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TNST

Tennessee State 10 at Mississippi State 55

MSST
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Davis Wade Stadium
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Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadTNST aheadconfidence bandkey playMSST scoreTNST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:44 · Will Rogers pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 3 yds to the TenSt 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior+36.9Home team on offense+30.1Score differential+19.6Blowout margin+8.0Garbage-time factor+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:28: Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 21 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK) — TNST win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:49: Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 5 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK) — MSST win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:52: Will Rogers pass complete to Malik Heath for 56 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK) — MSST win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:21: Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 30 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK) — MSST win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TNST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:20TNST 4th & 10 at TNST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:02TNST 4th & 25 at TNST 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:32TNST 4th & 11 at TNST 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:08TNST 4th & 5 at TNST 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:16TNST 4th & 26 at MSST 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:29TNST 4th & 5 at MSST 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:44MSST 4th & 4 at TNST 48, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:58TNST 4th & 6 at TNST 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:40TNST 4th & 10 at TNST 49, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:19TNST 4th & 6 at MSST 25, down 49
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:12MSST 4th & 1 at MSST 39, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:09MSST 4th & 2 at TNST 15, up 46
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:27MSST 4th & 10 at TNST 25, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    100.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TNST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:28MSST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:54MSST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:49MSST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:52MSST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:21MSST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:10MSST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:04MSST Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:03TNST Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TNSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.4%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Devon Starling for 1 yd to the TenSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
99.4%
Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the TenSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Chayil Garnett pass incomplete to Devon StarlingSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.3%
Kaleb Mosley punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 40 , Jaden Walley returns for 15 yds to the MisSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 4 yds to the MisSt 44Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Jaden WalleySimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+31
99.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Malik Heath for 31 yds to the TenSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.3%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the TenSt 21Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
99.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 21 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the TenSt 23Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.3%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Devon Starling for 1 yd to the TenSt 22Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-12
99.3%
Chayil Garnett sacked by Nathan Pickering for a loss of 12 yards to the TenSt 10Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+29
99.2%
Kaleb Mosley punt for 50 yds , Jaden Walley returns for 29 yds to the TenSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 7 yds to the TenSt 24Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
99.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 5 yds to the TenSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 4 yds to the TenSt 15Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+8
99.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 8 yds to the TenSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.2%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Jo'quavious MarksSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.2%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 7 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.1%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Rodell Rahmaan for 1 yd to the TenSt 23Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+3
99.1%
Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds to the TenSt 26Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-3
99.1%
Chayil Garnett sacked by Tyrus Wheat for a loss of 3 yards to the TenSt 23Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+4
99.1%
Kaleb Mosley punt for 39 yds , Jaden Walley returns for 4 yds to the MisSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:4399% → 99%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 1 yd to the MisSt 41Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+12
99.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 12 yds to the TenSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
99.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 17 yds to the TenSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the TenSt 30Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+25
99.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 25 yds to the TenSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 5 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:311% → 1%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.2%
Micha Mitchell run for 5 yds to the TenSt 17Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+10
99.2%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Cam Wyche for 10 yds to the TenSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
99.2%
Chayil Garnett sacked by Nathan Pickering for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Chayil Garnett pass incomplete to Rodell RahmaanSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+6
99.2%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Rodell Rahmaan for 6 yds to the TenSt 32Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+25
99.2%
Kaleb Mosley punt for 49 yds , Jaden Walley returns for 25 yds to the MisSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:1099% → 99%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.3%
PENALTY TSU Offside (Baez,Emmanuel) 5 yards from MSU44 to MSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+7
99.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 7 yds Makai Polk fumbled, forced by Cameron Stewart, recovered by TenSt James GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 3:421% → 1%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.2%
Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the TenSt 49Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+6
99.2%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 6 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.2%
Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the MisSt 40Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
99.2%
Chayil Garnett pass incomplete to Josh TrueheartSimilar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+9
99.2%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 9 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.1%
Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the MisSt 30Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Devon Starling run for no gain to the MisSt 30Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-17
99.2%
TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-17 Yards) to the MisSt 47Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 26
OPP 47
0
99.2%
Kaleb Mosley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Austin Williams at the MisSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:2499% → 100%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
99.2%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 10 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 6 yds to the MisSt 30Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+8
