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UGA

Georgia 34 at Auburn 10

AUB
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:43 · Bo Nix pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior−22.7Home team on offense−11.0Score differential−6.5Garbage-time factor−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:39: Zamir White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +3.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:10: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +4.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:01: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 60 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +10.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:01: Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +8.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:11: Zamir White run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 11 of 12UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 12:34AUB 4th & 1 at UGA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42AUB 4th & 1 at UGA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19AUB 4th & 7 at UGA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:12UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:55UGA 4th & 3 at AUB 5, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:14AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:00AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:07AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:45UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:15AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:30UGA 4th & 17 at UGA 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:43AUB 4th & 3 at UGA 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:07UGA 4th & 4 at AUB 26, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.5%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:10AUB 4th & 8 at UGA 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:52UGA 4th & 3 at AUB 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−7.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:57AUB 4th & 19 at AUB 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:03AUB 4th & 23 at AUB 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:38UGA 4th & 3 at AUB 35, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:01AUB 4th & 4 at UGA 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:39UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:10UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:01UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:01AUB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:11UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 6:3614% → 18%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
14.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 4 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
14.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 12 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
14.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
14.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
14.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
15.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
15.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
15.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Luke Deal for 9 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
16.0%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+4
16.1%
Bo Nix run for 4 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
16.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 10 yds to the Geo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
16.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (9 Yards) to the Geo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
17.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel ShenkerSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
17.0%
Bo Nix sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 15 AUBURN Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Geo 15Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
17.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 8 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
17.7%
Anders Carlson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0082% → 81%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.7%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
17.9%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
18.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
19.1%
Jake Camarda punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:4119% → 19%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
18.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Aub 18Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
19.0%
Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
19.2%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Nakobe Dean return for no gain to the Aub 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0481% → 81%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
18.8%
Stetson Bennett run for 7 yds to the Aub 19Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+7
19.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 7 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
19.4%
James Cook run for 4 yds to the Aub 8Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
19.6%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Aub 5Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
20.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
19.5%
Jack Podlesny 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3320% → 21%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.2%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
20.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
20.7%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
20.6%
AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
20.5%
Oscar Chapman punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:2980% → 83%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
20.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
20.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 13 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+33
20.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 33 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
19.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
19.8%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Washington, Darnell, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference 13 yards to the AUBURN11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
19.8%
Zamir White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 12Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+11
20.0%
Stetson Bennett run for 10 yds to the Aub 2 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (1 Yards) to the Aub 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.7%
Zamir White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1418% → 19%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
18.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 8 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+3
18.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
18.4%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
18.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 2 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+6
18.4%
Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
18.5%
Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:3882% → 87%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
18.5%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+25
18.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 25 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+45
17.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 45 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
17.6%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
17.6%
Stetson Bennett run for 1 yd to the Aub 3Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4814% → 14%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
14.3%
Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-9
14.7%
Bo Nix sacked by Zion Logue for a loss of 9 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
14.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Oscar Chapman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1986% → 86%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
14.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
13.9%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+2
14.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 2 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
14.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0114% → 14%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
14.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the Aub 36Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
14.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for no gain to the Aub 36Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
14.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
13.8%
Oscar Chapman punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:2886% → 86%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
14.0%
Zamir White run for 6 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+10
13.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
13.8%
Stetson Bennett run for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
13.7%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-10
13.4%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 12
OWN 28
-5
14.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
14.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 51 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for no gain to the Aub 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13DOWNS
16 plays · 71 yds · 1:4214% → 15%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
13.5%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
13.3%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+20
13.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 20 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
14.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 9 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
14.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
14.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
14.4%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+29
14.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 29 yds to the Geo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.9%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.9%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
14.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shaun ShiversSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
14.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Geo 3Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
15.2%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0489% → 89%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
11.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 2Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 2
-1
11.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:3987% → 89%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
12.9%
Zamir White run for 8 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
12.3%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
12.1%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
11.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 3 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
11.7%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
11.4%
Zamir White run for 12 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
11.0%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
10.9%
James Cook run for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
10.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
11.4%
Jack Podlesny 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:4913% → 13%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
12.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+7
12.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 7 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+8
12.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
13.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 7 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+13
13.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 13 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
13.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
13.7%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+1
13.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
13.1%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
2.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 60 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:484% → 13%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
4.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+31
4.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Caylin Newton for 31 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
4.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 26 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
5.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
5.0%
Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
13.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:0290% → 94%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
9.6%
Zamir White run for 9 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
8.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
8.5%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Aub 48Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
8.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 7 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+30
8.4%
Stetson Bennett run for 30 yds to the Aub 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
8.0%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Aub 6Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
7.8%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
7.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
6.4%
Jack Podlesny 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:308% → 6%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
8.0%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
7.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-15
6.9%
Bo Nix sacked by Quay Walker for a loss of 15 yards to the Aub 16Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+1
6.1%
Oscar Chapman punt for 49 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 1 yd to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 5:3495% → 99%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
5.3%
Kendall Milton run for 9 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
5.0%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
5.0%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+5
4.6%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
4.3%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+7
4.2%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
4.1%
James Cook run for 13 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
4.0%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
3.9%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
0.8%
Zamir White run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
1.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 13 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
1.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for no gain to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
1.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 3 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-16
1.0%
Bo Nix sacked by Robert Beal Jr. and Jalen Carter for a loss of 16 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 23
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 30 yds · 4:1799% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.6%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
0.6%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+8
0.6%
James Cook run for 8 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
0.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
0.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+9
0.4%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
0.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
0.3%
Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+3
0.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
0.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to James CookSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 55 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
0.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Landen King for 25 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.3%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
0.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Landen King for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
0.3%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+24
0.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 24 yds to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:01
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 60 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-10.1
TD · Q3 4:01
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q2 9:10
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com