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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 14 at Virginia Tech 35

VT
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-0.5VT 99.4%C.Cunningham pass complete to VT 6.Catch made by M.Tinsley at VT 6. Gainof 6 yards. M.Tinsley for 6 yards,TOUCHDOWN.AWAY 14 - HOME 35 · Q4 0:31
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:31 · C.Cunningham pass complete to VT 6. Catch made by M.Tinsley at VT 6. Gain of 6 yards. M.Tinsley for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior+0.5Home team on offense+31.3Score differential+23.9Garbage-time factor+7.9Blowout margin+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:55: C.Blumrick rushed to MTS End Zone for 2 yards. C.Blumrick for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — VT win probability +3.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:17: B.Hockman pass complete to VT 5. Catch made by C.Windham at VT 5. Gain of 5 yards. C.Windham for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MTSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:11: R.Blackshear rushed to VT 15 for 4 yards. Tackled by R.Blankenship at VT 15. — VT win probability +2.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:59: J.Holston rushed to MTS End Zone for 29 yards. J.Holston for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — VT win probability +5.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:22: R.Blackshear rushed to MTS End Zone for 6 yards. R.Blackshear for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — VT win probability +3.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:57MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01VT 4th & 2 at VT 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:03MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:27VT 4th & 1 at MTSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:19MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:21VT 4th & 6 at VT 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:15MTSU 4th & 14 at VT 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:56MTSU 4th & 8 at VT 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−0.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:21MTSU 4th & 10 at VT 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:17MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:14VT 4th & 5 at MTSU 47, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:31MTSU 4th & 1 at VT 41, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:31MTSU 4th & 6 at VT 6, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 0:19VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:55VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:17MTSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:59VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:22VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:32VT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:31MTSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3610% → 10%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
90.4%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 13 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Tisdale at MTS 13.Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-4
90.2%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 9 for -4 yards. Tackled by T.Garbutt at MTS 9.Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+5
90.1%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 9. Catch made by C.Windham at MTS 9. Gain of 5 yards. C.Windham FUMBLES, forced by C.Conner. MTS FUMBLES, out of bounds.Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 5
OWN 14
+52
90.0%
K.Ulbrich punts 52 yards to VT 34, Center-B.Butler. T.Robinson returned punt from the VT 34. Tackled by D.England-Chisolm at VT 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4690% → 89%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.9%
K.King rushed to VT 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by Z.Wood at VT 39.Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
89.8%
K.King rushed to VT 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Kinley at VT 40.Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
89.6%
B.Burmeister scrambles to VT 43 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Thomas at VT 43.Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+42
89.4%
P.Moore punts 42 yards to MTS 15, Center-O.Shadley. Fair catch by J.Lane.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3811% → 11%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
89.3%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 19 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Garbutt at MTS 19.Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
89.2%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 19. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 19. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Daley at MTS 23.Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+1
89.0%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 24 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Garbutt at MTS 24.Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+55
88.9%
K.Ulbrich punts 55 yards to VT 21, Center-B.Butler. Fair catch by T.Robinson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
18 plays · 87 yds · 7:3689% → 89%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
88.7%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 21. Catch made by K.Smith at VT 21. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by R.Blankenship at VT 27.Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
88.6%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 27. Catch made by J.Mitchell at VT 27. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by J.Davis at VT 32.Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
88.3%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 32. Catch made by K.Smith at VT 32. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by R.Blankenship at VT 39.Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
88.4%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 39. Catch made by T.Turner at VT 39. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Butler at VT 45.Similar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.3%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for J.Mitchell.Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
88.1%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 45. Catch made by D.Lofton at VT 45. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by R.Blankenship at VT 44.Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+5
87.7%
PENALTY on MTS-M.Cook, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+13
87.9%
B.Burmeister scrambles to MTS 38 for 13 yards. Tackled by G.Grate at MTS 38. PENALTY on VT-VT, Illegal Use of Hands / Offense, 5 yards, offset. PENALTY on MTS-G.Grate, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, offset. No Play.Similar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
87.8%
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS 35 for 11 yards. Tackled by T.Ross at MTS 35.Similar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
87.9%
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 32.Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
87.8%
