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MONM

Monmouth 15 at Middle Tennessee 50

MTSU
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadMONM aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreMONM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:16 · J.Barnes rushed to MNM 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Cook at MNM 34.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Home team on offense+35.9Pregame prior+1.6Score differential+30.3Garbage-time factor+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Blowout margin+16.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:49: T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 22. Catch made by E.Archie at MTS 22. Gain of 22 yards. E.Archie for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MONM win probability +9.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:55: B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 42. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 42. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 23. — MTSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:16: B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 29. Catch made by D.England-Chisolm at MNM 29. Gain of 29 yards. D.England-Chisolm for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MTSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:50: B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 32. Catch made by J.Lane at MNM 32. Gain of 32 yards. J.Lane for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MTSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:21: T.Muskett rushed to MTS End Zone for 1 yards. T.Muskett for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld. Timeout #1 by MTS. — MONM win probability +11.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MONM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:17MONM 4th & 5 at MONM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:13MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:00MONM 4th & 5 at MTSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00MONM 4th & 19 at MTSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:42MTSU 4th & 11 at MTSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:16MONM 4th & 4 at MTSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−1.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:09MTSU 4th & 17 at MONM 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:11MONM 4th & 8 at MTSU 20, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.1 ptsPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%
    75% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:31MONM 4th & 10 at MONM 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:07MONM 4th & 5 at MTSU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:16MTSU 4th & 6 at MONM 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:35MONM 4th & 8 at MONM 38, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:04MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 38, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:16MONM 4th & 1 at MONM 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MONM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 8:49MONM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:16MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:50MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:40MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:21MONM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:56MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:11MTSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MONMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4328% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.2%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 25. Catch made by L.Moore at MNM 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 32.Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
72.1%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 33.Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
72.0%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 35 for 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 35.Similar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
71.9%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 43. Catch made by L.Moore at MNM 43. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by T.Ross at MNM 43.Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
71.6%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for L.Moore.Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-2
71.6%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett sacked at MNM 40 for -2 yards (M.Cook)Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+35
71.7%
R.Kost punts 35 yards to MTS 25, Center-J.Nyers. Downed by MNM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5372% → 71%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.7%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for D.England-Chisolm.Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
71.7%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 24 for 4 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 24.Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
71.4%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for J.Pierce.Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+45
71.3%
K.Ulbrich punts 45 yards to MNM 26, Center-C.Garrison. Fair catch by E.Morales.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 25 yds · 11:0529% → 31%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
71.4%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 29 for 3 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 29.Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
71.2%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for J.Farri.Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+8
71.4%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 29. Catch made by E.Archie at MNM 29. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 37.Similar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
71.1%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 37. Catch made by E.Archie at MNM 37. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 43.Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
70.7%
O.Wright rushed to MNM 43 for 0 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 43.Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
70.6%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 43. Catch made by E.Archie at MNM 43. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 49.Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
70.3%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 49. Catch made by D.Miller at MNM 49. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 45.Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
70.1%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for D.Miller.Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
70.3%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for D.Miller.Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+5
70.6%
T.Muskett rushed to MTS 40 for 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 40.Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
70.1%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for A.Kearney.Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
69.9%
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 40. Catch made by T.Greene at MTS 40. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 31.Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-18
69.7%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett sacked at MTS 49 for -18 yards (T.Fluellen) PENALTY on MTS-T.Muskett, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 19
OPP 49
+36
68.9%
R.Kost punts 36 yards to MTS 13, Center-J.Nyers. J.Lane returned punt from the MTS 13. Tackled by MNM at MTS 13. PENALTY on MTS-MTS, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 4:2470% → 69%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
70.3%
D.England-Chisolm rushed to MTS 16 for 6 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 16.Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
70.4%
PENALTY on MTS-MTS, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-1
70.3%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 13 for -1 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 13.Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+13
69.8%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 10. Catch made by D.England-Chisolm at MTS 10. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 23.Similar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
70.2%
C.Mobley rushed to MTS 25 for 1 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 25.Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
70.1%
PENALTY on MTS-MTS, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 14
OWN 19
0
70.0%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for E.Metcalf.Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+18
69.4%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 19. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 19. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 37.Similar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
70.3%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 43 for 6 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 43.Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-1
70.8%
A.Rasul rushed to MTS 42 for -1 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 42.Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-6
70.2%
A.Ogden rushed to MTS 36 for -6 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 36.Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+31
68.9%
