Try the model
GRAM

Grambling 0 at Southern Miss 37

USM
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadGRAM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreGRAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:48 · Garrett Urban punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior+22.1Home team on offense+10.4Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+1.8Blowout margin+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:13: Jason Brownlee 12 Yd pass from Trey Lowe (Briggs Bourgeois Kick) — USM win probability +1.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:14: Dajon Richard run for 27 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +0.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:13: CJ Russell run for 1 yd to the SoMis 39 — GRAM win probability +1.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:26: Frank Gore Jr. run for 51 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +5.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:57: Briggs Bourgeois 25 yd FG GOOD — USM win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7GRAM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:46GRAM 4th & 12 at GRAM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01USM 4th & 21 at USM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15GRAM 4th & 1 at GRAM 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:18GRAM 4th & 8 at GRAM 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49USM 4th & 7 at USM 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:37GRAM 4th & 9 at USM 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:36USM 4th & 7 at GRAM 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:04GRAM 4th & 8 at USM 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:51USM 4th & 8 at GRAM 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:40GRAM 4th & 14 at USM 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:14GRAM 4th & 4 at USM 34, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.7
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:07USM 4th & 7 at USM 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:48GRAM 4th & 5 at GRAM 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:57USM 4th & 6 at GRAM 8, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:07GRAM 4th & 9 at GRAM 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:23USM 4th & 17 at GRAM 17, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:49GRAM 4th & 12 at GRAM 23, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:01GRAM 4th & 11 at GRAM 24, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:13USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:26USM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:51USM Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GRAMDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:497% → 7%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.3%
Elijah Walker pass complete to Kobe Ross for 7 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
93.3%
Elijah Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
93.3%
Darrell Clark run for 5 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
93.1%
Elijah Walker pass complete to Kobe Ross for 3 yds to the Gramb 40Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
93.1%
GRAMBLING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 35Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-3
92.9%
Elijah Walker pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 32Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+3
92.8%
Darqueze Brutton run for 3 yds to the Gramb 35Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
92.7%
Garrett Urban punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3293% → 92%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
92.6%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 16 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
92.7%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Grayson Gunter) to the SoMis 35Similar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
92.5%
Trey Lowe Iii sacked by Cameron Richardson for 0 yards to the SoMis 30Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 20
OWN 30
-1
92.4%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Jason Brownlee for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 29Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 21
OWN 29
0
92.2%
Trey Lowe Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 21
OWN 29
0
92.1%
Mason Hunt punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Devanir Martin at the Gramb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:278% → 8%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
92.1%
Elijah Walker run for 2 yds to the Gramb 26Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
92.0%
Elijah Walker pass complete to CJ Russell for 5 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
91.9%
Elijah Walker run for 2 yds to the Gramb 33Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
91.7%
Garrett Urban punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:4492% → 92%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
91.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
91.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
91.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
91.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
91.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+18
91.0%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Dajon Richard for 18 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
91.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 22 yds to the Gramb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
91.3%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 20Similar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+4
91.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the Gramb 16Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+4
91.0%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 4 yds to the Gramb 12Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
92.1%
Jason Brownlee 12 Yd pass from Trey Lowe (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:378% → 9%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
91.7%
Elijah Walker pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 4 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
91.5%
Elijah Walker run for no gain to the Gramb 32Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
91.5%
Elijah Walker pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 10 yds to the Gramb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.1%
Elijah Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
91.1%
Elijah Walker pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 2 yds to the Gramb 44Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
91.0%
Elijah Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:18
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+7
91.3%
Garrett Urban punt for 46 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 7 yds to the SoMis 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2591% → 91%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
91.3%
Trey Lowe Iii sacked by Lewis Matthews for 0 yards to the SoMis 7Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 20
OWN 7
+7
91.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 14Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+6
90.8%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 6 yds to the SoMis 20Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+43
90.5%
Mason Hunt punt for 53 yds SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Gramb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:019% → 10%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
90.6%
Darqueze Brutton run for 32 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
89.8%
Darqueze Brutton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 32Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
89.6%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Illegal Shift (TEAM) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+2
90.1%
Elijah Walker pass complete to Darqueze Brutton for 2 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
90.3%
Garrett Urban 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:0191% → 90%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
90.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 29Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+9
90.3%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 9 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+15
90.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 15 yds to the Gramb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
90.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
90.7%
Trey Lowe Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+8
90.4%
Dajon Richard run for 8 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
90.7%
Dajon Richard run for 11 yds to the Gramb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
90.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Gramb 24Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
90.6%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 29Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 13
OPP 29
0
90.4%
Trey Lowe Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+6
90.1%
Trey Lowe Iii run for 6 yds to the Gramb 23Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
90.4%
Briggs Bourgeois 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:1910% → 10%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.5%
CJ Russell run for 1 yd to the Gramb 26Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
90.4%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 17 yds to the Gramb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
90.0%
CJ Russell run for 4 yds to the Gramb 47Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
89.7%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+7
89.8%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Donald Johnson III for 7 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
89.4%
CJ Russell run for 5 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-3
