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UGA

Georgia 24 at Alabama 41

ALA
2021 · Week 14 · Dec 4, 2021 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:54 · Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 10 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 183Home team on offense+31.8Pregame prior−0.3Score differential+11.9Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+19.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:06: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 32 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +13.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:26: Bryce Young run for 11 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +11.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:10: Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 55 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +14.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:59: Stetson Bennett pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Battle return for 42 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +10.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:42: Brock Bowers 18 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +11.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UGA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:32UGA 4th & 10 at ALA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:29ALA 4th & 5 at ALA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01UGA 4th & 13 at ALA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32ALA 4th & 10 at UGA 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:43UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:41UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:28ALA 4th & 2 at UGA 15, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%−0.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:55UGA 4th & 1 at ALA 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−2.6
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−10.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:47ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00UGA 4th & 9 at ALA 19, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−7.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:16ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:16ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:08UGA 4th & 15 at UGA 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:59ALA 4th & 10 at UGA 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:54UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:29UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:56UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:12ALA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:46ALA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:06UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:26ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:10ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:59ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:42UGA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:1572% → 71%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
28.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 14 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.3%
James Cook run for no gain to the Alab 46Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
28.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
28.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Zamir WhiteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
28.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:5629% → 29%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
28.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 10 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
29.1%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie IIISimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
29.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
29.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie IIISimilar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
29.2%
James Burnip punt for 50 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for no gain to the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 6:2471% → 68%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
29.4%
Stetson Bennett run for 1 yd to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
29.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 8 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+8
29.7%
James Cook run for 8 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
29.8%
Zamir White run for 9 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+8
30.0%
Zamir White run for 8 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
30.2%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+18
30.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 18 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
30.4%
James Cook run for 6 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+1
30.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Alab 11Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-10
31.1%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
31.9%
Jack Podlesny 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:2831% → 32%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
31.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
31.9%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Alab 34Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
31.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 7 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
32.5%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+13
32.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 13 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
33.3%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
33.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr., broken up by Nakobe DeanSimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
32.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Slade BoldenSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
31.9%
James Burnip punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
9 plays · 97 yds · 3:3567% → 72%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
32.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the Geo 2Similar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+3
32.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 3 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+16
32.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 16 yds to the Geo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
32.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Zamir White for 8 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
32.2%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
32.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 22 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
31.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to George Pickens for 37 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
31.6%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Alab 5Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
27.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4128% → 34%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
34.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 67 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2267% → 66%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
33.0%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
33.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
34.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4934% → 43%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
34.1%
Sanders, Trey rush for 6 yards to the ALABAMA26, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the ALABAMA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+40
34.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
50
+23
36.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 23 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
37.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Geo 27Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
37.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
37.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Geo 13Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
42.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 13 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5960% → 58%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.3%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
40.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock Bowers, broken up by Brian BranchSimilar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
41.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to James CookSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
42.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 64 yds, downed at the Alab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10FG
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:1041% → 53%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
41.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 7 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+1
41.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 14Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+22
41.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 22 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
43.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
45.6%
Trey Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 48Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+12
44.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 12 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
46.1%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
47.1%
Bryce Young run for 15 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
48.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 6 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
48.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
47.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.Similar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
52.7%
Will Reichard 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1549% → 65%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
51.4%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Washington, Darnell, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the GEORGIA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
51.0%
Brock Bowers run for 1 yd to the Geo 36 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 19
OWN 26
+15
51.7%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Mitchell, Adonai, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference 15 yards to the GEORGIA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
50.3%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to McConkey, Ladd, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference 15 yards to the ALABAMA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
49.0%
Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
35.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 32 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:1942% → 58%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 5 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
42.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel Billingsley, broken up by Christopher SmithSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
43.1%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+23
41.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 23 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
45.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
45.6%
Bryce Young run for 14 yds to the Geo 25 Bryce Young fumbled, recovered by AlabSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
46.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 14 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
57.7%
Bryce Young run for 11 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
53.5%
James Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4556% → 73%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 9 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
57.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
56.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
58.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+55
73.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 55 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15INT
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:1530% → 27%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to George Pickens for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
70.3%
James Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
72.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
71.5%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Mitchell, Adonai, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference 15 yards to the ALABAMA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
70.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 5 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-5
70.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
72.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
70.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
71.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 36Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+14
75.6%
Stetson Bennett run for 14 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
73.9%
Stetson Bennett run for 2 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
72.2%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Alab 19Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-3
73.0%
Stetson Bennett pass intercepted DeMarcco Hellams return for 3 yds to the Alab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:5681% → 81%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
81.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 8 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+15
81.5%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Brooks, Ja'Corey, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference 15 yards to the ALABAMA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr., broken up by Nakobe DeanSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
81.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
81.2%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+6
80.8%
James Burnip punt for 44 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 6 yds to the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 54 yds · 5:4222% → 14%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
78.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
78.2%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+11
79.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 11 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
80.1%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Phidarian Mathis for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+11
81.5%
Stetson Bennett run for 11 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
80.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
80.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 7 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+7
79.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
80.9%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Alab 19Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
83.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
85.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 19
0
85.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:4490% → 91%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
90.1%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
90.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 15 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
90.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 1 yd to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
90.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
91.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
90.5%
James Burnip punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1512% → 2%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
87.8%
James Cook run for 8 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
87.0%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-42
97.9%
Stetson Bennett pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Battle return for 42 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:052% → 14%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.0%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+31
98.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 31 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
97.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Zamir White for 9 yds to the Alab 21Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+3
97.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 3 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
86.5%
Brock Bowers 18 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2194% → 94%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
94.0%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Slade BoldenSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
94.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 8 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.3%
James Burnip punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:029% → 7%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
91.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 19 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
90.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 11 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
91.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
91.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 10
OPP 49
-5
91.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
92.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 5:0695% → 99%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
95.0%
Trey Sanders run for 5 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
95.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+24
95.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 24 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
96.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+9
96.1%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Williams, Jameson, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference 9 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
96.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 45Similar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+6
96.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+14
96.8%
Trey Sanders run for 14 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
97.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
97.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 9 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
97.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+2
98.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-1
98.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
98.8%
Will Reichard 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-6
99.3%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 10 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete, broken up by Justin EboigbeSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis Jackson, broken up by Brian BranchSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:10
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 55 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q2 2:06
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 32 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-13.9
TD · Q4 9:42
Brock Bowers 18 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com