K.Ulbrich punts 31 yards to MNM 18, Center-C.Garrison. Fair catch by E.Morales. PENALTY on MTS-MTS, Personal Foul / Offense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 6TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:4927% → 36%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
73.5%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 29 for 8 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 29.Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
72.9%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 32.Similar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.2%
A.Bryant rushed to MNM 34 for yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 34. PENALTY on MNM-MNM, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+6
73.7%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 22. Catch made by A.Kearney at MNM 22. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 28.Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+5
73.8%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 28. Catch made by E.Archie at MNM 28. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 33.Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+13
73.9%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 33. Catch made by A.Kearney at MNM 33. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 46.Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
72.5%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 50 for 4 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 50.Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 5
OPP 0
+7
71.3%
J.Farri rushed to MTS 43 for 7 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 43.Similar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
72.2%
J.Farri rushed to MTS 42 for 1 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 42.Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
72.2%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for E.Archie.Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+4
72.8%
J.Shirden rushed to MTS 38 for 4 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 38.Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+16
73.4%
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 37. Catch made by T.Greene at MTS 37. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 21.Similar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
63.8%
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 22. Catch made by E.Archie at MTS 22. Gain of 22 yards. E.Archie for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:3168% → 66%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.3%
B.Anderson rushed to MTS 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 28.Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
68.3%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 27. Catch made by J.Pierce at MTS 27. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 32.Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
67.6%
F.Peasant rushed to MTS 42 for 10 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 42.Similar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
69.3%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 42. Catch made by C.Windham at MTS 42. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 49.Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
69.9%
A.Rasul rushed to MNM 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 45.Similar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
69.9%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman sacked at MTS 49 for -7 yards (E.Morales) B.Hockman FUMBLES, forced by E.Morales. Fumble RECOVERED by MTS-J.Palmer at MTS 49. Tackled by MNM at MTS 49.Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+4
68.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 49. Catch made by E.Metcalf at MTS 49. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 47.Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 17
OWN 48
0
66.9%
C.Cunningham steps back to pass. C.Cunningham pass incomplete intended for C.Windham.Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 17
OPP 47
+47
66.2%
K.Ulbrich punts 47 yards to MNM End Zone, Center-C.Garrison. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:1336% → 40%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
64.4%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 31 for 11 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 31.Similar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
63.8%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 31. Catch made by L.Moore at MNM 31. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 36.Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+27
62.6%
J.Farri rushed to MTS 37 for 27 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 37.Similar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
61.2%
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 37. Catch made by L.Moore at MTS 37. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 33.Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-6
59.8%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett sacked at MTS 39 for -6 yards (J.Ferguson) T.Muskett FUMBLES, forced by J.Ferguson. Fumble RECOVERED by MTS-R.Kinley at MTS 42. Tackled by J.Marcus at MTS 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:3969% → 77%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+35
68.7%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 42. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 42. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 23.Similar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
69.8%
B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 23. Catch made by C.Windham at MNM 23. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 13.Similar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-16
69.8%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman sacked at MNM 29 for -16 yards (L.Hernandez) PENALTY on MTS-B.Hockman, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 27
OPP 30
+29
77.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 29. Catch made by D.England-Chisolm at MNM 29. Gain of 29 yards. D.England-Chisolm for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:3425% → 26%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
75.1%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 18. Catch made by T.Greene at MNM 18. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 27.Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+5
74.4%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 32 for 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 32.Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
74.7%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 32. Catch made by Z.Tredway at MNM 32. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 35.Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
74.5%
O.Wright rushed to MNM 35 for 0 yards. O.Wright FUMBLES, forced by MTS. Fumble RECOVERED by MTS-J.Ferguson at MNM 35. Tackled by MNM at MNM 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:1578% → 86%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
78.3%
B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 35. Catch made by C.Windham at MNM 35. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 32.Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+32
85.7%
B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 32. Catch made by J.Lane at MNM 32. Gain of 32 yards. J.Lane for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.5%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Thomas at MNM 28.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4218% → 16%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
82.0%
A.Ogden rushed to MTS 14 for -4 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 14.Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-1
83.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 14. Catch made by F.Peasant at MTS 14. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 13.Similar
Q3 14:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
84.0%
B.Anderson rushed to MTS 20 for 7 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 20.Similar
Q3 14:11
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+47
84.0%
K.Ulbrich punts 47 yards to MNM 33, Center-C.Garrison. E.Morales returned punt from the MNM 33. Tackled by T.Fluellen at MNM 37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3115% → 14%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
84.6%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 38 for 1 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 38.Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
84.9%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for E.Archie.Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-1
85.2%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 38. Catch made by Z.Tredway at MNM 38. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by J.Ferguson at MNM 37.Similar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+28
86.4%
C.McCreary punts 28 yards to MTS 35, Center-J.Nyers. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4587% → 96%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
87.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 35. Catch made by J.Pierce at MTS 35. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 48.Similar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
87.8%
F.Peasant rushed to MNM 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 49.Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+15
87.9%
B.Anderson rushed to MNM 34 for 15 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 34.Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
88.6%
C.Cunningham pass complete to MNM 34. Catch made by J.Pierce at MNM 34. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 25.Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+5
