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South Carolina 20 at Tennessee 45

TENN
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:16 · Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense+28.2Pregame prior+12.1Score differential+24.1Garbage-time factor+9.3Blowout margin+11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:46: Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 39 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +2.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:58: Hendon Hooker run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +4.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:12: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 21 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +5.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:15: Kai Kroeger pass complete to Payton Mangrum for 44 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +3.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:18: Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Doty intercepted, ATTEMPT FAILED) — SC win probability +4.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:47SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21SC 4th & 16 at SC 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:37SC 4th & 20 at SC 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−3.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:25TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:23SC 4th & 5 at SC 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:25TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 34, up 31
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:16SC 4th & 11 at SC 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:33TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 15, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:15SC 4th & 9 at TENN 44, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:22TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18SC 4th & 1 at TENN 1, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:02TENN 4th & 14 at TENN 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:51SC 4th & 16 at SC 31, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:37SC 4th & 8 at TENN 23, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:18TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:46TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:58TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:12TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:40TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:04SC Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:15SC Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:45TENN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0824% → 24%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
75.7%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 14:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
75.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Josh Vann) to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.7%
Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+14
75.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 14 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:2576% → 77%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
75.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+24
75.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 24 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
75.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 5 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
75.6%
Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
75.6%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
75.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
75.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
75.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
75.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Zacch Pickens for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+11
75.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 11 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+3
75.2%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
75.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
75.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4924% → 23%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
76.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 9 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+9
76.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 9 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
76.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
76.2%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-6
76.4%
Luke Doty sacked by Matthew Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+19
76.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 19 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:2677% → 80%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
76.8%
Velus Jones Jr. run for 15 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
76.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 3 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+39
79.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 39 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5INT
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:2221% → 22%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
78.6%
Juju McDowell run for 22 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
78.4%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 7
50
+3
78.4%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+11
78.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Traevon Kenion for 11 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
78.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 12 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
78.3%
Kevin Harris run for 11 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
78.5%
Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
78.6%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
78.7%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 2Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
78.4%
Jordan Burch pass intercepted, touchback. Jaylen McCollough return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:1181% → 86%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
80.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 20 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
81.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+10
81.5%
Tiyon Evans run for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
81.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 31 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
85.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tenn Aaron BeasleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:2686% → 92%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
86.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
86.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+21
91.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 21 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 3:258% → 6%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
91.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
92.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 8 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
92.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
93.3%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-9
93.6%
Luke Doty sacked by Matthew Butler and Byron Young for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
94.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0494% → 94%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
93.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
93.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:546% → 4%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
94.4%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+8
94.6%
Luke Doty run for 8 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+13
94.6%
Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
94.9%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
95.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+7
96.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 7 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:3596% → 97%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
95.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 14 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
96.0%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+6
96.1%
Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+15
96.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 15 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
97.0%
Tiyon Evans run for 45 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:283% → 3%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
97.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jeremy Banks) to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
97.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 1 yd to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
98.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 5 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+16
98.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 16 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
98.0%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+24
98.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 24 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.0%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14END OF HALF
14 plays · 64 yds · 1:5398% → 98%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta PaytonSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
97.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 12 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
98.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 16 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
98.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+10
98.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 10 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
98.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jahmar Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+7
98.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 7 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+9
98.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
98.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+25
98.2%
Chase McGrath 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
98.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Paxton Brooks punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
98.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
98.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 13Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-6
98.7%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Carlins Platel for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 7Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 17
OWN 7
+8
98.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 8 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
98.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:091% → 4%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.0%
Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
98.9%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
50
+5
99.0%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
99.1%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+7
99.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 7 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+44
95.7%
Kai Kroeger pass complete to Payton Mangrum for 44 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4497% → 98%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
96.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
97.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 7 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.5%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
97.6%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-4
97.7%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jaylan Foster for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
98.0%
Paxton Brooks punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:573% → 6%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
97.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 10 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 8 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+19
97.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ja'Quain Blakely) to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.0%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
97.0%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+6
96.9%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
97.2%
Luke Doty sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 17
OPP 36
-1
97.7%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 18
OPP 37
+23
98.1%
Luke Doty run for 23 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
97.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 8 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
97.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.9%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Tenn 3Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q4 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.2%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.1%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Doty intercepted, ATTEMPT FAILED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:1097% → 97%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
97.1%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 6 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
97.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+1
97.0%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 1 yd to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
97.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob WarrenSimilar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:014% → 3%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
96.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 7 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+6
96.0%
Josh Vann pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 6 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
96.2%
Luke Doty sacked by Aaron Beasley for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
96.6%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 11
OWN 36
-5
96.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Dakereon Joyner) to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+10
96.7%
Luke Doty run for 10 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:5898% → 100%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+1
97.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+30
98.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 21 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Brad Johnson) to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
98.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the SCaro 7Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
98.6%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 5 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
99.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 24 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
99.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 12 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 1 yd to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+7
99.7%
Luke Doty run for 7 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 2
OPP 17
-6
99.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jovaughn Gwyn) to the Tenn 23Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 8
OPP 23
0
99.7%
Luke Doty pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 3 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 5 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 5 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 12 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:12
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 21 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q1 0:58
Hendon Hooker run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q4 12:18
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Doty intercepted, ATTEMPT FAILED)
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com