89.2%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Greg White for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 44Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
89.5%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
90.1%
Garrett Urban punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:0090% → 90%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
90.2%
Trey Lowe Iii run for 7 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+9
90.3%
Dajon Richard run for 9 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
90.2%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 31 yds to the Gramb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
90.8%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Jason Brownlee for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 37Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-2
90.8%
Trey Lowe Iii run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 39Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+6
90.1%
Trey Lowe Iii pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 6 yds to the Gramb 33Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
90.2%
Briggs Bourgeois 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:5510% → 10%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
89.8%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Greg White for 12 yds to the Gramb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.3%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
89.4%
Darqueze Brutton run for 11 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
88.7%
GRAMBLING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 49Similar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
89.3%
Aldon Clark run for no gain to the SoMis 49Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
89.4%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+1
89.7%
Aldon Clark run for 1 yd to the SoMis 48Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
90.1%
Garrett Urban punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:4891% → 91%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.4%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+27
90.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 27 yds to the Gramb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
91.2%
Dajon Richard run for 27 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:1390% → 91%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
90.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
90.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
90.2%
Ty Keyes run for 4 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.6%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
90.5%
Ty Keyes run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 40 fumbled, recovered by Gramb Cameron RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5911% → 10%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
88.9%
CJ Russell run for 1 yd to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+5
88.9%
Aldon Clark pass complete to CJ Russell for 5 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
88.7%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
89.6%
Garrett Urban punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5490% → 89%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
90.0%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 13 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
90.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-10
90.3%
RICHARD, Dajon rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the USM39 (ANDERSON, Sundiata;MARTIN, Devanir). PENALTY USM Illegal Block in the Back on CASTON, Jakarius enforced 10 yards from the USM37 to the USM27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+11
89.8%
Ty Keyes run for 11 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
90.0%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
89.4%
Mason Hunt punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devanir Martin at the Gramb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0610% → 10%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
89.7%
Darqueze Brutton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 18Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
89.9%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+6
90.4%
Aldon Clark run for 6 yds to the Gramb 24Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
90.4%
Garrett Urban punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:1091% → 96%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
90.5%
Ty Keyes run for 5 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
90.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+51
96.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 51 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 3:205% → 4%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
95.4%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Dorrell James for 5 yds to the Gramb 18Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+7
95.5%
Kash Foley run for 7 yds to the Gramb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.5%
CJ Russell run for 1 yd to the Gramb 26Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
95.6%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Kobe Ross for 10 yds to the Gramb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.6%
Aldon Clark sacked by Josh Carr Jr. for 0 yards to the Gramb 21Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 25
OWN 21
0
96.0%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 35
OWN 11
0
96.0%
Garrett Urban punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the Gramb 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:2297% → 98%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
96.6%
Ty Keyes run for 17 yds to the Gramb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
96.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the Gramb 21Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+9
96.7%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 9 yds to the Gramb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
96.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the Gramb 8Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-5
96.8%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Frank Gore Jr.) to the Gramb 13Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+5
96.8%
Ty Keyes run for 5 yds to the Gramb 8Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
96.7%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
98.4%
Briggs Bourgeois 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:292% → 1%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.5%
CJ Russell run for 1 yd to the Gramb 26Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.5%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Aldon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Garrett Urban punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 22INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Aldon Clark sacked by Josh Carr Jr. and Andrew Cole for 0 yards to the Gramb 16Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+7
99.9%
Aldon Clark pass complete to Kash Foley for 7 yds to the Gramb 23Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Aldon Clark pass intercepted return for no gain to the Gramb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+25
99.9%
Ty Keyes run for 25 yds to the Gramb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Personal Foul (Koby Foster) to the Gramb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Dajon Richard run for no gain to the Gramb 9Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes sacked by Blake Thomas for 0 yards to the Gramb 17Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
99.9%
Briggs Bourgeois 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Darqueze Brutton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 22Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Darqueze Brutton run for 1 yd to the Gramb 23Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Elijah Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Garrett Urban punt for 27 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 25TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Dajon Richard run for 3 yds to the Gramb 47Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+17
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 17 yds to the Gramb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Dajon Richard run for 1 yd to the Gramb 29Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Dajon Richard run for 6 yds to the Gramb 23Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+7
99.9%
Dajon Richard run for 7 yds to the Gramb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.9%
Darius Maberry run for 1 yd to the Gramb 15Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Dajon Richard run for 4 yds to the Gramb 11Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 11 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
RUSSELL, CJ rush up the middle for no gain to the GSU25 (HARRELL, Camron;BOOTH, Kristin). PENALTY Before the snap, GSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GSU25 to the GSU20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
CJ Russell run for no gain to the Gramb 20Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
CJ Russell run for 4 yds to the Gramb 24Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
CJ Russell run for no gain to the Gramb 24Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Garrett Urban punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 27END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Naricuss Driver run for 2 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Dee Baker run for no gain to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-1
100.0%
Dee Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:26
Frank Gore Jr. run for 51 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)
+5.5
FG · Q3 0:57
Briggs Bourgeois 25 yd FG GOOD
+1.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 13:13
CJ Russell run for 1 yd to the SoMis 39
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com