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UK

Kentucky 34 at Vanderbilt 17

VAN
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 22 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:09: Ken Seals pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Geiger return for 31 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +3.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:43: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:53: Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Wright pass to Cam Johnson for Two-Point Conversion) — VAN win probability +4.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:33: Mike Wright pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — VAN win probability +3.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:38VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:44VAN 4th & 7 at UK 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:48VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:18VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 35, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:46UK 4th & 6 at VAN 7, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:13VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00UK 4th & 2 at VAN 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:44UK 4th & 8 at UK 37, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:53VAN 4th & 8 at UK 8, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:26UK 4th & 9 at VAN 14, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:33VAN 4th & 4 at UK 8, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:54UK 4th & 4 at UK 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:12VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:19UK 4th & 1 at VAN 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:07UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:09UK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:43UK Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:53VAN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:33VAN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:0611% → 12%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
11.3%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
11.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 13 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
11.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Ben Bresnahan) to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 15
OWN 39
-1
12.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 16
OWN 38
0
12.2%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+4
12.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 4 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
12.4%
Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:0687% → 87%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
12.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+6
12.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
13.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
13.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+18
13.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 18 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
13.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Offside (Devin Lee) to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+1
13.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+14
13.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
13.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+7
14.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
12.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:0514% → 17%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.5%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
13.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 11 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
13.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Tyler Steen) to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+16
13.9%
Patrick Smith run for 16 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
14.5%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 8
50
0
14.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 8
50
+17
14.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 17 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
15.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 1 yd to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-9
15.7%
Ken Seals sacked by Justin Rogers for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 18
OPP 41
+11
14.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 11 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
16.9%
Joseph Bulovas 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 0:2784% → 87%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
16.4%
Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
16.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 39 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
13.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 22 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5INT TD
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:1714% → 11%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
13.8%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
13.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 5 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+2
13.8%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-31
10.6%
Ken Seals pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Geiger return for 31 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0611% → 11%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.6%
James Ziglor III run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
10.6%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to James Ziglor IIISimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
10.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 4 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
10.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:5491% → 96%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
8.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+36
8.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 30 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (Lorenza Surgers) to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
3.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:135% → 4%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
4.7%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
4.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 11 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
4.2%
Ken Seals sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 15
OWN 32
-5
4.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Cam Johnson) to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+8
4.0%
Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
4.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+25
3.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 49 yds , Josh Ali returns for 25 yds to the VANDERBILT 40 KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Vito Tisdale) to the Kent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:0396% → 95%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
4.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+24
3.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 24 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
3.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+23
2.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 23 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
3.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Rahsaan LewisSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
3.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+4
3.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
4.6%
Matt Ruffolo 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:333% → 2%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
3.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Delfin Xavier Castillo) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
2.8%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-7
2.1%
Ken Seals sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 16Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+7
2.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+3
1.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds , Josh Ali returns for 3 yds to the Kent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4597% → 97%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
3.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 10 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-9
3.0%
Will Levis sacked by Malik Langham for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 19
OWN 38
0
2.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to DeMarcus HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 19
OWN 38
+17
2.7%
Will Levis run for 17 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-49
2.7%
Will Levis pass intercepted Chris Pierce Jr. return for 49 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 3:5697% → 98%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
2.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 5 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
2.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 39 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 16
OWN 29
0
2.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey SmokeSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-20
2.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Wan'Dale Robinson) to the Kent 15Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 30
OWN 15
+22
2.3%
JuTahn McClain run for 22 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+5
2.2%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds , Cam Johnson returns for 5 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
2.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:282% → 6%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
2.0%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
1.8%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+9
1.7%
Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 9 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+37
1.8%
Patrick Smith run for 37 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
2.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 9 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+2
2.0%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
2.0%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Kent 13Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
2.0%
Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Vito Tisdale) to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
1.8%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Kent 5Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.8%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
1.7%
Mike Wright sacked by Davonte Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 8 Mike Wright fumbled, recovered by VandySimilar
Q3 5:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
6.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Wright pass to Cam Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 6:5996% → 98%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
3.2%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
3.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
2.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
2.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
2.7%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
2.2%
JuTahn McClain run for 11 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
2.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 10 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
2.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
2.4%
JuTahn McClain run for 15 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
2.3%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-4
2.3%
JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 17Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+3
2.3%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
2.0%
Matt Ruffolo 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:412% → 5%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
2.0%
Cam Johnson pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
50
-1
2.1%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
2.0%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+13
1.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
2.0%
Mike Wright run for 7 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+5
2.1%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
2.1%
James Ziglor III run for 12 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
2.0%
Mike Wright run for no gain to the Kent 14Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
2.0%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+6
1.8%
Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+8
5.2%
Mike Wright pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2096% → 97%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
4.0%
JuTahn McClain run for 14 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
4.0%
JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
3.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 7 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-2
3.4%
JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
3.2%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:323% → 3%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
2.7%
Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+9
2.6%
Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
2.7%
Mike Wright pass complete to James Ziglor III for 5 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+3
2.7%
Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
2.7%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
2.7%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18END OF GAME
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3498% → 99%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
2.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+9
1.8%
JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
1.3%
JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+12
1.2%
Will Levis run for 12 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 17Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-1
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:43
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q3 5:53
Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Wright pass to Cam Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)
+4.4
TD · Q4 7:33
Mike Wright pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com