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LSU

LSU 21 at Kentucky 42

UK
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:20 · Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense+30.1Score differential+22.5Garbage-time factor+7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +6.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:57: Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +11.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:43: Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +13.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:06: Will Levis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +6.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:29: Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 6:17UK 4th & 3 at LSU 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:53LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:23UK 4th & 8 at UK 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:57LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 44, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:58UK 4th & 6 at UK 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:01LSU 4th & 18 at LSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:43LSU 4th & 1 at UK 1, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.2%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:53UK 4th & 3 at UK 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:20LSU 4th & 2 at UK 14, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.4
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:17UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:57UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:43LSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:06UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:07UK Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:03LSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:29LSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:23UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:0052% → 52%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
48.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
48.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
48.4%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+5
48.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+7
48.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 7 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
48.5%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the Kent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:4350% → 54%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
49.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
49.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
50.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
50.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+20
50.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 20 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
50.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
50.4%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:0047% → 46%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.3%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
53.4%
Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
53.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 9 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
53.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 18 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
53.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+11
53.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 11 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+4
53.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:2156% → 65%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
55.6%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+17
55.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
50
+34
56.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 34 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
57.9%
JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
64.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:5238% → 36%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.8%
Armoni Goodwin run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
62.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 7 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
63.3%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
64.3%
Avery Atkins punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:2066% → 67%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
65.8%
Mike Drennen II run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 8Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+32
66.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 32 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
67.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
68.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-5
68.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Mike Drennen II for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
67.3%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 3:0334% → 31%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
66.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 14 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
66.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
66.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
67.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+16
69.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 16 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
68.7%
Avery Atkins punt for 55 yds, downed at the Kent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:4270% → 71%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
70.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+11
70.3%
Will Levis run for 11 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+21
71.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 21 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
72.7%
Mike Drennen II run for 2 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
73.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+2
72.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+5
72.8%
Goodfellow, Colin punt 43 yards to the LSU14, fair catch by Palmer, Trey, PENALTY LSU offside (Kirklin, Jontre) 5 yards to the KENTUCKY48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-5
73.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Luke Fortner) to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
70.9%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:3928% → 26%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
71.7%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 9 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+12
71.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 12 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
71.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+4
74.5%
Avery Atkins punt for 52 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:5074% → 78%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
74.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
78.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 8 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-6
77.7%
Will Levis sacked by BJ Ojulari and Ali Gaye for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5378% → 93%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
78.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 22 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
80.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
80.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
81.2%
Will Levis run for 33 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
81.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.8%
Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:028% → 22%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.8%
Armoni Goodwin run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
91.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 17 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
91.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+10
91.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 10 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
92.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 30 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
92.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
92.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 9 yds to the Kent 1Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
Q3 6:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.5%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2483% → 98%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.2%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
83.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
85.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+11
85.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
86.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+14
86.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 14 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
87.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+5
90.6%
Will Levis run for 5 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+3
90.6%
Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Evans, Darren) 3 yards to the LSU10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q3 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
91.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.0%
Will Levis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:553% → 2%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
97.0%
Armoni Goodwin run for 5 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 8
OWN 40
+15
97.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 15 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
97.7%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 1:0899% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
98.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 16 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
98.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 15 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.7%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:570% → 2%
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Davis-Price, Tyrion (#), PENALTY KENTUCKY personal foul (Hayes, Josaih) 15 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU,Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+11
99.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 11 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
98.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 41 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0299% → 99%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:011% → 8%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 4 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+15
98.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 15 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+37
98.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 37 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
98.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+2
98.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 14Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+3
98.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
98.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 9 yds to the Kent 2Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
91.7%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:5698% → 100%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+14
98.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 14 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
98.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
99.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:431% → 1%
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.5%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
99.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 25 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
99.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
99.8%
Mike Drennen II run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
Will Levis run for 11 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:43
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q3 10:57
Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+11.1
TD · Q4 5:29
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com