Try the model
TROY

Troy 14 at South Carolina 23

SC
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:45 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 61 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 16 yds to the SCaro 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior+3.8Home team on offense+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:30: B.J. Smith run for 35 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK) — TROY win probability +4.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:12: Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 16 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +9.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:28: David Spaulding 74 Yd Interception Return (Parker White Kick) — SC win probability +12.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:25: Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK) — TROY win probability +13.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q3 4:43: Parker White 48 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +4.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 1 at TROY 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52SC 4th & 5 at TROY 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22TROY 4th & 10 at TROY 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:06SC 4th & 5 at TROY 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:55SC 4th & 26 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:19TROY 4th & 4 at TROY 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:19SC 4th & 1 at TROY 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−1.8
    68% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:50SC 4th & 8 at TROY 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:18TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:43SC 4th & 17 at TROY 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:59TROY 4th & 9 at TROY 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:45TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:20SC 4th & 11 at TROY 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:30TROY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:12SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:28SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:25TROY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:0868% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
68.1%
Doty,Luke pass incomplete to Muse,Nick PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Douglas,Eric) 12 yards from USC25 to USC13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
68.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+10
68.1%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
68.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 12 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
68.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 24 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
68.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
68.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 12 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
68.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for no gain to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
68.1%
Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
68.1%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Troy 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+1
68.1%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Troy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
68.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 15 yds to the Troy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
68.1%
Luke Doty run for 1 yd to the Troy 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
68.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
68.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
68.1%
Parker White 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3032% → 31%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Luke WhittemoreSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
68.0%
B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
68.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for no gain to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 4:1668% → 68%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
67.7%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+15
67.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 15 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
68.4%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
68.3%
PENALTY USC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TRO49 to USC46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 15
OWN 46
-10
67.8%
McDowell,Juju rush for 0 yards to the USC46 (Anthony,Jordan) PENALTY USC Holding (Legette,Xavier) 10 yards from USC46 to USC36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 25
OWN 36
+26
67.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 26 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
68.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 2 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+7
68.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 7 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
68.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the Troy 33Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
68.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:3633% → 39%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
67.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie ToddSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
67.4%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie ToddSimilar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+12
68.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
66.6%
B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+11
66.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
66.3%
Taylor Powell sacked by Zacch Pickens for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+7
66.1%
B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+35
61.4%
B.J. Smith run for 35 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:3062% → 60%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
62.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 6 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
63.4%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+30
62.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 30 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
64.7%
Luke Doty sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 38Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+3
63.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-10
63.5%
Doty,Luke pass complete to Harris,Kevin for 3 yards to the TRO32 (Pettus,Dell) PENALTY USC Holding (Moore,Jakai) 10 yards from TRO35 to TRO45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 21
OPP 45
-5
62.3%
PENALTY USC False Start (Moore,Jakai) 5 yards from TRO45 to TRO50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 26
50
0
62.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 26
50
0
60.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the Troy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:3639% → 40%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
61.1%
Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
61.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+16
61.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jabre Barber for 16 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
60.9%
Jamontez Woods run for 6 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
60.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Orlando LaceySimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
60.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:0759% → 72%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
58.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 13 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.7%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+5
58.7%
PENALTY TRO Offside (Griffin,Elgin) 5 yards from USC34 to USC39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
60.6%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Juju McDowellSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+28
59.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 28 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
62.4%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
62.3%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+6
61.5%
Luke Doty run for 6 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+5
60.6%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
62.4%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Troy 16Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
71.7%
Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 16 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8INT TD
13 plays · 42 yds · 3:4430% → 23%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.6%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 26Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
69.7%
TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
70.5%
Powell,Taylor pass complete to Todd,Reggie for 8 yards to the TRO35 (Dial,Marcellas) PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Dial,Marcellas) 15 yards from TRO27 to TRO42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
68.1%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 43Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+13
68.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 13 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
67.1%
Reggie Todd run for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
66.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie ToddSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+10
66.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
66.0%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
65.0%
Powell,Taylor pass incomplete to Johnson,Tez QB hurried by Enagbare,Kingsley PENALTY TRO Holding (Lewis,Deyunkrea) 11 yard from USC22 to USC33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 20
OPP 33
-74
77.2%
David Spaulding 74 Yd Interception Return (Parker White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
79.6%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2923% → 38%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.9%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
76.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tez Johnson for 10 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
75.7%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+15
75.3%
Powell,Taylor pass incomplete to Brown,Demontrez PENALTY USC Roughing The Passer (Pickens,Zacch) 15 yards from TRO45 to USC40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
74.8%
Jamontez Woods run for 13 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
73.5%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
74.0%
Jamontez Woods run for 3 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+22
75.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to AJ Lewis for 22 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Targeting ( Yards) to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.0%
Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:3567% → 68%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
67.2%
Josh Vann run for 34 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
70.5%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
70.2%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
69.6%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
68.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:3233% → 33%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+21
66.8%
B.J. Smith run for 21 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
66.3%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie ToddSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+10
67.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 10 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.7%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 34Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+4
67.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 4 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
66.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt blocked by Jahmar Brown, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 23 blocked by Jahmar BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FG
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3572% → 73%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
72.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the Troy 23Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-7
72.1%
Luke Doty sacked by Javon Solomon for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 30Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 17
OPP 30
0
68.9%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to MarShawn LloydSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+48
73.1%
Parker White 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:3929% → 23%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
71.1%
Jamontez Woods run for 12 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
70.4%
Jamontez Woods run for 4 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
69.7%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie Todd pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+10
75.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 10 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
73.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Reggie ToddSimilar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
73.7%
Jamontez Woods run for 6 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
71.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to DK Billingsley for 5 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
76.7%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · -19 yds · 1:1631% → 28%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
68.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 2 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
68.8%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-20
71.7%
Taylor Powell sacked by Jaylan Foster for a loss of 20 yards to the Troy 20 Jahmar Brown fumbled, recovered by Troy , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:5824% → 22%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
75.8%
B.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
74.1%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
75.0%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
74.6%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
76.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+16
78.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 61 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 16 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 3:0280% → 86%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
80.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 19 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
80.7%
Josh Vann run for 18 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
83.0%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+3
82.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 3 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-11
85.5%
Luke Doty sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 11 yards to the SCaro 40 Luke Doty fumbled, recovered by Troy Richard Jibunor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:2625% → 23%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
75.3%
Jamontez Woods run for no gain to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
75.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+8
76.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds Reggie Todd fumbled, forced by Jaylan Foster, recovered by SCaro Zacch PickensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 5:5785% → 98%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
85.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 12 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
86.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+10
86.5%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
87.5%
Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
87.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
87.8%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
87.7%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+9
87.1%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 9 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
87.8%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Troy 19Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+3
87.7%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the Troy 22Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 14
OPP 22
-10
86.5%
McDowell,Juju rush for 4 yards loss to the TRO26 (Williams,Zion) PENALTY USC Illegal Block in Back (Brooks,Jalen) 10 yards from TRO22 to TRO32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 24
OPP 32
+13
86.3%
Juju McDowell run for 13 yds to the Troy 19Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
97.5%
Parker White 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:204% → 4%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Reggie Todd for 5 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
95.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 4 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
95.8%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
95.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to B.J. Smith for 1 yd to the Troy 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+16
96.3%
Jabre Barber run for 16 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:25
Jamontez Woods run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)
-13
TD · Q2 0:28
David Spaulding 74 Yd Interception Return (Parker White Kick)
+12.2
TD · Q2 4:12
Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 16 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com