Try the model
LAM

Lamar 0 at UTSA 54

UTSA
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.1UTSA 99.9%Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field GoalAWAY 0 - HOME 51 · Q3 7:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:29 · Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+29.9Home team on offense+29.6Score differential+26.0Blowout margin+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.7Garbage-time factor+9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:04: Sheldon Jones 76 Yd Punt Return (Hunter Duplessis Kick) — LAM win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 8:18: Hunter Duplessis 46 Yd Field Goal — LAM win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:04: Sincere McCormick 18 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) — UTSA win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:14: Charles Wiley 8 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) — UTSA win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:55: Sincere McCormick 6 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick) — UTSA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LAM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:04LAM 4th & 10 at LAM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:30LAM 4th & 12 at LAM 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:18UTSA 4th & 8 at LAM 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:05LAM 4th & 26 at LAM 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:11UTSA 4th & 4 at LAM 29, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:13LAM 4th & 1 at LAM 34, down 13
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:03LAM 4th & 9 at LAM 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:03LAM 4th & 9 at LAM 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:01LAM 4th & 5 at LAM 30, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29UTSA 4th & 13 at LAM 24, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:19UTSA 4th & 9 at LAM 36, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:43LAM 4th & 14 at LAM 48, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:58UTSA 4th & 6 at LAM 6, up 58
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:03LAM 4th & 6 at LAM 24, down 61
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:04UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:04UTSA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:14UTSA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:55UTSA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:42UTSA Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:06UTSA Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAMDrive 1PUNT TD
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:561% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
James Jones run for 1 yd to the Lamar 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
98.7%
James Jones run for 9 yds to the Lamar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Jalen Dummett pass incomplete to Jeremy DavisSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Dawud Shorts run for no gain to the Lamar 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
98.7%
James Jones run for no gain to the Lamar 35Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+76
98.5%
Sheldon Jones 76 Yd Punt Return (Hunter Duplessis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:282% → 2%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.5%
Jalen Dummett run for 2 yds to the Lamar 25Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-5
98.5%
Johnson,Marcellus rush for 0 yards to the LAM25 (Feaster,Denzel) PENALTY LAM Illegal Formation 5 yards from LAM25 to LAM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
98.5%
James Jones run for no gain to the Lamar 20Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+1
98.5%
Jalen Dummett run for 1 yd to the Lamar 21Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
98.3%
Bailey Giffen punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:1298% → 98%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
98.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 27 yds to the Lamar 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
98.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
98.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for no gain to the Lamar 28Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
98.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Leroy WatsonSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
98.2%
Hunter Duplessis 46 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -16 yds · 3:062% → 2%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
98.2%
Jalen Dummett pass complete to Marcellus Johnson for 9 yds to the Lamar 12Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+2
98.2%
Jalen Dummett run for 2 yds to the Lamar 14Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+6
98.2%
Jalen Dummett pass complete to Marcellus Johnson for 6 yds to the Lamar 20Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 11
OWN 20
-10
98.2%
PENALTY LAM UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Banks,Kirkland) 10 yards from LAM20 to LAM10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 21
OWN 10
-5
98.2%
PENALTY LAM Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAM10 to LAM05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 26
OWN 5
0
97.9%
Bailey Giffen punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:5498% → 98%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the Lamar 47Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
98.0%
Harris,Frank pass incomplete to Cephus,Joshua PENALTY LAM Offside 5 yards from LAM47 to LAM42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+7
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the Lamar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
98.0%
Joshua Cephus run for 6 yds to the Lamar 29Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for no gain to the Lamar 29Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
98.1%
Hunter Duplessis 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Jalen Dummett pass incomplete to Marcellus JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.0%
Jones,James rush for 3 yards gain to the LAM28 (Feaster,Denzel) PENALTY LAM Illegal Shift 5 yards from LAM25 to LAM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
98.1%
Jalen Dummett pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds to the Lamar 23Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
98.1%
Jalen Dummett pass complete to Jeremy Davis for 11 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.8%
Bailey Giffen punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:0998% → 99%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
98.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+10
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+31
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 31 yds to the Lamar 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the Lamar 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds to the Lamar 18Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+18
98.6%
Sincere McCormick 18 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:501% → 1%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Jalen Dummett run for 5 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
98.6%
Chaz Ward run for 5 yds to the Lamar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Lamar 37Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
98.6%
Jalen Dummett run for 5 yds to the Lamar 42Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
98.6%
James Jones run for 3 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
