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CONN

UConn 28 at Vanderbilt 30

VAN
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Joseph Bulovas 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:34: Keelan Marion 40 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Joe McFadden Kick) — CONN win probability +7.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 8:19: Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 38 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +13.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:21: Kevens Clercius 8 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CONN win probability +21.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:07: Steven Krajewski 17 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CONN win probability +48.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Joseph Bulovas 31 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +47.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:52CONN 4th & 4 at VAN 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:50VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28CONN 4th & 4 at VAN 27, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:12VAN 4th & 8 at CONN 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:48CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:28CONN 4th & 8 at VAN 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:21VAN 4th & 1 at CONN 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−0.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:34CONN 4th & 5 at VAN 40, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23VAN 4th & 16 at VAN 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:54VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:05CONN 4th & 3 at VAN 5, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−10.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:36VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:19CONN 4th & 9 at VAN 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:16VAN 4th & 9 at CONN 9, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−14.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:14CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:01VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:01CONN 4th & 18 at CONN 42, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:55VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.6%−8.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:12VAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:00VAN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:34CONN Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:19VAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:21CONN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    16.4%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:07CONN Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    62.7%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    63.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:0315% → 17%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
84.8%
Tyler Phommachanh pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
84.8%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
84.8%
Tyler Phommachanh pass complete to Brian Brewton for no gain to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+7
84.8%
Tyler Phommachanh pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 7 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
84.8%
Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+10
84.8%
Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
84.8%
Tyler Phommachanh pass complete to Aaron Turner for 2 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
84.8%
Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
84.8%
Tyler Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
83.4%
Joe McFadden 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5783% → 83%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
83.4%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
83.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
83.3%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
82.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:2217% → 19%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
82.9%
Tyler Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
82.9%
Nathan Carter run for 12 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
82.8%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+11
82.8%
Tyler Phommachanh pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
82.7%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-10
82.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kevens Clercius) to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-5
82.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Illegal Snap on FORTIN, Christopher enforced (Christopher Fortin) to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
82.7%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
82.8%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
81.4%
Joe McFadden 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 4:1682% → 80%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
81.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 10 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
81.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 26 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
82.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+2
82.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 2 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+13
82.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 13 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.4%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
82.4%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+2
82.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 2 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
80.4%
Joseph Bulovas 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1720% → 20%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.7%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
79.9%
Steven Krajewski run for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+3
80.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
79.6%
Joe McFadden punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3679% → 82%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
79.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 14 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
79.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 8 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+30
80.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 30 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
80.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+1
80.1%
Ken Seals run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
81.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 26 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:5919% → 19%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
80.8%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
80.6%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:3720% → 21%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
79.9%
Brian Brewton run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-1
79.8%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+15
80.3%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 15 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+26
79.5%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 26 yds to the Vandy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
79.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Noel Ofori-Nyadu) to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 15
OPP 21
0
79.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+7
79.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
79.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
78.8%
Joe McFadden 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 6:2179% → 85%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
79.4%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
79.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offsides (Durante Jones) to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
79.4%
Ken Seals run for 4 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+7
79.5%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.9%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
79.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 4 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+33
79.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 33 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
81.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 1 yd to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
81.0%
Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
80.4%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
79.8%
Ken Seals run for 2 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
81.0%
SEALS, Ken pass to the left incomplete intended for BODDIE, Devin thrown to the CON3. PENALTY CON Personal Foul on WATTS, Eric enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the CON13 to the CON7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
81.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the UConn 2Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:1816% → 25%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
84.1%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
84.2%
Jay Rose pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+32
84.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 32 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
82.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
83.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+15
84.3%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the CON30 (WILLIAMS, Alex). PENALTY VAN Personal Foul on WILLIAMS, Alex enforced 15 yards from the CON40 to the VAN45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
82.5%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 5 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
82.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
82.7%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+40
75.0%
Keelan Marion 40 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Joe McFadden Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 7 yds · 1:0677% → 76%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 6 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
