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UNT

North Texas 35 at Missouri 48

MIZ
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:23 · MIZ kneels at the NTX 20.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:47: C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 41. Catch made by J.Hester at NTX 41. Gain of 41 yards. J.Hester for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MIZ win probability +3.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:10: T.Badie rushed to NTX End Zone for 52 yards. T.Badie for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MIZ win probability +4.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:47: A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 35. Catch made by D.Torrey at MIZ 35. Gain of 35 yards. D.Torrey for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +4.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:38: A.Aune pass complete to NTX 48. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 48. Gain of 52 yards. R.Burns for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +5.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:25: A.Aune pass complete to NTX 23. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 23. Gain of 77 yards. D.Ward for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +3.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:46MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:34MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:21UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07UNT 4th & 4 at MIZ 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:40UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:23UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:14MIZ 4th & 6 at UNT 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:52MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 23, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:52MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:29UNT 4th & 20 at UNT 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:48MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:35UNT 4th & 2 at MIZ 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−1.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−2.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:34MIZ 4th & 13 at UNT 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:38UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 48, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 10:46MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:20MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:04UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:47MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:10MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:47UNT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:38UNT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:59MIZ Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:25UNT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2690% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 25. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 25. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Davis at MIZ 25.Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.2%
T.Badie rushed to MIZ 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by U.Stout at MIZ 26.Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
90.1%
PENALTY on NTX-G.Murphy, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
90.0%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for T.Dove.Similar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.0%
G.McKinniss punts yards to NTX 31, Center-J.Hoffman. NTX MUFFS catch. Fumble RECOVERED by MIZ-MIZ at NTX 31. Tackled by NTX at NTX 31. PENALTY on MIZ-K.Abrams-Draine, Kick Catch Interference, 15 yards, offset. No Play. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, offset.Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+59
89.9%
G.McKinniss punts 59 yards to NTX 10, Center-J.Hoffman. Downed by MIZ.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:2610% → 10%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
89.9%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 18 for 8 yards. Tackled by D.Nicholson, K.Abrams-Draine at NTX 18.Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 2
OWN 18
-1
89.8%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 17 for -1 yards. Tackled by M.Wingo at NTX 17.Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
89.8%
A.Aune pass INTERCEPTED at NTX 26. Intercepted by K.Abrams-Draine at NTX 26. Tackled by NTX at NTX 26. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, declined. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:3690% → 90%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
89.8%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 26. Catch made by N.Hea at NTX 26. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by C.Colvin at NTX 18.Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
89.8%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 18 for 0 yards. Tackled by L.Nixon at NTX 18.Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+6
89.6%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 12 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Novil at NTX 12.Similar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
90.0%
T.Badie rushed to NTX End Zone for 12 yards. T.Badie for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1610% → 10%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.7%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Turner at NTX 39.Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
89.5%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 39. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 39. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by C.May at NTX 43.Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-3
89.5%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 40 for -3 yards. Tackled by J.Pettway at NTX 40.Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+37
89.6%
B.Rodriguez punts 37 yards to MIZ 23, Center-N.Durham. K.Abrams-Draine returned punt from the MIZ 23. Tackled by NTX at MIZ 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5590% → 91%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.6%
T.Badie rushed to MIZ 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at MIZ 27.Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
89.9%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 35. Catch made by M.Cooper at NTX 35. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at NTX 27.Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
89.7%
T.Badie rushed to MIZ 27 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Sanders at MIZ 27.Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+50
89.3%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 23 for 50 yards. Tackled by C.McCrary at NTX 23.Similar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
89.6%
B.Harris rushed to NTX 26 for -3 yards. Tackled by G.Murphy at NTX 26.Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+6
89.5%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 26. Catch made by T.Dove at NTX 26. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by M.Sanders at NTX 20.Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+12
89.4%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 20. Catch made by K.Chism at NTX 20. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by U.Stout at NTX 8.Similar
Q1 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.5%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 8. Catch made by M.Cooper at NTX 8. Gain of yards. M.Cooper for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIZ-M.Cooper, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
89.5%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 12 for 1 yards. Tackled by L.Nixon at NTX 12.Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
89.4%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for B.Banister. PENALTY on NTX-M.Sanders, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