98.6%
James Jones run for 1 yd to the Lamar 44Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+8
98.6%
Jalen Dummett pass complete to Jeremy Davis for 8 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+8
99.2%
Charles Wiley 8 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 3:111% → 1%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Chaz Ward run for 4 yds to the Lamar 29Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Chaz Ward run for 2 yds to the Lamar 31Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
99.4%
Kirkland Banks run for 5 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Holding (Corey Mayfield Jr.) to the Lamar 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.3%
Chaz Ward run for 1 yd to the Lamar 47Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Chaz Ward run for no gain to the Lamar 47Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Michael Chandler II pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
99.4%
punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Bailey Giffen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:0899% → 100%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.4%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
99.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 4 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 5 yds to the Lamar 47Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
99.4%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the Lamar 45Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+11
99.4%
Brenden Brady run for 11 yds to the Lamar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.4%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the Lamar 35Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+20
99.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 20 yds to the Lamar 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for no gain to the Lamar 15Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the Lamar 6Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Sincere McCormick 6 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.8%
James Jones run for 1 yd to the Lamar 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Leroy Watson for 13 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 13 yds to the Lamar 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Zakhari Franklin 32 Yd pass from Josh Adkins (Hunter Duplessis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jalen Dummett pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
James Jones run for 4 yds to the Lamar 29Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Lamar 30Similar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Bailey Giffen punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+6
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Cade Stoever for 24 yds to the Lamar 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the Lamar 15Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
99.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the Lamar 20Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to B.J. Daniels for 4 yds to the Lamar 24Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Hunter Duplessis 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
James Jones run for 11 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
James Jones run for 4 yds to the Lamar 40Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
James Jones run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Dawud Shorts run for 5 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
run for 2 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 5:32100% → 100%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 3 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Julon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+19
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 19 yds to the Lamar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Kaedric Cobbs for 2 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 7 yds to the Lamar 32Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
99.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+16
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 16 yds to the Lamar 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Lott run for 4 yds to the Lamar 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Julon Williams for no gain to the Lamar 16Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
De'Corian Clark 16 Yd pass from Josh Adkins (Hunter Duplessis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jalen Dummett pass incomplete to Jeremy DavisSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
James Jones run for 9 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
James Jones run for 1 yd to the Lamar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Chaz Ward run for 3 yds to the Lamar 38Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+14
100.0%
Jalen Dummett pass complete to Dawud Shorts for 14 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Jalen Dummett run for 4 yds to the Lamar 48Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Jalen Dummett pass incomplete to Jeremy DavisSimilar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 14
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Jalen Dummett run for no gain to the Lamar 48Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Bailey Giffen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18FG
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:45100% → 100%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Cade StoeverSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 7 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+60
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Cade Stoever for 60 yds to the Lamar 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Lott run for 4 yds to the Lamar 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
100.0%
Lott,Jaylon rush for 5 yards gain to the LAM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:39 PENALTY UTS Illegal Formation 5 yards from LAM05 to LAM10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
100.0%
Jaylon Lott run for 3 yds to the Lamar 7Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q4 6:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
100.0%
Jaylon Lott run for 1 yd to the Lamar 6Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
100.0%
Everett Ornstein 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Michael Chandler II pass incomplete to Keshaun LazardSimilar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Hunter Batten run for 5 yds to the Lamar 25Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Michael Chandler II run for 1 yd to the Lamar 24Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Bailey Giffen punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 5 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Justin Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Justin Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+9
100.0%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Justin Rodriguez for 9 yds to the Lamar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
100.0%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lamar 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 47
-4
100.0%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:04
Sincere McCormick 18 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick)
+0.6
TD · Q2 9:14
Charles Wiley 8 Yd Run (Hunter Duplessis Kick)
+0.6
TD · Q1 12:04
Sheldon Jones 76 Yd Punt Return (Hunter Duplessis Kick)
-0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com