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TENN

Tennessee 24 at Alabama 52

ALA
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:40 · Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+29.7Home team on offense+4.9Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:27: Bryce Young run for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +3.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:34: Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 6 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:51: Bryce Young run for 6 yds Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Jaylen McCollough, recovered by Alab Bryce Young for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +4.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:30: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 70 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +9.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:42: Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:29TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:44ALA 4th & 12 at TENN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:00TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:52TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:40TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06ALA 4th & 18 at ALA 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:29ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:54TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:27ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:44TENN 4th & 9 at ALA 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:22ALA 4th & 8 at TENN 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−4.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:58TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:53TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 29, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:35TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:05ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:15TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:26TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:27ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:34ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:30TENN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:42ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:51ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:01ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:265% → 6%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.8%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
94.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
94.6%
Jabari Small run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
94.5%
Paxton Brooks punt for 54 yds, downed at the Alab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 5:1995% → 94%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
94.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
94.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 3 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+8
94.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 8 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
94.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-1
94.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 31Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+8
93.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 8 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
93.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Roydell Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 37Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+7
93.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 7 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+34
93.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 19 yds to the ALABAMA 37 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
93.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+12
93.5%
Bryce Young run for 12 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:356% → 8%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
93.6%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
93.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
50
0
93.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
50
+39
93.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 39 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
93.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
93.2%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
92.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:2293% → 92%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
92.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 27 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
92.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 6 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
92.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 6 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
92.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-3
92.3%
Bryce Young sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
91.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+54
91.5%
Will Reichard 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:099% → 12%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
91.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-15
90.9%
Evans, Tiyon rush for 2 yards to the TENNESSEE42, PENALTY TENNESSEE personal foul 15 yards to the TENNESSEE25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 21
OWN 25
-5
91.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 26
OWN 20
-2
91.0%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Christian Harris and Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 18Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 28
OWN 18
+5
91.1%
Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 23
OWN 23
+15
91.1%
Brooks, Paxton punt 47 yards to the ALABAMA30, downed, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing the kicker (Braswell, Chris) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
90.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 5 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+57
87.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 57 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:0689% → 89%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
88.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 20 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
88.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+17
88.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 17 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
88.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 16 yds Jameson Williams fumbled, forced by Kamal Hadden, recovered by TennSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5412% → 13%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
87.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+3
87.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 18
-5
87.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 13Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 6
OWN 13
-4
87.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
87.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 10
OWN 9
+35
87.5%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Tenn 49 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:0988% → 89%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
87.7%
John Metchie III run for 8 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
87.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
87.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 10 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
87.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 13 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
86.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 5Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.4%
Bryce Young run for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2312% → 13%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
87.0%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
86.5%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
86.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:5188% → 91%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
87.7%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+6
88.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.4%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
87.9%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+16
86.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 16 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
87.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 12 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
87.8%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+13
87.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
87.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 3 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
87.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+11
86.5%
Bryce Young run for 11 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 6 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5410% → 10%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
89.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
89.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+16
89.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 16 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
89.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta PaytonSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
89.7%
Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:1290% → 88%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
89.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 15Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+11
89.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
89.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Jeremy Banks) to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
90.5%
Bryce Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 7
50
-11
90.3%
Bryce Young sacked by Roman Harrison for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 39Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 18
OWN 39
0
88.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 18
OWN 39
0
88.3%
James Burnip punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
88.8%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0690% → 88%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
89.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 24Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+6
89.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
88.9%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+6
88.2%
James Burnip punt for 46 yds , Trevon Flowers returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2112% → 11%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
88.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-7
88.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Phidarian Mathis for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
89.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Alab 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1689% → 87%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
88.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 13
OWN 25
0
88.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+3
87.9%
Bryce Young run for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+12
87.4%
James Burnip punt blocked by De'Shawn Rucker blocked by De'Shawn Rucker, recovered by ALA Henry To'oTo'o at ALA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3915% → 16%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
85.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob WarrenSimilar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
85.0%
Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 11
-5
85.8%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Payton, JaVonta, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal forward pass 5 yards to the ALABAMA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
83.8%
Chase McGrath 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:2286% → 89%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
85.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 20Similar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
85.5%
Bryce Young pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
85.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+28
84.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 28 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.8%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
86.4%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+16
86.0%
Bryce Young run for 16 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
86.8%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
86.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie IIISimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
85.9%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
89.0%
Will Reichard 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1313% → 13%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
86.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
85.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
84.6%
Jabari Small run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+6
86.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-5
85.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
86.6%
Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:4988% → 96%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
88.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 4 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
88.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-5
87.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Javion Cohen) to the Alab 23Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
88.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 14 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+26
89.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 26 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
90.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+9
91.2%
Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
91.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 10 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
91.2%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-5
91.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cameron Latu) to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+8
91.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
96.2%
Bryce Young run for 6 yds Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Jaylen McCollough, recovered by Alab Bryce Young for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:106% → 15%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
85.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 70 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3389% → 96%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 25Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 20Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+65
88.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 65 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
96.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:286% → 7%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
93.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 11 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
93.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
93.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
50
+7
93.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
92.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-47
93.0%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Jalyn Armour-Davis return for 47 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5497% → 99%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.7%
Bryce Young run for no gain to the Tenn 18Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+14
96.8%
Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Holden, Traeshon, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 14 yards to the TENNESSEE4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 1Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jabari SmallSimilar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta PaytonSimilar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+6
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
99.6%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 19 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+11
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 11 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:30
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 70 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q4 12:42
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q4 14:51
Bryce Young run for 6 yds Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Jaylen McCollough, recovered by Alab Bryce Young for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com