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ULM

UL Monroe 14 at LSU 27

LSU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:38 · Devyn McCormick punt for 39 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 3 yds to the LSU 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+23.8Home team on offense+10.3Garbage-time factor+0.8Score differential+3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:19: Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 67 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:34: Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 28 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +3.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:29: Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:20: Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 27 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +5.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:20: Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LaMon 43 — LSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:57ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:49ULM 4th & 2 at LSU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:51LSU 4th & 16 at ULM 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:05LSU 4th & 9 at ULM 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:13ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:14LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 39, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:39LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 34, up 10
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:37LSU 4th & 3 at ULM 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:38ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 46, down 10
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 11 at LSU 43, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:18ULM 4th & 2 at LSU 2, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:43LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 6, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:45ULM 4th & 10 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:22LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 10, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:22ULM 4th & 10 at LSU 37, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:20LSU 4th & 1 at ULM 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:46LSU 4th & 7 at ULM 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:49LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:19LSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:34ULM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:29LSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:20ULM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:033% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.8%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
96.8%
Jevin Frett run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+4
96.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 42 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 4 yds to the LSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 2:0897% → 97%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
96.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+48
96.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 48 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.7%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.5%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:004% → 5%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
96.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Zach Jackson for 9 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
96.4%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
96.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 7 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
96.4%
RODRIGUEZ, Rhett pass to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON, Zach thrown to the LSU40. PENALTY LSU Offsides on ROY, Jaquelin enforced 5 yards from the ULM47 to the LSU48 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
96.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 16 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
96.4%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
96.4%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+9
96.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 9 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
96.4%
JACKSON, Malik rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU19 (LITTLE, Desmond). PENALTY LSU Horse Collar Tackle on LITTLE, Desmond enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the LSU16 to the LSU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.4%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.4%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
96.4%
Abraham Alce run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 2Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Malik Jackson for 1 yd to the LSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:5896% → 95%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
95.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+17
95.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 17 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
95.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 21 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
95.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+6
95.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
95.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 5 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
95.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+14
95.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 14 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.8%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
95.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-6
95.0%
run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 26 fumbled, recovered by LSU Max JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 16
OPP 26
+44
94.7%
Cade York 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5INT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:035% → 5%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
94.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
94.8%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-10
94.6%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 14
OWN 22
-40
94.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass intercepted return for no gain Jay Ward return for 40 ydsSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
94.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Zack Woodard) to the LaMon 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:4395% → 94%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+4
94.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Corey Kiner for 4 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+2
94.9%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
94.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 5 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
94.9%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+6
94.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.8%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
94.4%
Cade York 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:526% → 6%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
94.5%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.2%
Devyn McCormick punt for 37 yds, downed at the LSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:5494% → 97%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
94.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
94.2%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+67
96.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 67 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:024% → 4%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.3%
Chandler Rogers run for 13 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
96.1%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
96.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-1
96.3%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
96.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 42 yds , Trey Palmer returns for no gain to the LSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 3:0397% → 96%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
96.5%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
96.5%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.5%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
96.5%
Max Johnson sacked by Traveion Webster for 0 yards to the LSU 24Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 19
OWN 24
+15
96.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 15 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
96.3%
Avery Atkins pass intercepted return for no gain to the LSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:405% → 8%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.3%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
92.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 28 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5593% → 93%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
93.3%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
92.9%
Max Johnson run for 7 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
92.8%
Avery Atkins punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:397% → 7%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
93.0%
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+4
92.9%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
92.6%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14DOWNS
15 plays · 51 yds · 7:1793% → 92%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
92.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 6 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.2%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
93.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
93.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 7 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
93.5%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
93.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 13 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.6%
Max Johnson sacked by Quae Drake for 0 yards to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+6
93.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 6 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+11
93.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
93.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
93.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+2
93.3%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 3
OPP 14
0
92.0%
pass incomplete to Malik Nabers, hurried by Max JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:598% → 8%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
91.9%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+12
91.7%
Malik Jackson run for 12 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
91.4%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
91.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
91.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+3
91.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 39 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 3 yds to the LSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 4:0992% → 97%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
92.0%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+2
92.1%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+16
91.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 16 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
92.7%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
92.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
92.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
92.8%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+42
97.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:113% → 3%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Will Derrick for 12 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.6%
Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
96.6%
RODRIGUEZ, Rhett pass to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON, Zach thrown to the LSU40. PENALTY LSU Personal Foul on GUILLORY, Jacobian declined LSU Roughing the Passer on GUILLORY, Jacobian enforced 15 yards from the ULM43 to the LSU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
96.7%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+1
96.6%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
96.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 38
-5
96.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Malik Jackson) to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+33
96.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 33 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.2%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
96.2%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LSU 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.5%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LSU 2Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.8%
Jared Sparks pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3598% → 97%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.6%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
97.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 3Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+3
97.5%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
97.4%
Avery Atkins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:583% → 3%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
50
+3
97.3%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
97.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
97.4%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Desmond Little for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 10
50
0
97.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 47 yds, downed at the LSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2398% → 98%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
97.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 8Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+2
97.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 3
OWN 10
0
97.6%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
97.6%
Avery Atkins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:023% → 8%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.4%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
97.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 9 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
97.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 9 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
97.3%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
97.4%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
97.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+20
97.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Will Derrick for 20 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
96.9%
HENRY, Andrew rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the LSU14 (JONES, Saivion). PENALTY ULM Holding on DUNN, Peyton enforced 10 yards from the LSU17 to the LSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+27
91.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 27 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 13 yds · 2:3495% → 99%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
95.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
95.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
96.0%
Corren Norman run for 7 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
95.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
96.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
97.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+1
97.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
98.7%
Cade York 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 11 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
98.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 1 yd to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+13
98.7%
Malik Jackson run for 13 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:20
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 27 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q3 1:29
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
+4.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:20
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LaMon 43
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com