89.4%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 3 for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at NTX 3.Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.3%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for D.Parker.Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.0%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 3. Catch made by T.Badie at NTX 3. Gain of 3 yards. T.Badie for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:1010% → 14%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.3%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 23 for -2 yards. Tackled by C.Bailey, D.Nicholson at NTX 23.Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
90.5%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 34 for 11 yards. Tackled by D.Nicholson at NTX 34.Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
90.3%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 38 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Nicholson at NTX 38.Similar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
90.3%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 38. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 38. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by C.Bailey at NTX 47.Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
89.8%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 47 for 6 yards. Tackled by S.Robinson at MIZ 47.Similar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
89.9%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 48 for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Whiteside at MIZ 48.Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+7
90.0%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 41 for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Nicholson at MIZ 41.Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
89.9%
A.Aune rushed to MIZ 41 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Wingo at MIZ 41.Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+7
90.0%
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 41. Catch made by J.Pirtle at MIZ 41. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by S.Robinson at MIZ 34.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
89.6%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 28 for 6 yards. Tackled by K.Abrams-Draine at MIZ 28.Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+6
89.3%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 22 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Nicholson, D.Robledo at MIZ 22.Similar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
89.3%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for D.Torrey.Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+16
89.4%
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 22. Catch made by D.Simpson at MIZ 22. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by J.Carlies at MIZ 6.Similar
Q2 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
89.4%
I.Johnson rushed to MIZ 4 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Hansford at MIZ 4.Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.2%
I.Johnson rushed to MIZ End Zone for 4 yards. I.Johnson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5888% → 91%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for MIZ.Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.7%
B.Harris rushed to MIZ 36 for 11 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at MIZ 36.Similar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.0%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for D.Lovett.Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
87.8%
B.Harris rushed to MIZ 36 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at MIZ 36.Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
87.4%
PENALTY on NTX-G.Murphy, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
87.8%
PENALTY on NTX-G.Murphy, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
88.1%
B.Harris rushed to MIZ 44 for -2 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at MIZ 44.Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+10
87.7%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 44. Catch made by T.Dove at MIZ 44. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 46.Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
87.8%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 46. Catch made by D.Parker at NTX 46. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by L.Nixon at NTX 41.Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
91.4%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 41. Catch made by J.Hester at NTX 41. Gain of 41 yards. J.Hester for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5810% → 10%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.2%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 25. Catch made by D.Simpson at NTX 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MIZ at NTX 30.Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
90.0%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for D.Simpson.Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
90.2%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 31 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Turner at NTX 31.Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+42
90.3%
B.Rodriguez punts 42 yards to MIZ 27, Center-N.Durham. Downed by NTX.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:1191% → 96%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
91.0%
T.Badie rushed to MIZ 35 for 8 yards. Tackled by G.Murphy at MIZ 35.Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+4
90.8%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 35. Catch made by T.Dove at MIZ 35. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at MIZ 39.Similar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
91.0%
T.Badie rushed to MIZ 41 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at MIZ 41.Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
91.1%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 41. Catch made by K.Chism at MIZ 41. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at NTX 50.Similar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-2
91.2%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 50. Catch made by K.Chism at NTX 50. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at MIZ 48.Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+52
95.7%
T.Badie rushed to NTX End Zone for 52 yards. T.Badie for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:345% → 5%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.9%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Jeffcoat at NTX 25.Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.1%
I.Johnson rushed to NTX 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Abrams-Draine, C.Bailey at NTX 26.Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
95.2%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Bailey at NTX 31.Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+38
95.4%
B.Rodriguez punts 38 yards to MIZ 31, Center-N.Durham. Fair catch by D.Smith.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:0096% → 97%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
95.9%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 31. Catch made by M.Cooper at MIZ 31. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by M.Sanders at MIZ 39.Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+13
96.2%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 39. Catch made by M.Cooper at MIZ 39. Gain of 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Davis at NTX 48.Similar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
96.3%
B.Harris rushed to NTX 41 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Davis, D.Novil at NTX 41.Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
96.4%
B.Harris rushed to NTX 35 for 6 yards. Tackled by R.Brown at NTX 35.Similar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
96.5%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 35. Catch made by E.Young at NTX 35. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at NTX 27.Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