K.Kadum pass complete to MTS 32. Catch made by J.Mitchell at MTS 32. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by R.Blankenship at MTS 31.Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+5
87.6%
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS 26 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Wyatt at MTS 26.Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+8
87.2%
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS 18 for 8 yards. Tackled by G.Grate at MTS 18.Similar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
87.5%
T.Turner rushed to MTS 8 for 10 yards. Tackled by T.Ross at MTS 8.Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
87.3%
J.Holston rushed to MTS 6 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Patterson at MTS 6.Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.1%
B.Burmeister pass complete to MTS 6. Catch made by T.Robinson at MTS 6. Gain of 6 yards. T.Robinson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:4212% → 12%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.3%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for J.Marshall.Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.3%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 25. Catch made by J.Pierce at MTS 25. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by K.Artis at MTS 27.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+11
88.5%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 27. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 27. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by D.Strong at MTS 38.Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.9%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for C.Windham.Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
87.9%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 38 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Artis at MTS 38. PENALTY on MTS-A.Rasul, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 25
OWN 23
+15
88.2%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 23. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 23. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 38.Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+56
88.0%
K.Ulbrich punts 56 yards to VT 6, Center-B.Butler. T.Robinson returned punt from the VT 6. Tackled by B.Butler at MTS 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:0489% → 92%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
88.8%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for N.Gallo.Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
88.8%
B.Burmeister scrambles to MTS 24 for 11 yards. Tackled by R.Kinley at MTS 24.Similar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
88.8%
B.Burmeister pass complete to MTS 24. Catch made by T.Robinson at MTS 24. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by D.Thomas at MTS 17.Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+3
88.7%
K.King rushed to MTS 14 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Thomas at MTS 14.Similar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
88.7%
B.Burmeister pass complete to MTS 14. Catch made by T.Robinson at MTS 14. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by G.Grate at MTS 12.Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-1
88.5%
J.Holston rushed to MTS 13 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Ross at MTS 13.Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
88.1%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for J.Payoute. PENALTY on MTS-R.Kinley, Roughing the Passer, 7 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.4%
C.Blumrick rushed to MTS 3 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Thomas at MTS 3.Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
88.4%
J.Mitchell rushed to MTS 2 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Wyatt at MTS 2.Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.5%
C.Blumrick rushed to MTS End Zone for 2 yards. C.Blumrick for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3810% → 15%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.5%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 25. Catch made by C.Mobley at MTS 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by D.Strong at MTS 36.Similar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.3%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for I.Gathings.Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
90.4%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 35 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Hollifield at MTS 35.Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+10
90.7%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 35. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 35. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by A.Chatman at MTS 45.Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+5
90.4%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 50 for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Pollard at MTS 50.Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
89.4%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for J.Lane.Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
89.4%
M.Pettaway rushed to MTS 50 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Tisdale at MTS 50.Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 10
OPP 0
+27
90.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 50. Catch made by J.Pierce at MTS 50. Gain of 27 yards. Tackled by T.Daley at VT 23.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
89.4%
B.Hockman pass complete to VT 23. Catch made by J.Marshall at VT 23. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by N.Peoples at VT 5.Similar
Q2 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.3%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for MTS.Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
84.7%
B.Hockman pass complete to VT 5. Catch made by C.Windham at VT 5. Gain of 5 yards. C.Windham for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5087% → 86%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
87.1%
R.Blackshear rushed to VT 15 for 4 yards. Tackled by R.Blankenship at VT 15.Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
87.0%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for VT.Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
86.5%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for T.Robinson.Similar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+45
86.0%
P.Moore punts 45 yards to MTS 40, Center-O.Shadley. Downed by VT.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:5514% → 14%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
85.9%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 40. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 40. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Waller at MTS 46.Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
85.3%
B.Hockman rushed to VT 49 for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Peoples at VT 49.Similar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
85.0%
C.Mobley rushed to VT 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at VT 45.Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
84.6%
C.Mobley rushed to VT 44 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Waller at VT 44.Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
84.8%
