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TENN

Tennessee 45 at Kentucky 42

UK
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:20 · Paxton Brooks punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Pregame prior−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:11: Jabari Small run for 37 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +16.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:23: Will Levis pass intercepted for a TD Alontae Taylor return for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +20.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:20: Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +23.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 11:40: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 6 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +17.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:36: Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +30.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 5TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:49UK 4th & 15 at TENN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:20TENN 4th & 19 at TENN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:16UK 4th & 4 at TENN 39, tied
    Close callWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%
    36% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 0:14TENN 4th & 8 at UK 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.9%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−1.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q4 12:24UK 4th & 7 at TENN 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−1.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q4 0:55UK 4th & 24 at UK 34, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 0:29UK 4th & 10 at TENN 38, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.3 ptsWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%−5.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%
    38% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−13.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:49TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:13UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:47TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:23UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:57UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:14TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:56UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:11TENN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:23TENN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:20UK Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:40TENN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:36UK Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
46.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 75 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 8:0447% → 50%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
46.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
46.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
46.4%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
46.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
46.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
46.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
46.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 3 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+18
46.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 18 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
46.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+5
46.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
46.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
46.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
46.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-5
46.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Darian Kinnard) to the Tenn 14Similar
Q1 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
46.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 5 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
49.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:2352% → 55%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
48.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+72
45.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 72 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 5:3845% → 44%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
45.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
44.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
45.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+16
46.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 16 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
45.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
45.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 11 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
46.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
46.5%
Will Levis run for no gain to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-5
45.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Darian Kinnard) to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
44.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+50
43.5%
Matt Ruffolo 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:5657% → 59%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
43.0%
JaVonta Payton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+41
43.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 41 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
41.5%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
41.5%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Kent 29 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by Kent Jacquez JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 3:0244% → 55%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
44.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 13 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
44.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for no gain to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
44.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+31
44.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 31 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
46.5%
Chauncey Magwood pass complete to Will Levis for 15 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
54.6%
Will Levis run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:5850% → 48%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
50.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javontez Spraggins) to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-1
50.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Abule Abadi-Fitzgerald for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+2
50.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 2 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
51.7%
Paxton Brooks punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:5653% → 66%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
52.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
52.8%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
53.5%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
54.5%
JuTahn McClain run for 16 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
55.4%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
55.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+17
55.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 17 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
56.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
56.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+13
55.9%
Will Levis run for 13 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:1639% → 55%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
61.2%
Tiyon Evans run for 9 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+1
60.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 1 yd to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
60.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+4
62.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-7
62.0%
Hendon Hooker sacked by J.J. Weaver and DeAndre Square for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 18
50
+14
63.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 14 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+3
62.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Vito Tisdale) to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
59.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 15 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
44.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 18 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:4854% → 55%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
53.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
55.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
54.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 14 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
57.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 6 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
57.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Rodriguez Jr.Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
56.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
55.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:1052% → 60%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
48.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+13
46.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
45.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 14 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+43
40.4%
Chase McGrath 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4347% → 67%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
46.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
46.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 8 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
48.1%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-7
48.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 3 yds to the Tenn 49 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh Ali) to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 17
OWN 41
+5
46.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Omari Thomas) to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 12
OWN 46
+6
47.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+27
49.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 27 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
51.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 13 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
51.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.9%
Will Levis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:2943% → 60%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
57.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 5 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
57.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 7 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
40.4%
Jabari Small run for 37 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14INT TD
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2246% → 30%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
45.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
46.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
49.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Justin RiggSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+13
46.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 13 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
50.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-56
29.7%
Will Levis pass intercepted for a TD Alontae Taylor return for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4527% → 52%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
27.0%
Will Levis run for 17 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
28.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
28.0%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+12
26.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 12 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
28.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
28.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+10
27.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Doneiko Slaughter) to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
29.5%
Will Levis run for 13 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
29.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
52.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:5658% → 59%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
41.7%
Jabari Small run for 16 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
38.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 19 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
37.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
38.0%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
38.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q3 0:14
4TH & 8
OPP 38
-5
41.0%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Abule Abadi-Fitzgerald for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 43 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by Abule Abadi-Fitzgerald, recovered by Tenn Hendon Hooker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:5048% → 45%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
48.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Dare Rosenthal) to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+7
45.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
48.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+11
45.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 11 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
50.4%
Will Levis sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 20
OWN 46
0
45.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 20
OWN 46
+13
43.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 13 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 7
OPP 41
-12
44.5%
Will Levis sacked by Caleb Tremblay for a loss of 12 yards to the Kent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:3565% → 83%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
35.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+37
34.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 37 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
17.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 6 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3820% → 49%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
19.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+25
18.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 25 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
20.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Rodriguez Jr.Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+18
18.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
48.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:4865% → 73%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta PaytonSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
35.0%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
36.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
50
+7
29.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-1
29.1%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 44 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by Tenn Hendon HookerSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+12
30.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
27.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+21
26.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 21 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
25.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
22.7%
Hendon Hooker sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 10Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 0
OPP 10
-5
23.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Princeton Fant) to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
-3
25.8%
Hendon Hooker sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 18Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+35
27.4%
Chase McGrath 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 42 yds · 3:4637% → 24%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
36.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
36.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Rodriguez Jr.Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+10
34.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 10 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
37.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+6
37.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
37.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
50
+2
37.9%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 2 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-3
33.5%
Will Levis sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 9
OWN 49
-15
27.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 24
OWN 34
+28
20.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 28 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
30.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to DeMarcus HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
29.9%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
27.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to DeMarcus HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
23.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:2793% → 92%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
6.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 14
OWN 34
-4
7.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
8.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:36
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+30
TD · Q3 1:20
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+23.1
TD · Q3 6:23
Will Levis pass intercepted for a TD Alontae Taylor return for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-20.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com