96.7%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for T.Dove.Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
96.6%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Brown at NTX 26.Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
96.5%
PENALTY on MIZ-C.Cook, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
96.5%
H.Mevis 48 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-G.McKinniss.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:234% → 4%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for D.Simpson.Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
A.Aune scrambles to NTX 30 for 1 yards. Tackled by MIZ at NTX 30. PENALTY on NTX-D.Carroll, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+1
96.0%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 17 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Whiteside at NTX 17.Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+11
96.1%
A.Aune scrambles to NTX 28 for 11 yards. A.Aune ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+38
96.1%
B.Rodriguez punts 38 yards to MIZ 34, Center-N.Durham. D.Smith returned punt from the MIZ 34. Tackled by at MIZ 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:3197% → 97%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.7%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for N.Hea.Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
96.7%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 35. Catch made by B.Banister at MIZ 35. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by NTX at MIZ 45.Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.8%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for MIZ.Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
96.8%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 45. Catch made by T.Badie at MIZ 45. Gain of yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 45. PENALTY on MIZ-H.White, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 20
OWN 35
0
96.6%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for C.Luper.Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 20
OWN 35
+39
96.6%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 26 for 39 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at NTX 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:464% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.1%
A.Aune scrambles to NTX 35 for 10 yards. Tackled by MIZ at NTX 35.Similar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.0%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 48 for 13 yards. A.Aune FUMBLES, forced by A.Evans. A.Aune FUMBLES, out of bounds.Similar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.0%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 47 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel at MIZ 47.Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
95.5%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 47 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Wingo at MIZ 47.Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+29
96.3%
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 47. Catch made by I.Johnson at MIZ 47. Gain of yards. Tackled by MIZ at MIZ 24. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was overturned. A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 47. Catch made by I.Johnson at MIZ 47. Gain of 29 yards. I.Johnson FUMBLES, forced by A.Evans. Fumble RECOVERED by MIZ-K.Abrams-Draine at MIZ 18. Tackled by NTX at MIZ 18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1397% → 97%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
96.8%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 18. Catch made by D.Parker at MIZ 18. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at MIZ 19.Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+4
96.8%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 19. Catch made by D.Lovett at MIZ 19. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by J.Davis at MIZ 23.Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
97.0%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for J.Maclin.Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+47
96.8%
G.McKinniss punts 47 yards to NTX 30, Center-J.Hoffman. Fair catch by R.Burns.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:563% → 8%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
96.8%
A.Aune scrambles to NTX 45 for 15 yards. A.Aune ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
96.8%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by MIZ at NTX 49.Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
97.1%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for J.Roberts.Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+6
97.1%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 49. Catch made by D.Torrey at NTX 49. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at MIZ 45.Similar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.1%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for R.Burns.Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
97.1%
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 45. Catch made by K.Lyles at MIZ 45. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by K.Abrams-Draine at MIZ 37.Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
97.1%
A.Adeyi rushed to MIZ 35 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Pettway at MIZ 35.Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
92.5%
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 35. Catch made by D.Torrey at MIZ 35. Gain of 35 yards. D.Torrey for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3995% → 95%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
T.Badie rushed to MIZ 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at MIZ 25.Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
M.Cooper rushed to MIZ 20 for -5 yards. Tackled by G.Murphy at MIZ 20.Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
95.1%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 20. Catch made by T.Badie at MIZ 20. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by K.Davis at MIZ 26.Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+40
94.9%
G.McKinniss punts 40 yards to NTX 34, Center-J.Hoffman. Fair catch by R.Burns.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:157% → 5%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
93.5%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Wingo at NTX 36.Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
94.1%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 36. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 36. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by I.Burdine at NTX 42.Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+17
94.2%
I.Johnson rushed to MIZ 41 for 17 yards. Tackled by J.Carlies at MIZ 41.Similar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
94.2%
I.Johnson rushed to MIZ 36 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Walker; S.Robinson at MIZ 36.Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-9
94.0%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune sacked at MIZ 45 for -9 yards (T.Jeffcoat)Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 14
OPP 45
-6
94.9%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune sacked at NTX 49 for -6 yards (I.McGuire)Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 20
OWN 49
+31
95.3%
B.Rodriguez punts 31 yards to MIZ 20, Center-N.Durham. Fair catch by D.Smith.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3496% → 95%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
95.6%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 20. Catch made by M.Cooper at MIZ 20. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by M.Sanders at MIZ 18.Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
95.6%
T.Badie rushed to MIZ 20 for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Brown at MIZ 20.Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
95.6%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for D.Lovett.Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+37
95.3%
