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VAN

Vanderbilt 20 at South Carolina 21

SC
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:00 · Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+28.9Home team on offense+4.0Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor+1.3Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:53: Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +8.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 66%).
  2. TD · Q3 5:17: Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 52 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +17.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:39: Parker White 38 yd FG MISSED — SC win probability +2.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:36: Joseph Bulovas 28 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +3.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:37: Zeb Noland pass complete to Xavier Legette for 9 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +16.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 6:03VAN 4th & 8 at SC 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:47VAN 4th & 4 at SC 4, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00SC 4th & 5 at SC 8, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:58SC 4th & 9 at SC 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:12SC 4th & 3 at VAN 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:33VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 22, down 11
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:12SC 4th & 16 at SC 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:24VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:28VAN 4th & 21 at VAN 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−1.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:39SC 4th & 8 at VAN 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−11.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:01VAN 4th & 17 at VAN 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−6.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:09VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−2.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:31SC 4th & 7 at SC 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−4.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.5 ptsPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−6.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:36VAN 4th & 5 at SC 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−33.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:49SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:07SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:53VAN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:17VAN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1186% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
86.4%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
86.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
86.4%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
86.4%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
86.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 8 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
86.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
86.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 11 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
86.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
86.4%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+25
86.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 25 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:4614% → 16%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.8%
Mike Wright run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
85.7%
Mike Wright run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+44
85.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Cam Johnson for 44 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
85.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
85.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+2
85.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+42
84.3%
Joseph Bulovas 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5684% → 86%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.4%
Josh Vann run for 7 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+82
86.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 82 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:1415% → 14%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+50
85.4%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 50 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
84.7%
Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+6
84.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.7%
Mike Wright run for no gain to the SCaro 8Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
84.7%
Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.4%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
85.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the SCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4786% → 86%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
86.0%
Luke Doty run for 2 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
86.0%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+3
85.8%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
85.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:2687% → 86%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+11
86.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Xavier Legette for 11 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
86.7%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
86.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
86.4%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
86.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 70 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7INT
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:5414% → 15%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
86.5%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 18 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
86.2%
Mike Wright pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 5 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-5
85.8%
Wright,Mike rush for 0 yards to the VAN38 (Davis,Devontae) PENALTY VAN Illegal Shift 5 yards from VAN38 to VAN33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
86.4%
Mike Wright run for 12 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.9%
Mike Wright run for no gain to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+21
86.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 21 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
85.3%
Mike Wright pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5288% → 86%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
87.5%
Harris,Kevin rush for 7 yards gain to the VAN13 (Langham,Malik) PENALTY USC Holding (Nichols,Jaylen) 10 yards from VAN20 to VAN30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+3
87.4%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 17
OPP 27
0
87.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+14
86.9%
Kevin Harris run for 14 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+1
86.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Xavier Legette for 1 yd to the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3913% → 12%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
86.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 13Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
86.8%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+9
87.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 9 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+16
87.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 52 yds , Josh Vann returns for 16 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · -9 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
86.5%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 9 yds to the SCaro 14 MarShawn Lloyd fumbled, forced by Terion Sugick, recovered by Vandy Dashaun JerkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:3115% → 22%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
85.4%
Wright,Mike rush for 0 yards to the USC14 (Enagbare,Kingsley) PENALTY USC Face Mask (Enagbare,Kingsley) 8 yards from USC14 to USC06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+9
85.4%
Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+14
86.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 14 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:4181% → 78%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
80.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
81.4%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
81.2%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
81.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 1
OPP 43
-10
81.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
81.8%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
80.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Luke Doty) to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
78.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
80.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3617% → 17%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
82.6%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
82.5%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
82.8%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
83.0%
Harrison Smith punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:2621% → 21%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
78.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
78.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 7 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+8
78.0%
Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
77.2%
Mike Wright pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 6 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 16
OWN 35
-5
78.8%
Wright,Mike pass complete to Pierce,Chris for 11 yards to the VAN46 (Foster,Jaylan), out of bounds PENALTY VAN Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Hansen,Gunnar) 5 yards from VAN35 to VAN30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 21
OWN 30
0
78.8%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Rocko GriffinSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 21
OWN 30
0
79.6%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 21
OWN 30
0
79.2%
Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 64 yds · 2:3278% → 82%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
77.6%
ZaQuandre White run for 19 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
79.3%
Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
78.7%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+16
77.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 16 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+28
81.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 28 yds Jaheim Bell fumbled, forced by De'Rickey Wright, recovered by Vandy Jaylen MahoneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 3:3922% → 42%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
78.3%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+1
78.5%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 14Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+8
79.5%
Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.1%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
75.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
75.9%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+52
58.2%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 52 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:3162% → 68%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
62.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+28
62.6%
ZaQuandre White run for 28 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
66.7%
ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-10
66.7%
Doty,Luke pass complete to Bell,Jaheim for 36 yards to the VAN07 (Mahoney,Jaylen) PENALTY USC Holding (Turnetine,Jazston) 10 yards from VAN43 to USC47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+13
63.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 13 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+18
66.1%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 18 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
68.0%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+1
68.0%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
66.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
68.4%
Parker White 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:5937% → 34%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
63.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-8
63.4%
Mike Wright sacked by Zacch Pickens for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
65.3%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
65.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1370% → 67%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
70.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Xavier Legette for 12 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
70.9%
White,Zaquandre rush for 7 yards gain to the VAN33 (George,Allan), out of bounds PENALTY USC Holding (Gwyn,Jovaughn) 10 yards from VAN40 to VAN50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 20
50
0
68.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 20
50
0
67.2%
Luke Doty pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3938% → 36%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
61.6%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
61.6%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
63.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds Patrick Smith fumbled, forced by Cam Smith, recovered by Vandy Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
64.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3865% → 61%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
65.0%
ZaQuandre White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
65.6%
ZaQuandre White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-5
65.9%
PENALTY USC False Start (Wannamaker,Tyshawn) 5 yards from USC36 to USC31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
63.6%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
60.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0841% → 40%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
59.3%
Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+6
59.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
59.9%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
60.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1563% → 67%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
63.3%
ZaQuandre White run for 6 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+15
61.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 15 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
65.9%
ZaQuandre White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
67.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 7
50
0
66.5%
Luke Doty pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 3:3251% → 55%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
48.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 13 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
47.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
46.4%
PENALTY USC Disconcerting Signals 5 yards from USC32 to USC27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+2
46.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
46.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 10 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
41.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
41.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+2
42.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Cam Johnson for 2 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 1:36
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
44.8%
Joseph Bulovas 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:5958% → 84%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.4%
Zeb Noland pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+29
57.5%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Nick Muse for 29 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
65.4%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
64.8%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to ZaQuandre WhiteSimilar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+15
61.2%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 15 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
68.0%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 21 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
67.6%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.2%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Xavier Legette for 9 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 27FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
71.4%
Mike Wright sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 4 Mike Wright fumbled, recovered by SCaro Jabari Ellis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
94.5%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:17
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 52 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
-17.7
TD · Q4 0:37
Zeb Noland pass complete to Xavier Legette for 9 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+16.6
TD · Q2 2:53
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com