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UK

Kentucky 52 at Louisville 21

LOU
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:55 · Mark Vassett punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kent 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Home team on offense−6.6Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor−1.8Pregame prior+8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:30: Malik Cunningham 2 Yd Run (James Turner Kick) — LOU win probability +2.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:18: Will Levis 7 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick) — UK win probability +5.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:53: Will Levis 5 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick) — UK win probability +15.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:28: Will Levis 1 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick) — UK win probability +12.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:18: Chris Rodriguez Jr. 2 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick) — UK win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:09LOU 4th & 5 at UK 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:29UK 4th & 2 at LOU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.2%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:46UK 4th & 2 at LOU 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−4.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:55LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:41LOU 4th & 11 at UK 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:10LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 6:29UK 4th & 13 at UK 22, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:42LOU 4th & 8 at UK 42, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:22UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:30LOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:18UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:53UK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:28UK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:18UK Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:33UK Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:49LOU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:54UK Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:08LOU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2837% → 38%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
63.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 27 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
63.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
62.9%
JuTahn McClain run for 6 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
62.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
62.8%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+29
61.8%
Will Levis 29 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4562% → 63%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
62.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
62.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+10
62.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 10 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
61.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 21 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
61.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
61.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+6
61.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 6 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
61.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
61.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Kent 2Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
63.3%
Malik Cunningham 2 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0538% → 45%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
62.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
62.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 16 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
61.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
61.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 4 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+8
61.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
61.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 37Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+9
61.1%
JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+7
61.0%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
60.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Lvile 21Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+14
59.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
54.8%
Will Levis 7 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:0157% → 56%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
56.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
57.3%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Quandre Mosely) to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
57.9%
Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+6
57.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
57.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Trevion CooleySimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
56.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 5:1646% → 49%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
54.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
53.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 47Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+7
53.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+2
52.8%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+5
53.2%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
51.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
51.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
50.8%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
50.6%
Matt Ruffolo 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4449% → 46%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
48.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
47.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon FordSimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
46.4%
Mark Vassett punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:5653% → 74%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
47.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
47.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
46.8%
Will Levis run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
50
+12
45.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
44.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+11
43.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
43.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 12Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
42.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+5
43.2%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
42.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 5Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.7%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
25.6%
Will Levis 5 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:0833% → 32%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 5 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
33.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
50
+20
34.4%
Evan Conley run for 20 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
35.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
35.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-9
34.6%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+49
32.2%
James Turner 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:3476% → 77%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
24.5%
Will Levis run for 10 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
25.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
24.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 6 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
22.9%
Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:4530% → 28%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 9 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
30.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
29.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
27.9%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
27.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Ahmari Huggins-BruceSimilar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
27.5%
Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:3174% → 92%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
26.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
25.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
23.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+41
22.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 41 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
21.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
20.2%
JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Lvile 1Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.2%
Will Levis 1 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:2711% → 10%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
10.5%
Trevion Cooley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
10.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
9.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 18 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
9.8%
Malik Cunningham pass intercepted J.J. Weaver return for 1 yd to the Kent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:2793% → 99%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
7.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
7.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
6.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
5.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 21Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+12
5.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
3.8%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 7Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
3.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 6Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 0
OPP 6
+4
3.3%
Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference (Cole, Qwynnterrio) 4 yards to the LOUISVILLE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q3 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 2 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:552% → 2%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
1.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-10
1.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Caleb Chandler) to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+2
1.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 2 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+5
1.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 34 yds , Josh Ali returns for 5 yds to the Kent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
0.9%
JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
0.9%
JuTahn McClain run for 10 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
0.8%
Will Levis run for 22 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
0.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Lvile 13Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
0.7%
Kavosiey Smoke 13 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
0.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Cade Degraw) to the Lvile 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:311% → 0%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.5%
Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+10
0.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 10 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
0.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 16 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
0.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 29 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
0.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 12Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
0.4%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Kent 12Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 0
OPP 12
-5
0.3%
Cunningham, Malik pass complete to Ford, Marshon for 12 yards to the KENTUCKY0, PENALTY LOUISVILLE ineligible downfield on pass (Bentley, Cole) 5 yards to the KENTUCKY17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+13
0.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Assisting the Runner (4 Yards) to the Kent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
0.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 8Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.4%
Josh Johnson 8 Yd pass from Evan Conley (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Flax) to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
0.3%
La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
0.3%
La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
0.3%
Beau Allen pass complete to Rahsaan Lewis for no gain to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
0.3%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 33 yds, downed at the Lvile 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
0.2%
Evan Conley pass complete to Shai Werts for 11 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
0.2%
Evan Conley pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 3 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-1
0.2%
Evan Conley pass complete to Marshon Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
0.2%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Justin Marshall, broken up by Carrington ValentineSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+6
0.2%
Evan Conley pass complete to Maurice Burkley for 6 yds to the Kent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
0.2%
Beau Allen run for 23 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
0.2%
La'Vell Wright 41 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Maurice Burkley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
0.1%
Evan Conley pass complete to Duane Martin for 8 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
0.1%
Maurice Burkley run for 6 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+10
0.1%
Maurice Burkley run for 10 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
0.1%
Maurice Burkley run for 6 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
0.1%
Evan Conley run for 6 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+28
0.1%
Evan Conley pass complete to Josh Lifson for 28 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.1%
Maurice Burkley 7 Yd Run (James Turner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:53
Will Levis 5 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)
-15.2
TD · Q3 9:28
Will Levis 1 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)
-12.1
TD · Q1 1:18
Will Levis 7 Yd Run (Matt Ruffolo Kick)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com