G.McKinniss punts 37 yards to NTX 43, Center-J.Hoffman. Out of bounds. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:135% → 5%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
95.2%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 47 for 14 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel at NTX 47.Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
95.2%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 43 for 10 yards. Tackled by I.Burdine at MIZ 43.Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
95.2%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 44 for -1 yards. Tackled by I.McGuire at MIZ 44.Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+8
95.2%
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 44. Catch made by R.Burns at MIZ 44. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by I.Burdine at MIZ 36.Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+1
95.1%
I.Johnson rushed to MIZ 35 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Whiteside at MIZ 35.Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-4
95.5%
A.Aune rushed to MIZ 39 for -4 yards. Tackled by S.Robinson at MIZ 39.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:5596% → 99%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
96.4%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for M.Cooper.Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+42
96.3%
T.Badie rushed to NTX 19 for 42 yards. Tackled by G.Murphy at NTX 19.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
96.6%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak sacked at NTX 26 for -7 yards (R.Brown)Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 17
OPP 26
0
96.8%
C.Bazelak steps back to pass. C.Bazelak pass incomplete intended for K.Chism.Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 17
OPP 26
+4
96.7%
C.Bazelak pass complete to NTX 26. Catch made by D.Lovett at NTX 26. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by R.Brown at NTX 22.Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 13
OPP 22
0
98.7%
H.Mevis 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hoffman, Holder-G.McKinniss.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:501% → 0%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
98.9%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune sacked at NTX 22 for -3 yards (J.Walker)Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
98.9%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 26 for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel at NTX 26.Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.0%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for R.Burns. PENALTY on MIZ-K.Abrams-Draine, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.9%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Alldredge at NTX 38.Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-40
99.8%
A.Aune pass INTERCEPTED at NTX 40. Intercepted by M.Wingo at NTX 40. M.Wingo for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:350% → 1%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
I.Johnson rushed to NTX 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Pettway at NTX 31.Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.8%
I.Johnson rushed to NTX 41 for 10 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel at NTX 41.Similar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for D.Simpson.Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
D.Torrey rushed to NTX 42 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Pettway at NTX 42.Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+25
99.8%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 42. Catch made by D.Simpson at NTX 42. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel at MIZ 33.Similar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.8%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 28 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Manuel at MIZ 28.Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+6
99.8%
D.Torrey rushed to MIZ 22 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Walker at MIZ 22.Similar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for D.Simpson.Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.9%
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 22. Catch made by J.Pirtle at MIZ 22. Gain of 22 yards. J.Pirtle for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:051% → 6%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
99.2%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 42. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 42. Gain of -4 yards. Tackled by J.Carlies at NTX 38.Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
99.4%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for R.Burns.Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+10
99.4%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 48 for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Williams, D.Nicholson at NTX 48.Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+52
94.3%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 48. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 48. Gain of 52 yards. R.Burns for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:2796% → 99%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.3%
D.Downing rushed to MIZ 34 for 9 yards. Tackled by L.Nixon at MIZ 34.Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
96.5%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 34. Catch made by N.Hea at MIZ 34. Gain of yards. Tackled by U.Stout at NTX 24. PENALTY on MIZ-H.White, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
96.6%
B.Harris rushed to MIZ 29 for 5 yards. Tackled by G.Murphy at MIZ 29.Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
96.7%
C.Bazelak pass complete to MIZ 29. Catch made by K.Chism at MIZ 29. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by U.Stout at MIZ 41.Similar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
97.0%
C.Bazelak rushed to MIZ 40 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Gaddie at MIZ 40.Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+60
99.3%
D.Downing rushed to NTX End Zone for 60 yards. D.Downing for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:221% → 4%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.4%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 23 for -2 yards. Tackled by MIZ at NTX 23.Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+77
96.0%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 23. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 23. Gain of 77 yards. D.Ward for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2197% → 98%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.4%
D.Downing rushed to NTX 40 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Gaddie at NTX 40.Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
97.5%
D.Downing rushed to NTX 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by S.Faulkner at NTX 38.Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+9
97.4%
B.Harris rushed to NTX 29 for 9 yards. Tackled by S.Faulkner at NTX 29.Similar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
97.9%
B.Harris rushed to NTX 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by L.Nixon at NTX 27.Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-2
97.9%
B.Harris rushed to NTX 29 for -2 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 29.Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+11
97.9%
B.Harris rushed to NTX 18 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Sanders at NTX 18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:38
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 48. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 48. Gain of 52 yards. R.Burns for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-5.1
TD · Q3 9:47
A.Aune pass complete to MIZ 35. Catch made by D.Torrey at MIZ 35. Gain of 35 yards. D.Torrey for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-4.6
TD · Q2 6:10
T.Badie rushed to NTX End Zone for 52 yards. T.Badie for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com