88.8%
A.Rasul rushed to MNM 20 for 5 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 20.Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
88.8%
C.Mobley rushed to MNM 9 for 11 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 9.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.9%
C.Mobley rushed to MNM End Zone for 9 yards. C.Mobley for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:125% → 15%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 29.Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.3%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 29. Catch made by J.Marcus at MNM 29. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 31.Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
95.4%
J.Shirden rushed to MNM 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 37.Similar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
95.5%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 42 for 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 42.Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+11
95.6%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 42. Catch made by T.Greene at MNM 42. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 47.Similar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.6%
J.Farri rushed to MTS 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 45.Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
95.8%
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 45. Catch made by J.Marcus at MTS 45. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 40.Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+3
95.8%
J.Shirden rushed to MTS 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 37.Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.5%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for Z.Tredway.Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
96.5%
J.Shirden rushed to MTS 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 34.Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+2
96.6%
J.Farri rushed to MTS 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 32.Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+26
96.8%
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 32. Catch made by T.Greene at MTS 32. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 6.Similar
Q3 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
96.7%
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 6. Catch made by Z.Tredway at MTS 6. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MTS 1.Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.5%
T.Muskett rushed to MTS End Zone for 1 yards. T.Muskett for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld. Timeout #1 by MTS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:5691% → 93%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 25. Catch made by J.Marshall at MTS 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 30.Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
90.6%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 30. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 30. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 36.Similar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
91.0%
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 36. Catch made by C.Windham at MTS 36. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 46.Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
91.4%
B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 46. Catch made by J.Marshall at MNM 46. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 36.Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.2%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for D.England-Chisolm.Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.1%
C.Mobley rushed to MNM 33 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Wright at MNM 33.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+1
92.9%
A.Rasul rushed to MNM 32 for 1 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 32.Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 6
OPP 32
0
92.5%
B.Hockman steps back to pass. B.Hockman pass incomplete intended for C.Windham.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 18INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:3511% → 5%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.4%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for L.Moore.Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
90.1%
M.Smyth pass complete to MNM 32. Catch made by L.Moore at MNM 32. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 37.Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-44
95.4%
T.Muskett pass INTERCEPTED at MNM 44. Intercepted by T.Ross at MNM 44. T.Ross for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:552% → 1%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
T.Muskett pass complete to MNM 25. Catch made by L.Moore at MNM 25. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 27.Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
98.5%
J.Farri rushed to MNM 36 for 9 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 36.Similar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.5%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for T.Greene.Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.5%
J.Shirden rushed to MNM 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 38.Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
98.6%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for J.Shirden.Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
98.7%
T.Muskett steps back to pass. T.Muskett pass incomplete intended for E.Archie.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:3899% → 100%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
98.7%
C.Cunningham pass complete to MNM 38. Catch made by J.Pierce at MNM 38. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 27.Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
98.7%
C.Cunningham rushed to MNM 5 for 22 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 5.Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
98.8%
M.Pettaway rushed to MNM 6 for -1 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 6.Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
B.Hockman pass complete to MNM 6. Catch made by C.Windham at MNM 6. Gain of 6 yards. C.Windham for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
99.9%
M.Pettaway rushed to MTS 28 for -2 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 28.Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-3
99.9%
C.Cunningham rushed to MTS 25 for -3 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 25.Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
C.Cunningham pass complete to MTS 25. Catch made by J.Thompson at MTS 25. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by MNM at MTS 38.Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+40
99.9%
K.Ulbrich punts 40 yards to MNM 22, Center-C.Garrison. Fair catch by E.Morales.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
99.9%
J.Thompson rushed to MNM 9 for -2 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 9.Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
M.Pettaway rushed to MNM End Zone for 9 yards. M.Pettaway for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
J.Shirden rushed to MNM 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 29.Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
M.Smyth pass complete to MNM 29. Catch made by A.Bryant at MNM 29. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 33.Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
J.Barnes rushed to MNM 34 for 1 yards. Tackled by MTS at MNM 34.Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
J.Barnes rushed to MNM 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Cook at MNM 34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.9%
M.Diliello rushed to MNM 23 for 11 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 23.Similar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.9%
F.Peasant rushed to MNM 19 for 4 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 19.Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+6
99.9%
F.Peasant rushed to MNM 13 for 6 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 13.Similar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
M.Diliello rushed to MNM 11 for 2 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 11.Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
100.0%
F.Peasant rushed to MNM 7 for 4 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 7.Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
100.0%
M.Diliello steps back to pass. M.Diliello pass incomplete intended for T.Sweet. PENALTY on MTS-J.Thompson, Offensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 19
OPP 22
0
99.9%
M.Diliello kneels at the MNM 23.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
J.Barnes rushed to MNM 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by V.Dinkins at MNM 31.Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
J.Barnes rushed to MNM 32 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Hartley at MNM 32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:21
T.Muskett rushed to MTS End Zone for 1 yards. T.Muskett for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld. Timeout #1 by MTS.
-11.2
TD · Q2 8:49
T.Muskett pass complete to MTS 22. Catch made by E.Archie at MTS 22. Gain of 22 yards. E.Archie for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-9.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:55
B.Hockman pass complete to MTS 42. Catch made by J.Lane at MTS 42. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by MNM at MNM 23.
+8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com