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AUB

Auburn 3 at Texas A&M 20

TA&M
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.6TA&M 99.4%Seth Small 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 20 · Q4 3:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:15 · Seth Small 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Home team on offense+31.8Pregame prior+0.8Score differential+15.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.2Garbage-time factor+14.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+6.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:06: Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 23 — AUB win probability +4.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:45: Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 10 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down — TA&M win probability +5.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:39: Seth Small 29 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +3.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:40: Seth Small 47 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +4.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q4 13:04: Bo Nix sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 11 yards Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Jayden Peevy, recovered by TexAM Micheal Clemons , return for 0 yards , return for 24 yds, (Zach Calzada pass to Ainias Smith for Two-Point Conversion) — TA&M win probability +16.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 10AUB made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 12:33AUB 4th & 17 at AUB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:04TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12TA&M 4th & 4 at AUB 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:20AUB 4th & 8 at TA&M 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:35TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:36AUB 4th & 17 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:47TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:18AUB 4th & 7 at TA&M 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:24TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:24AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:15TA&M 4th & 4 at AUB 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−4.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:11AUB 4th & 14 at AUB 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−2.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:32TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:16AUB 4th & 9 at TA&M 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−10.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:39TA&M 4th & 12 at AUB 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−12.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:59AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:40TA&M 4th & 10 at AUB 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−3.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:40AUB 4th & 15 at AUB 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:31AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:50AUB 4th & 13 at AUB 34, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:15TA&M 4th & 4 at AUB 20, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−2.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:43AUB 4th & 5 at AUB 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1535% → 35%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
65.3%
Jarquez Hunter run for 14 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
65.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel ShenkerSimilar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
65.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-10
65.0%
Bo Nix sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the Aub 42Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 17
OWN 42
+2
65.2%
Oscar Chapman punt for 44 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2FG
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:0465% → 66%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
65.1%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 9 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+3
65.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
65.1%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 8 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
65.3%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
65.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 37Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+2
64.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
65.2%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 25 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
65.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+16
65.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Demond Demas for 16 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
65.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 13 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.6%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
65.5%
Ainias Smith run for 1 yd to the Aub 4Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
65.6%
Seth Small 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 6:4934% → 37%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.7%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
65.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 10 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
65.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 37Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
65.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 4 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
65.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
64.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 12 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
64.5%
Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
64.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 5 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+7
63.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
63.5%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the TexAM 17Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
63.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
63.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for no gain to the TexAM 15Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
62.7%
Anders Carlson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2664% → 63%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
63.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
63.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
63.2%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+12
62.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 53 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 12 yds to the Aub 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5338% → 37%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
61.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
61.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 10 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
61.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tank BigsbySimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-4
61.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 14
OPP 47
-3
62.5%
Bo Nix sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Tyree Johnson, recovered by Aub Bo Nix , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 17
50
0
63.3%
Oscar Chapman punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:3364% → 62%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
63.8%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 13Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 13
OWN 13
0
63.6%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
62.8%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 13
OWN 13
+5
62.3%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 5 yds to the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2039% → 38%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
61.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
60.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
62.4%
Oscar Chapman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:5463% → 64%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
63.4%
AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.6%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+18
63.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 18 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
64.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
65.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
63.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5039% → 38%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
60.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-5
60.8%
AUBURN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
60.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+9
61.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 9 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+1
61.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:0064% → 65%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
63.5%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 14 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
65.1%
Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+6
65.7%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
65.7%
Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
67.3%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
67.3%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the Aub 24Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
66.4%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond DemasSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
65.1%
Seth Small 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:5540% → 38%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
60.3%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 23Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+13
60.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
58.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
59.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
60.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 9
OWN 37
-5
61.4%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 32Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
62.1%
Oscar Chapman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:0363% → 63%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
63.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 21Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
63.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 11Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+12
62.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1962% → 60%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
62.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
62.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 3 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
60.5%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond DemasSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+6
59.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 54 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 6 yds to the Aub 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:0142% → 43%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
58.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 10 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
57.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 6 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
55.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+15
56.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Luke Deal for 15 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
55.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 9 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+13
53.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
53.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the TexAM 16Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
53.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
55.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
57.5%
Anders Carlson 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:2162% → 66%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
62.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+49
61.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 49 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
67.7%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 10 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
67.6%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+18
67.5%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 18 yds to the Aub 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-5
69.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 9Similar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-5
69.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 14Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
66.1%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-9
65.5%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 1 yd to the Aub 13 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 0
OPP 23
+10
66.4%
Zach Calzada run for 10 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
63.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the Aub 12Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
66.4%
Seth Small 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2933% → 29%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
68.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 4 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
68.1%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
69.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
70.7%
Oscar Chapman punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1167% → 78%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+23
66.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 23 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
68.2%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond DemasSimilar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+18
66.8%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 18 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
71.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 15 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
72.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
75.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for no gain to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
74.0%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
78.4%
Seth Small 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18FUMBLE TD
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:2924% → 8%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+24
92.3%
Bo Nix sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 11 yards Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Jayden Peevy, recovered by TexAM Micheal Clemons , return for 0 yards , return for 24 yds, (Zach Calzada pass to Ainias Smith for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:598% → 6%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
92.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Jarquez HunterSimilar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
92.9%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
93.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
93.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+2
93.7%
Oscar Chapman punt for 43 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+68
96.2%
Devon Achane run for 68 yds to the Aub 5 Devon Achane fumbled, forced by Donovan Kaufman, recovered by Aub Roger McCrearySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:266% → 4%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
93.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 11 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
93.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
94.2%
Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
93.8%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
94.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
94.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+1
94.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 1 yd to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+3
94.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
94.4%
Bo Nix sacked by Demani Richardson for a loss of 15 yards to the Aub 22Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+12
95.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 12 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+12
95.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 12 yds to the Aub 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:1898% → 99%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.0%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+1
98.2%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the Aub 44Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+18
98.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 18 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
98.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+5
98.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 2
OPP 18
-2
98.8%
Zach Calzada run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
99.4%
Seth Small 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel ShenkerSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Jaylon Jones return for no gain to the Aub 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
99.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+10
99.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 10 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
99.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q4 13:04
Bo Nix sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 11 yards Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Jayden Peevy, recovered by TexAM Micheal Clemons , return for 0 yards , return for 24 yds, (Zach Calzada pass to Ainias Smith for Two-Point Conversion)
+16.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:45
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 10 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down
+5.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:06
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 23
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com