77.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 7 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
77.3%
SEALS, Ken scrambles up the middle for no gain to the VAN33 (MITCHELL, Jackson). PENALTY VAN Holding on STEEN, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the VAN33 to the VAN23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+1
76.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+4
76.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+4
75.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 4 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 11
OWN 32
-5
75.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Justin Harris) to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
75.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds, downed at the UConn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:2324% → 23%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
76.4%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-2
76.8%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0177% → 74%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
76.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
76.8%
Ken Seals sacked by Jackson Mitchell for 0 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+7
75.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 7 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
74.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 40 yds, downed at the UConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:4925% → 27%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
74.6%
Nathan Carter run for 17 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
72.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 16 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
71.6%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 23 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
71.3%
Steven Krajewski run for 9 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 3
-2
71.3%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 5Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
72.4%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
72.7%
Joe McFadden 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4775% → 73%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
74.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
74.5%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
73.1%
Ken Seals pass intercepted return for no gain to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1231% → 29%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
69.4%
Heron Maurisseau run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 13
OPP 29
0
70.4%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+12
72.4%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 12 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 1
OPP 17
0
71.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Personal Foul on FORTIN, Christopher ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:3074% → 72%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
74.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 11 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
74.2%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
73.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 12 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
75.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
75.4%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
73.2%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
71.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 44 yds, downed at the UConn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:1728% → 30%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
72.1%
Nathan Carter run for 7 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+7
71.3%
Nathan Carter run for 7 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
71.4%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Jaylen Mahoney for 0 yards to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 17
OWN 20
0
72.5%
Nathan Carter run for no gain to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+31
73.6%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 31 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
67.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start DEMARK, Ryan enforced (5 Yards) to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-10
70.3%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven scrambles to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the VAN45 (MAHONEY, Jaylen). PENALTY CON Holding on WALKER, Sidney enforced 10 yards from the CON46 to the CON36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+9
71.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 9 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+7
71.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 7 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
69.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
69.9%
Haydn Kerr punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 6:0371% → 77%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
70.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+2
71.2%
Ken Seals run for 2 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.5%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
69.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 5 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
70.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 24 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
74.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+9
74.4%
Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
75.3%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+19
75.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 19 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
75.3%
Ken Seals run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
75.3%
Ken Seals run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.9%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
77.1%
Joseph Bulovas 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:2627% → 33%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.1%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 21Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+26
73.6%
Jay Rose pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 26 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
68.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 7
50
0
66.9%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted return for no gain to the Vandy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:2477% → 93%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
76.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 13 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
79.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
79.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+38
93.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 38 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:538% → 34%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
91.9%
Nathan Carter run for 16 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
90.6%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brian Brewton for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
90.0%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
90.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brian Brewton for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+9
90.8%
Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
89.6%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 25 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
87.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
88.3%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the right incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens broken up by JEUDY, Gabe at the VAN0. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on JEUDY, Gabe enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the VAN7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
87.9%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 8Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
66.4%
Kevens Clercius 8 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:2086% → 88%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
86.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
86.1%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
87.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 47 yds, downed at the UConn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:5422% → 82%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
77.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 15 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
74.8%
Nathan Carter run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
50
+1
70.1%
Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
70.7%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 18
OWN 42
+32
79.5%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 32 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
66.2%
Nathan Carter run for 9 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+17
17.8%
Steven Krajewski 17 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 1:0748% → 95%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
47.6%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
44.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 6 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
46.4%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+19
43.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 19 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
54.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 9 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
54.4%
SEALS, Ken pass to the left incomplete intended for PIERCE, Chris thrown to the CON9. PENALTY CON Pass Interference on CROSS, Stan enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the CON11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
47.6%
Ken Seals run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+31
95.0%
Joseph Bulovas 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:07
Steven Krajewski 17 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-48.4
FG · Q4 0:00
Joseph Bulovas 31 yd FG GOOD
+47.4
TD · Q4 5:21
Kevens Clercius 8 Yd pass from Steven Krajewski (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-21.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com