B.Hockman pass complete to VT 44. Catch made by J.Lane at VT 44. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Hunter at VT 39.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
84.1%
A.Rasul rushed to VT 38 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Tisdale at VT 38.Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+5
84.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to VT 38. Catch made by C.Windham at VT 38. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 33.Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 4
OPP 33
-10
83.8%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman sacked at VT 43 for -10 yards (C.Conner)Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 14
OPP 43
+39
86.2%
K.Ulbrich punts 39 yards to VT 4, Center-B.Butler. Downed by R.Fuller.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:0186% → 86%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
86.2%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 4. Catch made by T.Turner at VT 4. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by D.Patterson at VT 8.Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+7
86.0%
B.Burmeister scrambles to VT 15 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Butler at VT 15.Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
86.2%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for T.Turner.Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
86.0%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for K.Smith.Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+11
85.4%
R.Blackshear rushed to VT 26 for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Smith at VT 26.Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
86.3%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 26. Catch made by K.Smith at VT 26. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by MTS at VT 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:0414% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.6%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Waller at MTS 30.Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
85.2%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 34 for 4 yards. Tackled by N.Peoples at MTS 34.Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
85.1%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 38 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Conner at MTS 38.Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
84.7%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 38. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 38. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by N.Peoples at MTS 46.Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-9
83.7%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman sacked at MTS 37 for -9 yards (J.Williams; D.Hollifield)Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+26
85.7%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 37. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 37. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by N.Peoples at VT 37.Similar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
83.2%
A.Rasul rushed to VT 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Adams at VT 34.Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-1
81.8%
A.Rasul rushed to VT 35 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Hollifield at VT 35.Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
83.2%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for MTS.Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+28
84.8%
K.Ulbrich punts 28 yards to VT 7, Center-B.Butler. Downed by C.Mobley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 2:4785% → 93%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
85.3%
J.Holston rushed to VT 6 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Branch at VT 6.Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+10
85.1%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 6. Catch made by T.Turner at VT 6. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by R.Blankenship at VT 16.Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
85.6%
J.Holston rushed to VT 18 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Thomas at VT 18.Similar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+47
86.3%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 18. Catch made by T.Turner at VT 18. Gain of 47 yards. Tackled by T.Ross at MTS 35.Similar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
87.9%
B.Burmeister scrambles to MTS 29 for 6 yards. B.Burmeister ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+29
93.3%
J.Holston rushed to MTS End Zone for 29 yards. J.Holston for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:178% → 9%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
91.7%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 23 for -2 yards. Tackled by C.Conner at MTS 23.Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+17
91.9%
M.Diliello rushed to MTS 40 for 17 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 40.Similar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
91.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 40. Catch made by J.Pierce at MTS 40. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Peoples at VT 49.Similar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
90.5%
C.Mobley rushed to VT 46 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Tisdale at VT 46.Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
90.6%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for MTS.Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
90.8%
PENALTY on MTS-J.Pierce, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
91.5%
B.Hockman pass INTERCEPTED at MTS 49. Intercepted by J.Waller at MTS 49. Tackled by MTS at MTS 31.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:5794% → 98%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.9%
K.King rushed to MTS 31 for 0 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 31.Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+18
94.0%
B.Burmeister scrambles to MTS 13 for 18 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 13.Similar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.2%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for N.Gallo.Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
94.2%
B.Burmeister rushed to MTS 6 for 7 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 6.Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
98.1%
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS End Zone for 6 yards. R.Blackshear for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:512% → 1%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
97.9%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 28 for 5 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 28.Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
97.9%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 28. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 28. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 32.Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
98.0%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 34 for 2 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 34.Similar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.2%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for MTS.Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+26
