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HOU

Houston 44 at Rice 7

RICE
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:40 · Charlie Mendes punt blocked by Mannie Nunnery blocked by Mannie Nunnery
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−54.4Score differential−40.2Pregame prior−1.9Garbage-time factor−20.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:19: Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 11 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +6.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds for a TD, (Collin Riccitelli KICK) — RICE win probability +6.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:10: Collin Riccitelli kickoff for 46 yds — HOU win probability +3.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:18: Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +11.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:01: Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +4.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:55RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37HOU 4th & 3 at RICE 21, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41RICE 4th & 18 at HOU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:26HOU 4th & 12 at HOU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−2.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:14HOU 4th & 17 at HOU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−2.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:30RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:15HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:28RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 6, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:08HOU 4th & 6 at RICE 24, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:40RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:21RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 26, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:08HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:19HOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:18HOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:01HOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:2230% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
30.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Zane KnipeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
30.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
30.7%
Charlie Mendes punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:3069% → 70%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
30.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
30.8%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+9
30.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 9 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
30.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 4 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+7
30.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
30.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 8 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+15
30.6%
Tune,Clayton pass incomplete to Singleton,Jeremy PENALTY RIC Pass Interference (Fresch,Sean) 15 yards from HOU48 to RIC37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
30.6%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+35
30.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 35 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1331% → 30%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
30.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
30.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
30.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
30.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 23Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
30.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:1869% → 70%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
30.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for 19 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
30.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Houst 43Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+29
30.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for 29 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
30.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+6
30.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 6 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
30.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
30.3%
Dalton Witherspoon 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:4131% → 31%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
30.6%
Ari Broussard run for 16 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
31.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:3770% → 76%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
29.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+7
29.8%
Mulbah Car run for 7 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
29.8%
Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
29.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+14
30.0%
Clayton Tune run for 14 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
23.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 11 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-25
24.3%
PENALTY HOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Herslow,Jake) HOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Johnson,Cam'Ron) 25 yards from HOU35 to HOU10. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FG
15 plays · 35 yds · 6:3426% → 25%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
25.6%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-12
25.7%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Latrell Bankston for a loss of 12 yards to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 20
OWN 35
+12
24.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 12 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 8
OWN 47
+15
25.3%
Mendes,Charlie punt 45 yards to the HOU08 PENALTY HOU Personal Foul (Williams,Damarion) 15 yards from RIC47 to HOU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
24.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
25.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 6 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
24.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Brendan Suckley for 4 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
25.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jake Bailey for 15 yds to the Houst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
25.1%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Houst 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+1
25.1%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Houst 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-5
25.1%
PENALTY RIC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from HOU08 to HOU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-6
23.8%
Luke McCaffrey sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 20Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 18
OPP 20
+38
25.2%
Collin Riccitelli 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1576% → 78%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
24.1%
Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
24.1%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
24.2%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
23.9%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marcus JonesSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
21.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 2 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
21.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
21.9%
Laine Wilkins punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:3025% → 25%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
24.6%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+18
24.6%
Luke McCaffrey run for 18 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
24.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:4280% → 79%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
20.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-11
20.3%
Clayton Tune sacked by Kirk Lockhart for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
21.1%
Laine Wilkins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:0123% → 30%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
23.3%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
23.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
23.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
23.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
23.3%
Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+13
23.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for 13 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
25.3%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
25.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for 11 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
25.3%
McCaffrey,Luke pass incomplete to Bailey,Jake PENALTY HOU Pass Interference (Rogers,Jayce) 15 yards from HOU40 to HOU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
26.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for 11 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
26.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Houst 5Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
30.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds for a TD, (Collin Riccitelli KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
24.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:4274% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 7 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
25.5%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
25.4%
Clayton Tune sacked by Kenneth Orji for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 27 Clayton Tune fumbled, recovered by Houst Clayton Tune , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 27
0
26.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marcus JonesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+19
27.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 19 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
24.9%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
24.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
25.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
24.8%
Clayton Tune sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+1
25.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 1 yd to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+18
26.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 18 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
24.6%
Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+8
24.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 8 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
24.5%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+7
24.5%
Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
22.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 9 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.5%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:4814% → 13%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
14.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
13.8%
McCaffrey,Luke pass incomplete to Knipe,Zane PENALTY HOU Pass Interference (Green,Art) 15 yards from RIC27 to RIC42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
15.3%
Brendan Suckley run for no gain to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
15.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-5
14.5%
Luke McCaffrey sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
12.7%
Charlie Mendes punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 4:2989% → 98%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
11.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Houst 19Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-9
11.2%
Tune,Clayton rush for 2 yards gain to the HOU21 (Orji,Kenneth) PENALTY HOU Holding (Faminu,James) 9 yards from HOU19 to HOU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
11.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marcus JonesSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+22
11.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 22 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
11.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 11 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
10.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Marcus Jones for no gain to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
10.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marcus JonesSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+42
10.7%
Clayton Tune run for 42 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
9.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+4
5.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-10
5.9%
PENALTY HOU Holding (Bardwell,Dennis) 10 yards from RIC07 to RIC17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+15
6.0%
Tune,Clayton pass incomplete to Trahan,Christian, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RIC Pass Interference (McCord,Miles) 15 yards from RIC17 to RIC02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.7%
Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 3:0698% → 99%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
1.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 11 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
1.7%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 6
50
0
1.7%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 6
50
+1
1.7%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
1.3%
Laine Wilkins punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:472% → 2%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
2.0%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
2.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
2.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+37
1.8%
Charlie Mendes punt blocked by Mannie Nunnery blocked by Mannie NunnerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2099% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 9
OPP 43
+2
1.1%
Ike Ogbogu run for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+13
1.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 13 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
1.1%
Chandler Smith run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
1.0%
Ike Ogbogu pass incomplete to Jaylen ErwinSimilar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
1.1%
Ike Ogbogu pass incomplete to Jake HerslowSimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
0.2%
Dalton Witherspoon 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.3%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Charlie Mendes punt blocked by Mannie Nunnery blocked by Mannie NunnerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
0.2%
Ike Ogbogu run for 6 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
0.2%
Chandler Smith run for 14 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21INT TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
0.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
0.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 13 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
0.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 21 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
0.2%
PENALTY RIC False Start (Baker,Shea) 5 yards from HOU33 to HOU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+9
0.2%
Ari Broussard run for 9 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
0.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Houst 24Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+1
0.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Houst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
0.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 8 yds to the Houst 15Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
0.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-7
0.4%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Donavan Mutin for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 12
+14
0.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 14 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:18
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q1 2:19
Clayton Tune pass complete to Jake Herslow for 11 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q2 0:13
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds for a TD, (Collin Riccitelli KICK)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com