99.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 8 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 6 yds to the MisSt 44Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Caleb DuckingSimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+56
99.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Malik Heath for 56 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 28 yds · 5:230% → 0%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Micha Mitchell run for 2 yds to the TenSt 27Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.7%
Micha Mitchell run for 4 yds to the TenSt 31Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Micha Mitchell for 5 yds to the TenSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.7%
Micha Mitchell run for 5 yds to the TenSt 41Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Micha Mitchell run for 2 yds to the TenSt 39Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
99.7%
Garnett,Chayil pass incomplete to Wyche,Cam broken up by Emerson,Martin, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Emerson,Martin) 9 yards from TSU39 to TSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Chayil Garnett pass incomplete to Dayron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Chayil Garnett run for no gain to the TenSt 48Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 5 yds to the MisSt 47Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Chayil Garnett pass incomplete to Devon StarlingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Rufus HarveySimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 9 yds to the TenSt 44Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+14
99.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 14 yds to the TenSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 30 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
Devon Starling run for 6 yds to the TenSt 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Devon Starling run for 6 yds to the TenSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 12 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.8%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the MisSt 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
99.8%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
50
+2
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 2 yds to the TenSt 48Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 3 yds to the TenSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Devon Starling run for no gain to the TenSt 45Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Chayil Garnett pass incomplete to Josh TrueheartSimilar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.8%
Chayil Garnett pass complete to Devon Starling for 4 yds to the TenSt 49Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Kaleb Mosley punt for 42 yds , Austin Williams returns for 2 yds to the MisSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 14 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the MisSt 31Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Austin WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Makai Polk for 50 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:240% → 0%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Micha Mitchell run for 5 yds to the TenSt 32Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Micha Mitchell run for 6 yds to the TenSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Rodell Rahmaan for 2 yds to the TenSt 40Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Dayron Johnson for 9 yds to the TenSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Cam Wyche for 3 yds to the MisSt 48Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Gerand TurnerSimilar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-10
99.9%
Bryant,Deveon rush for 8 yards gain to the MSU40 (Page,DeShawn) PENALTY TSU Holding (Page,Chazan) 10 yards from MSU48 to TSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Devon Starling for 7 yds to the TenSt 49Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Kaleb Mosley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Austin Williams at the MisSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Will Rogers pass incomplete to Jamire CalvinSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 9 yds to the MisSt 24Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+22
99.9%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 22 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 13 yds to the TenSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 9 yds to the TenSt 32Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 32 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Devon Starling run for 9 yds to the TenSt 34Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Micha Mitchell run for 3 yds to the TenSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Zaire Thornton for 6 yds to the TenSt 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
100.0%
Micha Mitchell run for 1 yd to the TenSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+55
100.0%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Cam Wyche for 55 yds to the MisSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+4
99.9%
Deveon Bryant run for 4 yds to the MisSt 19 Deveon Bryant fumbled, forced by Dylan Lawrence, recovered by MisSt Jett JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 8 yds to the MisSt 27Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Omni WellsSimilar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
J.J. Jernighan run for 2 yds to the MisSt 29 J.J. Jernighan fumbled, forced by James Green, recovered by TenSt Cory RahmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 21FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Zaire Thornton for 8 yds to the MisSt 21Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Deveon Bryant run for 1 yd to the MisSt 20Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Micha Mitchell run for 5 yds to the MisSt 25Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
100.0%
James Lowery 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 22FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Brodie KingSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 7 yds to the MisSt 37Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Chance Lovertich run for 2 yds to the MisSt 39Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
J.J. Jernighan run for 8 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Teddy KnoxSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
100.0%
PENALTY MSU False Start (Jones,Nick) 5 yards from MSU47 to MSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+23
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Carson Banks for 23 yds to the TenSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 12 yds to the TenSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Rufus HarveySimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 7 yds to the TenSt 16Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+1
100.0%
Chance Lovertich run for 1 yd to the TenSt 15Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
100.0%
Nolan McCord 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 23TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:550% → 0%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
100.0%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Zaire Thornton for 18 yds to the TenSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Deveon Bryant run for 4 yds to the MisSt 48Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Devon Starling run for 2 yds to the MisSt 46Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+20
100.0%
Deveon Bryant pass complete to Cam Wyche for 20 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Deveon Bryant pass incomplete to Josh TrueheartSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
100.0%
Bryant,Deveon pass incomplete to Dobson,Zack broken up by Ellington,Corey PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Ellington,Corey) 15 yards from MSU26 to MSU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
100.0%
Deveon Bryant run for 4 yds to the MisSt 7Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Deveon Bryant run for 2 yds to the MisSt 5Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Micha Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 24FG
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Omni Wells for 40 yds to the TenSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Brodie King for no gain to the TenSt 25Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
100.0%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Brodie King for 5 yds to the TenSt 20Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-5
100.0%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the TenSt 25Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
100.0%
Nolan McCord 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:52
Will Rogers pass complete to Malik Heath for 56 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 11:28
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 21 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)
-0.1
TD · Q1 1:49
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 5 yds for a TD (Nolan McCord KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com