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South Carolina 28 at Missouri 31

MIZ
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.9MIZ 60.4%Harrison Mevis 19 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Harrison Mevis 19 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Home team on offense+4.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:26: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +6.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:09: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 60 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +7.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:19: Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 26 yds for a TD (ZaQuandre White KICK) — SC win probability +8.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:31: Tyler Badie run for 19 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +10.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:32: ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds for a TD (ZaQuandre White KICK) — SC win probability +29.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:10SC 4th & 1 at MIZ 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    51.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43MIZ 4th & 12 at MIZ 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:26SC 4th & 8 at SC 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:36MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00MIZ 4th & 1 at SC 1, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%−3.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−10.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:00MIZ 4th & 5 at SC 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:33SC 4th & 6 at MIZ 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:58MIZ 4th & 6 at SC 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−2.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:31SC 4th & 7 at SC 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:13SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:56SC 4th & 3 at MIZ 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:22SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:26MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:09MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:19SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:31MIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:56SC Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:32SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3951% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.5%
Jason Brown pass complete to Kevin Harris for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
49.6%
Jason Brown pass intercepted return for no gain to the Misso 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:1150% → 50%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
49.7%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+1
49.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 1 yd to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
49.7%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
50.1%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted return for no gain to the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:4850% → 51%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
49.6%
Jaheim Bell run for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
49.6%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
49.6%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
49.7%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
49.6%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+25
49.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 25 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
49.6%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the Misso 2Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.7%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3449% → 48%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
48.6%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Damani Staley for 0 yards to the Misso 18Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+5
48.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
47.6%
Grant McKinniss punt for 19 yds, downed at the Misso 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:5553% → 54%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
47.3%
Jason Brown pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
47.2%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+5
47.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offsides (Akial Byers) to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
47.2%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
47.2%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
47.3%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
47.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-4
45.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:2247% → 54%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
47.2%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+2
47.7%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
47.4%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+9
48.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 9 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
48.2%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
48.5%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+7
48.4%
Micah Wilson run for 7 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
48.5%
Keke Chism run for 10 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
48.9%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+15
48.1%
Dominic Lovett run for 15 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
48.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 7 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0049% → 48%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
51.1%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
51.7%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
52.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:1753% → 60%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
52.6%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
53.2%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
60.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 60 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:4441% → 51%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
59.7%
BROWN, Jason pass up the middle intercepted by ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris at the SC 39 intended for VANN, Josh. Abrams-Draine return for 7 yards to the SC 32, out of bounds. PENALTY MIZ Holding enforced 10 yards from the SC 25 to the SC 35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
59.2%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+6
59.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 6 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
58.9%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 7 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
58.0%
HARRIS, Kevin rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the MIZ46 (EVANS, Akayleb). PENALTY SC Holding on BELL, Jaheim enforced 10 yards from the SC 47 to the SC 37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+11
59.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 11 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
58.3%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+10
59.0%
Jason Brown pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 10 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
57.7%
Jason Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 44 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
58.5%
ZaQuandre White run for no gain to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+17
59.0%
Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 17 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
56.8%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
56.9%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+26
48.8%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 26 yds for a TD (ZaQuandre White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3955% → 53%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
54.9%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-4
55.3%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
53.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+25
52.8%
Grant McKinniss punt for 55 yds , Josh Vann returns for 25 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · -12 yds · 1:1651% → 48%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
48.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+17
50.4%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 17 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