98.2%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 34. Catch made by E.Metcalf at MTS 34. Gain of 26 yards. E.Metcalf ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.3%
A.Rasul rushed to VT 35 for 5 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 35.Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+5
98.3%
A.Rasul rushed to VT 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 30.Similar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.4%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for MTS.Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.5%
C.Mobley rushed to VT 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Peoples at VT 25.Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
98.7%
B.Hockman rushed to VT 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 25.Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+5
98.9%
PENALTY on MTS-S.Losoya, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
98.8%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for J.Lane.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:3499% → 100%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.8%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for T.Turner.Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+26
98.9%
B.Burmeister pass complete to VT 30. Catch made by T.Robinson at VT 30. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 44.Similar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.0%
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS 39 for 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 39.Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
99.0%
B.Burmeister steps back to pass. B.Burmeister pass incomplete intended for VT.Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+5
99.0%
B.Burmeister pass complete to MTS 39. Catch made by R.Blackshear at MTS 39. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 34.Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+33
99.0%
C.Blumrick rushed to MTS 1 for 33 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 1.Similar
Q4 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS End Zone for 1 yards. R.Blackshear for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Hunter at MTS 25.Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 25. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 25. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 33.Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 36.Similar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for MTS.Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 38.Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for J.Thompson.Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+45
99.9%
K.Ulbrich punts 45 yards to VT 17, Center-B.Butler. Fair catch by T.Robinson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
K.Kadum rushed to VT 23 for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by MTS at VT 23.Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
K.King rushed to VT 25 for 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at VT 25.Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
K.Kadum pass complete to VT 25. Catch made by K.King at VT 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at VT 30.Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
K.Kadum scrambles to VT 37 for 7 yards. Tackled by MTS at VT 37.Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
K.Kadum pass complete to VT 37. Catch made by D.Deiuliis at VT 37. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by MTS at VT 48.Similar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
K.King rushed to MTS 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 49.Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
K.King rushed to MTS 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 47.Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
99.9%
K.Kadum steps back to pass. K.Kadum pass incomplete intended for VT.Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+33
99.9%
P.Moore punts 33 yards to MTS 14, Center-O.Shadley. Fair catch by J.Lane.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
16 plays · 86 yds · 4:360% → 1%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+26
99.9%
C.Cunningham pass complete to MTS 14. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 14. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by VT at MTS 40.Similar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
M.Pettaway rushed to VT 50 for 10 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 50.Similar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-1
99.9%
C.Cunningham steps back to pass. C.Cunningham sacked at MTS 49 for -1 yards (N.Hawkins)Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
C.Cunningham pass complete to MTS 49. Catch made by J.Thompson at MTS 49. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 46.Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
C.Cunningham pass complete to VT 46. Catch made by T.Sweet at VT 46. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 41.Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
F.Peasant rushed to VT 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 40.Similar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
C.Cunningham pass complete to VT 40. Catch made by E.Metcalf at VT 40. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 37.Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+12
100.0%
C.Cunningham pass complete to VT 37. Catch made by B.Anderson at VT 37. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 25.Similar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
99.9%
C.Cunningham pass complete to VT 25. Catch made by E.Metcalf at VT 25. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 6.Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
C.Cunningham steps back to pass. C.Cunningham pass incomplete intended for E.Metcalf.Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.9%
M.Pettaway rushed to VT 7 for -1 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 7.Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
C.Cunningham pass INTERCEPTED at VT 7. Intercepted by D.Hunter at VT 7. Tackled by MTS at VT End Zone. PENALTY on VT-D.Hunter, Defensive Pass Interference, 6 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.9%
F.Peasant rushed to VT 6 for -5 yards. Tackled by VT at VT 6.Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
C.Cunningham pass complete to VT 6. Catch made by M.Tinsley at VT 6. Gain of 6 yards. M.Tinsley for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20Uncategorized
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:06100% → 100%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.6%
M.Thomas rushed to MTS 42 for 10 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 42.Similar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.6%
M.Thomas rushed to MTS 41 for 1 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:59
J.Holston rushed to MTS End Zone for 29 yards. J.Holston for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+5.3
TD · Q2 5:17
B.Hockman pass complete to VT 5. Catch made by C.Windham at VT 5. Gain of 5 yards. C.Windham for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-4.7
TD · Q3 3:22
R.Blackshear rushed to MTS End Zone for 6 yards. R.Blackshear for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com