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UGA

Georgia 41 at Tennessee 17

TENN
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:07 · Jake Camarda punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Pregame prior−38.4Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:42: Jack Podlesny 40 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +1.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:24: Stetson Bennett run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +3.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:37: Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 23 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:14: James Cook run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:38: Joe Milton III pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 12 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 10UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:39TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:26UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:39TENN 4th & 3 at UGA 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.6%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:28TENN 4th & 17 at TENN 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:42UGA 4th & 2 at TENN 22, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:40TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:08UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:42TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:26UGA 4th & 20 at UGA 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−2.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:48TENN 4th & 4 at UGA 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:41UGA 4th & 4 at TENN 9, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−5.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:25TENN 4th & 5 at UGA 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:05TENN 4th & 13 at UGA 39, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    9.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:42TENN 4th & 8 at UGA 22, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:38TENN 4th & 6 at UGA 12, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:05UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:43TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:11UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:24UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:37UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:14UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:03UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:38TENN Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 2:578% → 9%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
7.6%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
7.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+14
7.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 14 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
7.9%
Jabari Small run for 9 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
8.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
8.1%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+7
8.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 7 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
8.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kelee Ringo) to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
8.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
8.8%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Geo 9Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
9.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 9 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:0991% → 91%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
9.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 19 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
9.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
9.6%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+13
10.0%
Stetson Bennett run for 13 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
10.0%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+39
9.5%
James Cook run for 39 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2010% → 10%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
9.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
10.1%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
10.2%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
10.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 42 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 5 yds to the Geo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4490% → 88%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
10.5%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Matthew Butler for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 18
OWN 21
-4
10.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 17Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 22
OWN 17
+13
11.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 13 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+3
11.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 56 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 3 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 3:3112% → 14%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
11.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 5 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
11.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 4 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
11.7%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
12.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 15 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
12.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+6
12.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
13.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-10
13.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerome Carvin) to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+5
13.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+29
13.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 29 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
13.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
14.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
14.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
14.1%
Chase McGrath 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2386% → 84%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.2%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
14.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
15.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
15.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3215% → 15%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-11
15.4%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Travon Walker for a loss of 11 yards to the Tenn 16 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by Travon Walker, recovered by Tenn Jaylen Wright , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+2
15.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
15.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:4084% → 84%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
16.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 12 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
15.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
16.1%
Stetson Bennett run for 12 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
16.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
16.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Zamir White for 3 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
16.5%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
16.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+6
17.2%
Stetson Bennett run for 6 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+40
16.0%
Jack Podlesny 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:3918% → 19%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
18.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
17.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 8 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-13
19.1%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Derion Kendrick return for 13 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:2784% → 89%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
15.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
16.2%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+14
16.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 14 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
15.4%
James Cook run for 15 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.5%
Stetson Bennett run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3513% → 13%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
13.4%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
13.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+36
12.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the TENNESSEE 28 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2288% → 87%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
12.5%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
12.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
12.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to John FitzPatrickSimilar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+4
13.1%
Jake Camarda punt for 43 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 4 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1314% → 14%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
13.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 8 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+10
14.5%
Jabari Small run for 10 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
14.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
14.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
13.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 2:5386% → 91%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
14.1%
James Cook run for 9 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+8
13.2%
James Cook run for 8 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
13.2%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
13.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+11
13.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
12.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 22 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
12.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-10
12.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brock Bowers) to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+15
12.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 15 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+9
12.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 9 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
11.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
8.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 23 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
9.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Robert Beal Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · -10 yds · 2:3490% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
9.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Warren McClendon) to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+8
9.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 8 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+2
9.7%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-10
9.8%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 20
OWN 20
+23
10.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 62 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 23 yds to the Tenn 41 Velus Jones Jr. fumbled, recovered by TennSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:2711% → 11%
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
10.9%
Princeton Fant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
11.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+15
10.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 15 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
11.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+3
10.9%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+5
11.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 5 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+15
11.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Christopher Smith) to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
11.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
11.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob WarrenSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+2
11.4%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 4
OPP 17
0
10.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:4491% → 93%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
8.7%
James Cook run for 8 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+10
8.6%
James Cook run for 10 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
8.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
50
+10
7.9%
Stetson Bennett run for 10 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
7.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
7.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+14
8.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 14 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
7.2%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
7.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 8 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
7.2%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
7.2%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
7.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to John FitzPatrickSimilar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
6.8%
Jack Podlesny 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 3:308% → 8%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
8.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
50
+7
8.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+2
9.3%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-4
9.3%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+9
8.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 9 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
9.1%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-7
9.7%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Channing Tindall for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
8.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 13
OPP 39
-1
8.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Channing Tindall for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:2695% → 99%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
4.8%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
4.7%
Stetson Bennett run for 8 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
4.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
4.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 8 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
4.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 21 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
4.0%
Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
1.4%
James Cook run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21FUMBLE
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
1.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 51 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
2.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 5 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-3
2.0%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 22Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
1.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+11
1.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 11 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
1.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob WarrenSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
1.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-20
1.8%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Channing Tindall for a loss of 20 yards to the Geo 27 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by Channing Tindall, recovered by Geo Travon Walker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 3:2799% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
1.0%
Zamir White run for 14 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
0.9%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+9
0.8%
Zamir White run for 9 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
0.8%
Brock Bowers run for 24 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
0.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 14 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:250% → 1%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for no gain to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+53
0.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 53 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
0.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 8 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
0.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
0.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-2
0.1%
Joe Milton III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 17Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+5
0.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Geo 12Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
0.1%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+12
0.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 12 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
0.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+1
0.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+24
0.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 48 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 24 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
0.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
0.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
0.6%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
0.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 15 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.7%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jimmy HolidaySimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-10
0.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dayne Davis) to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 47
-13
0.6%
Joe Milton III sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 13 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:24
Stetson Bennett run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-3.9
TD · Q2 0:37
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 23 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-3.3
TD · Q4 13:14
James Cook run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com