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UAPB

Arkansas-Pine Bluff 3 at Arkansas 45

ARK
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · War Memorial Stadium (AR)
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadUAPB aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreUAPB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:38: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:51: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UAPB made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 12:25UAPB 4th & 5 at UAPB 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:25UAPB 4th & 14 at ARK 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33UAPB 4th & 3 at UAPB 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:33UAPB 4th & 3 at UAPB 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:12ARK 4th & 9 at UAPB 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:59UAPB 4th & 6 at ARK 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:50UAPB 4th & 2 at UAPB 33, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:46UAPB 4th & 17 at UAPB 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:46UAPB 4th & 11 at UAPB 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:00ARK 4th & 4 at UAPB 39, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:43UAPB 4th & 4 at UAPB 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:06ARK 4th & 3 at UAPB 27, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:32UAPB 4th & 4 at ARK 27, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:53ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 34, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:34UAPB 4th & 5 at ARK 15, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:02ARK 4th & 17 at ARK 26, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:44UAPB 4th & 6 at UAPB 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:16ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:51ARK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:59ARK Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:00ARK Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UAPBDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the ArkPB 28Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.5%
Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 30Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+16
99.5%
Josh Sanchez punt for 35 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 16 yds to the ArkPB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.5%
Treylon Burks run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:511% → 1%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
99.5%
Skyler Perry pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 42 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.5%
Skyler Perry run for 2 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
99.5%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+10
99.5%
Skyler Perry run for 10 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
99.5%
Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 17Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Skyler Perry sacked by Myles Slusher and Joe Foucha for 0 yards to the Ark 25Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 19
OPP 25
+5
99.5%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Ark 20Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 14
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+37
99.4%
Zack Piwniczka 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0999% → 99%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+20
99.4%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.4%
Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
99.4%
Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Ark 46Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-2
99.4%
Trelon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 44Similar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Reid Bauer punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.3%
Skyler Perry pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 7 yds to the ArkPB 27Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the ArkPB 27Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+33
99.3%
Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 33 yds to the ARKANSAS 40 ARKANSAS Penalty, Holding Holding on ZIMOS, Zach enforced ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+33
99.3%
Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 33 yds to the Ark 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:2199% → 99%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 9
OWN 16
+7
99.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+6
99.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
99.3%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 13 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.3%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 12 yds to the ArkPB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.3%
De'Vion Warren run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 41Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
99.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the ArkPB 26Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+12
99.3%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 12 yds to the ArkPB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 13Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
99.3%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
99.3%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
99.3%
Cam Little 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:131% → 1%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Skyler Perry pass complete to Kierre Crossley for 1 yd to the ArkPB 26Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+28
99.2%
Kierre Crossley run for 28 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
99.2%
Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+12
99.2%
Skyler Perry run for 12 yds to the Ark 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-5
99.2%
ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 42Similar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Josh Sanchez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 13:38100% → 99%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.3%
KJ Jefferson run for 11 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.3%
ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal use of the hands enforced (Paul Reeves) to the ArkPB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.3%
Trelon Smith run for 8 yds to the ArkPB 24Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+6
99.3%
Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.3%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
99.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Ark 16Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+3
99.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Ark 21Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+12
99.2%
KJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Ark 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 10INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
99.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Roughing the Passer on RIDGEWAY, John enforced half the distance from the goal (John Ridgeway) to the Ark 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.0%
Kierre Crossley run for 3 yds to the Ark 7Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Offsides (Joe Foucha) to the Ark 3Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Skyler Perry run for no gain to the Ark 3Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Skyler Perry pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Ark 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+34
99.2%
Dominique Johnson run for 34 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
99.2%
Dominique Johnson run for 22 yds to the ArkPB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.2%
Dominique Johnson run for 11 yds to the ArkPB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
99.2%
KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the ArkPB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.2%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.2%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 12PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:011% → 0%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.4%
Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 24Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.5%
Skyler Perry run for 9 yds to the ArkPB 33Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+80
99.6%
Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 80 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 3:040% → 0%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 15 yds to the ArkPB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
99.7%
Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkPB 35Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Trey Harrell for 5 yds to the ArkPB 40Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Zach Williams for 0 yards to the ArkPB 33Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 17
OWN 33
+35
99.8%
Josh Sanchez punt for 40 yds ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal Shift (TEAM) to the Ark 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.8%
Dominique Johnson run for 13 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
99.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 26 yds to the ArkPB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 29Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Sanchez) to the ArkPB 24Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+18
99.9%
Josh Sanchez punt for 39 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 18 yds to the ArkPB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.8%
Trelon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 46Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+7
99.8%
Treylon Burks run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 39Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
99.9%
KJ Jefferson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+39
99.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 39 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Kierre Crossley run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 29Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the ArkPB 29Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Skyler Perry run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 31Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+27
99.9%
Josh Sanchez punt for 40 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for 27 yds to the ArkPB 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
99.9%
Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the Ark 37 ARKANSAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ark 48Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 18
OWN 48
-1
99.9%
T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Xzavier Vaughn pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ark 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
AJ Green run for 5 yds to the Ark 18Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+8
99.9%
AJ Green run for 8 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Malik Hornsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+29
99.9%
AJ Green run for 29 yds to the ArkPB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 38Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Malik Hornsby sacked for 0 yards to the Ark 49Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 27
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 46Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 22
OPP 46
+19
99.9%
Malik Hornsby pass complete to Jaquayln Crawford for 19 yds to the ArkPB 27Similar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Malik Hornsby pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Kierre Crossley run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 28Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+13
99.9%
Kierre Crossley run for 13 yds to the ArkPB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Skyler Perry pass incomplete for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jayden Johnson) to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Kierre Crossley run for 4 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Skyler Perry run for 1 yd to the Ark 39Similar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
PERRY, Skyler pass up the middle incomplete intended for HILL, Dalyn thrown to the ARK34; QB hurried by SOLI, Mataio. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on CHAVIS, Malik enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ARK33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Kierre Crossley run for no gain to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Skyler Perry pass complete to Kierre Crossley for 6 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Skyler Perry sacked by Andrew Parker for 0 yards to the Ark 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 3:27100% → 100%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.9%
AJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Malik Hornsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Malik Hornsby run for 3 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Reid Bauer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Wilkes at the ArkPB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 24FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:190% → 0%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Skyler Perry run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 30Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Dalyn Hill run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
Skyler Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkPB 33Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+32
100.0%
Skyler Perry pass complete to Dalyn Hill for 32 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.9%
Dalyn Hill run for 15 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.9%
Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 21Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Skyler Perry pass complete to Trey Harrell for 6 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Skyler Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
99.9%
Zack Piwniczka 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
100.0%
Malik Hornsby run for 15 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
100.0%
AJ Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 30Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-4
100.0%
AJ Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 26Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 17
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Malik Hornsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 17
OWN 26
+44
100.0%
Reid Bauer punt for 44 yds ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Omar Allen Jr. run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 35Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Omar Allen Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 34Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Xzavier Vaughn run for no gain to the ArkPB 34Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
100.0%
AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 19Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
AJ Green run for 2 yds to the Ark 21Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
100.0%
AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 13:38
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 8:51
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com