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WKU

Western Kentucky 35 at Army 38

ARMY
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:41 · Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Home team on offense+0.6Pregame prior+20.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: Bailey Zappe run for 10 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +9.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:57: Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +10.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:05: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 21 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +7.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:58: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 14 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +10.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:22: Adam Cofield run for 2 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +13.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:02WKU 4th & 9 at ARMY 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    33.9%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:41ARMY 4th & 1 at WKU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.7%−0.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:43WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:40ARMY 4th & 6 at WKU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    70.5%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:57WKU 4th & 4 at ARMY 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q4 6:24ARMY 4th & 2 at WKU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−1.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 1:52ARMY 4th & 3 at WKU 14, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 14:51ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:30ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:40WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:07ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:30WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:57ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:31ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:05WKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:58WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:22WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
74.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
74.1%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
74.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 12 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
74.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
74.1%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+9
74.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 9 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
74.1%
Adam Cofield run for no gain to the Army 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-24
74.1%
Bailey Zappe pass intercepted Marquel Broughton return for 24 yds to the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
73.7%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
73.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+17
73.7%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 17 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
73.8%
Cade Barnard run for 7 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
73.8%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+2
73.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
73.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WKent 10 Anthony Adkins fumbled, forced by Jaden Hunter, recovered by WKent Jeremy DarvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
72.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 10 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
72.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 28 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
72.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Joey Beljan for 13 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
71.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Mitchell Tinsley) to the Army 44Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+2
72.1%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
72.1%
Adam Cofield run for no gain to the Army 42Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+4
72.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 4 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+5
72.5%
ARMY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Army 33Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 4
OPP 33
-5
72.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 38Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
72.5%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:5072% → 76%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
72.1%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
72.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
72.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
50
+9
72.6%
Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+7
72.7%
Brandon Walters run for 7 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
72.9%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
72.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
72.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
72.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
76.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 24 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0825% → 25%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.8%
Bailey Zappe run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
75.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
75.5%
TEAM punt, downed at the Army 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:5576% → 81%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
76.1%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 7 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
76.2%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
76.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+40
81.4%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5021% → 25%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.1%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
78.9%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+72
75.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 72 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:3375% → 85%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
75.2%
Brandon Walters run for 13 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
76.3%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+14
76.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
76.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
76.6%
A.J. Howard run for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
76.1%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+8
75.4%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 8 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
76.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
76.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+3
76.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
76.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
76.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+5
76.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
76.7%
A.J. Howard run for 4 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3716% → 28%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
84.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 24 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
83.2%
Bailey Zappe sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 17
OWN 42
0
84.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Malachi Corley, broken up by Jabari MooreSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+28
84.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 28 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
82.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 20 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
72.3%
Bailey Zappe run for 10 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.0%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:0377% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
77.1%
Brandon Walters run for 7 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
77.3%
Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
77.4%
Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
78.9%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 5 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
78.9%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+18
79.0%
Christian Anderson run for 18 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
79.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+25
79.2%
Tyrell Robinson run for 25 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.2%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
86.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 6 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
85.7%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+10
85.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 10 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
85.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 9 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
85.0%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
85.1%
Bailey Zappe run for 2 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
84.7%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 36Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+7
85.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 7 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
85.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q3 8:57
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
86.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth Sterns, broken up by Cedrick Cunningham Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
16 plays · 71 yds · 9:1591% → 99%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
90.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (Jeremy Darvin) to the Army 34Similar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 5
OWN 34
+4
90.8%
Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
91.2%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
91.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 1
50
+1
91.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
91.3%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
91.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
91.4%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
94.3%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
94.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
94.3%
A.J. Howard run for 4 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-5
94.3%
Christian Anderson sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 24 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+15
94.1%
Christian Anderson run for 15 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
94.3%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
95.4%
BUCHANAN, J. rush for 3 yards to the WKU0, clock 10:37, PENALTY ARMY holding (LAW, Jordyn) 10 yards to the WKU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
98.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:261% → 9%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley, broken up by Julian McDuffieSimilar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
98.7%
Noah Whittington run for 13 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.7%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 6
50
+4
98.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 4 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
98.7%
ROBICHAUX, K. rush for 2 yards to the ARMY44 (CARTER, Andre;SMITH, Arik), PENALTY ARMY substitution infraction 5 yards to the ARMY41, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Malachi Corley, broken up by Malkelm MorrisonSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+20
98.7%
Bailey Zappe run for 5 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
91.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 21 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3996% → 97%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
96.2%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
96.2%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+3
96.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-1
96.8%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:234% → 16%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
95.9%
Bailey Zappe sacked by Jaylen Jacobs and Andre Carter II for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+22
96.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 22 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+35
95.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 35 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
95.2%
Bailey Zappe sacked by Spencer Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 14 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, intentional grounding (Bailey Zappe) to the Army 14Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
84.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 14 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:0593% → 96%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
93.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
92.9%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+20
94.1%
Christian Anderson run for 20 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
94.9%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
94.9%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+1
94.4%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
96.3%
Cole Talley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:303% → 19%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
96.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 15 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
96.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 5 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+17
95.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 17 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.2%
Bailey Zappe run for 5 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+12
95.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 12 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
95.2%
ZAPPE, B. pass incomplete to STERNS, JERR, PENALTY ARMY offside defense 5 yards to the ARMY5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 3 yds to the Army 2Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.2%
Adam Cofield run for 2 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
94.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:22
Adam Cofield run for 2 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-13.9
TD · Q4 4:58
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 14 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q3 8:57
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)
+10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com