48.2%
BROWN, Jason pass to the left incomplete thrown to the MIZ28; QB hurried by BAILEY, Chad. PENALTY SC Holding on TURNETINE, Jazston enforced 10 yards from the MIZ41 to the SC 49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 20
OWN 49
0
49.8%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 20
OWN 49
0
49.3%
Jason Brown pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for no gain to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 20
OWN 49
0
49.9%
Jason Brown sacked by Isaiah McGuire for 0 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 33
OWN 36
0
52.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 1:2054% → 60%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+47
53.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 47 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
58.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
57.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+17
56.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 17 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
58.0%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
58.6%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
60.4%
Harrison Mevis 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5258% → 60%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
58.4%
Tyler Badie run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
50
+3
60.9%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
61.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
60.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
60.1%
Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds, downed at the SCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:2741% → 42%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
58.9%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
59.2%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 4
-15
60.4%
BROWN, Jason pass to the right incomplete intended for MUSE, Nick thrown to the SC 5. PENALTY MIZ Personal Foul on ROBINSON, Darius enforced 15 yards from the SC 4 to the SC 19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-15
58.3%
BROWN, Jason pass up the middle incomplete intended for VANN, Josh broken up by EVANS, Akayleb at the MIZ45. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on EVANS, Akayleb enforced 15 yards MIZ Unsportsmanlike Conduct enforced 15 yards from the SC 19 to the SC 49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
55.1%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 27
OWN 32
+21
59.9%
ZaQuandre White run for 21 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
58.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:3560% → 62%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
59.6%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+1
59.4%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 9Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+13
58.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 13 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
60.0%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+14
60.1%
Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.1%
Michael Cox run for 4 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
62.6%
Michael Cox run for 9 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
63.4%
Michael Cox run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
63.4%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
62.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
62.3%
Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:3039% → 22%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
61.3%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-10
61.7%
BROWN, Jason pass to the right intercepted by EVANS, Akayleb at the SC 34 intended for VANN, Josh. Evans return for 0 yards to the SC 34, End of Play. PENALTY MIZ Holding on EVANS, Akayleb enforced 10 yards from the SC 7 to the SC 17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
78.2%
Jason Brown sacked for 0 yards (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:5722% → 20%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
78.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
76.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
76.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
77.5%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
80.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:0081% → 96%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
81.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
80.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
50
+5
81.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
84.6%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
84.6%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
84.8%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
83.9%
Micah Wilson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
84.8%
Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+19
95.7%
Tyler Badie run for 19 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:186% → 5%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.5%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
94.2%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
94.3%
HARRIS, Kevin rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the SC 35 (MCGUIRE, Isaiah). PENALTY Before the snap, SC False Start on MOORE, Jakai enforced 5 yards from the SC 34 to the SC 29. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3396% → 96%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
96.0%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+2
96.2%
Mookie Cooper run for 2 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:444% → 10%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
95.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 8 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
95.3%
ZaQuandre White run for 5 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.4%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
95.4%
Jason Brown pass complete to Xavier Legette for 3 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+15
95.4%
ZaQuandre White run for 25 yds to the MISSOURI 39 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (E.J. Jenkins) to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
95.3%
QB Keeper BROWN, Jason rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 44, out of bounds. PENALTY MIZ Holding on EVANS, Akayleb enforced 10 yards from the SC 45 to the MIZ45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Jason Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
95.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 6 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+1
96.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+38
90.1%
Jason Brown pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 38 yds for a TD (ZaQuandre White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4091% → 92%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
91.1%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
91.8%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
91.8%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted return for no gain to the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:4411% → 41%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
88.7%
Jason Brown pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 9 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
88.7%
ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds for a TD (ZaQuandre White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:3078% → 95%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
78.1%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+30
79.2%
Tyler Badie run for 30 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
88.6%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+10
89.2%
BADIE, Tyler rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the SC 25 (JOHNSON, Brad). PENALTY MIZ Holding on FOSTER, Javon enforced 10 yards from the SC 30 to the SC 40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+11
89.7%
Brady Cook run for 11 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+11
90.1%
Tyler Badie run for 11 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
91.2%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-6
94.9%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 20
-1
95.4%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:32
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds for a TD (ZaQuandre White KICK)
-29.9
TD · Q4 12:31
Tyler Badie run for 19 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q2 4:19
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 26 yds for a TD (ZaQuandre White KICK)
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com