr. for 0 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
16.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0687% → 87%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.5%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Tyreke Davis for 0 yards to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+5
14.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+10
14.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 10 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
12.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 73 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5214% → 14%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
14.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
14.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
14.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 8 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
14.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
14.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
14.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
13.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for no gain to the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2489% → 90%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
10.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
10.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
10.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
10.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3613% → 13%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
13.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
13.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
13.1%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 5
OWN 29
-5
12.7%
HOWELL, Kyleb rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the UNT32, End of Play. PENALTY Before the snap, UNT False Start on WILLIAMS, Cinque enforced 5 yards from the UNT29 to the UNT24. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
12.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:3192% → 96%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
8.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Kameron Hill for 0 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+3
7.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+17
8.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Grayson Murphy) to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
7.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+38
3.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
2.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
2.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+15
2.1%
UAB Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Keondre Swoopes) to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
2.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
2.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
2.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 10
OPP 43
-5
2.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (Bernardo Rodriguez) to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 15
OPP 48
0
2.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 yds, downed at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:134% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
3.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
3.4%
RUDER, Jace sacked for a loss of 14 yards at the UNT15 (WRIGHT, Alex). PENALTY UAB Face mask on BOLER, Will enforced 15 yards from the UNT29 to the UNT44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
3.8%
Jace Ruder run for 1 yd to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
3.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
3.6%
Jace Ruder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
3.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 53 yds, downed at the UAB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21FG
19 plays · 86 yds · 8:1797% → 99%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
3.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 3Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+4
3.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
3.6%
UAB Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 8
OWN 4
-17
3.6%
BROWN JR., Jermaine rush to the left for a gain of 17 yards to the UAB21 (WHITLOCK, Quinn). PENALTY UAB Holding on TREHERN, Matthew enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the UAB4 to the UAB2 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
3.6%
UAB Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+14
3.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 14 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
3.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+11
3.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
3.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+17
3.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 17 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
3.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 33 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
3.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
3.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
2.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
3.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 12Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
1.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
1.1%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Dylan Hopkins) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
1.5%
Matt Quinn 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22DOWNS
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:431% → 1%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
0.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 12 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
0.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+1
0.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the NoTex 43Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+15
0.8%
RUDER, Jace sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the UNT33 (HARRELL, Kyle). PENALTY UAB Horse Collar Tackle on HARRELL, Kyle enforced 15 yards from the UNT43 to the UAB42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
1.0%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+6
0.9%
Jace Ruder run for 6 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
1.0%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+5
0.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
1.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
0.5%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Jake Roberts for 7 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
0.6%
Jace Ruder run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
0.5%
Jace Ruder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+8
0.4%
Jace Ruder pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 8 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.9%
Detraveon Brown 3 Yd pass from Jace Ruder (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 7:2799% → 100%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.8%
STANLEY, Lucious rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the UAB34 (WHITLOCK, Quinn). PENALTY UNT Holding on MURPHY, Gabriel declined UNT Personal Foul on MURPHY, Gabriel enforced 15 yards from the UAB43 to the UNT42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
0.7%
Larry Wooden run for 6 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
0.7%
Larry Wooden run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
0.7%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
1.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
0.7%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
0.6%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-10
0.7%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (Andrew Smith Jr.) to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 14
OPP 35
0
0.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 14
OPP 35
+32
1.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 32 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.6%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Larry Wooden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.1%
RUDER, Jace pass to the right incomplete intended for BURNS, Roderic thrown to the UNT45. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on YOUNG, Troy enforced 15 yards to the UNT40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.1%
Jace Ruder run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Jace Ruder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Jace Ruder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 52 yds, downed at the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
0.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
0.4%
Larry Wooden run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
0.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+13
0.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds , Dillion Williams returns for 13 yds to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
0.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
0.1%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Khatib Lyles for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
0.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.1%
Jace Ruder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
0.1%
Jace Ruder pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+8
0.1%
Jace Ruder run for 8 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+1
0.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.2%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
0.2%
Larry Wooden run for 8 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.2%
Larry Wooden run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:49
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 61 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q1 4:24
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 42 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q2 1:04
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn PAT BLOCKED)
-3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com