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TENN

Tennessee 62 at Missouri 24

MIZ
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:01 · Connor Bazelak pass intercepted return for no gain to the Misso 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Home team on offense−45.7Score differential−29.5Garbage-time factor−13.2Pregame prior+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:13: Tiyon Evans run for 92 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +7.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:31: Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +15.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:38: Tyler Badie run for 6 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +10.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:01: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 35 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +14.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:19: Chase McGrath 25 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +3.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:43MIZ 4th & 14 at MIZ 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:13MIZ 4th & 13 at TENN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MIZ 4th & 1 at TENN 33, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−2.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:07MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:08TENN 4th & 1 at MIZ 5, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−2.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:51MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 29, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:19TENN 4th & 7 at MIZ 8, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:44TENN 4th & 6 at MIZ 10, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:01MIZ 4th & 14 at TENN 43, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:18TENN 4th & 1 at MIZ 1, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:41MIZ 4th & 2 at TENN 34, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:28TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:21TENN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:13TENN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:31TENN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:38MIZ Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:01TENN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:49TENN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1761% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.6%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
60.6%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Jeremy Banks for 0 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
60.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+1
60.5%
Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Tenn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:1540% → 41%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
60.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 3
50
+4
60.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
60.5%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
60.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
59.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 35 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 5:1560% → 59%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.7%
Chance Luper run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
59.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 11 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
59.8%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+3
59.7%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 14
OWN 34
-10
59.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+14
59.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 14 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
60.0%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+31
60.0%
Tyler Badie run for 21 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+32
59.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 32 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
60.1%
BADIE, Tyler rush to the left for no gain to the UT 22 (BEASLEY, Aaron). PENALTY MIZ Holding on WHITE, Hyrin enforced 10 yards from the UT 22 to the UT 32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
60.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 20
OPP 32
0
59.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 20
OPP 32
+7
59.8%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
58.9%
Harrison Mevis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5241% → 45%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
59.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 14 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
58.6%
Jabari Small run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
50
0
58.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
50
+8
58.5%
HOOKER, Hendon pass incomplete intended for KEYTON, Ramel thrown to the MIZ39. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on EVANS, Akayleb enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the MIZ42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
58.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+21
58.2%
Jabari Small run for 21 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
58.2%
Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
54.7%
Tiyon Evans run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5656% → 54%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
56.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 17 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
56.5%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+5
56.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
56.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
53.7%
Grant McKinniss punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
1 play · 92 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+92
46.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 92 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:3147% → 45%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
46.9%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 5Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+10
46.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 10 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+6
46.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST down pass incomplete for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
45.4%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.0%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5334% → 43%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.8%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
33.7%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
33.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 17 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
31.8%
Tyler Badie run for 15 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
31.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
32.0%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
31.8%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
32.0%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
32.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
32.2%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+7
32.1%
Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
42.9%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:3164% → 79%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
36.1%
Tiyon Evans run for 11 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
35.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 29 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
35.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for no gain to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
35.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Martez Manuel for 0 yards to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+35
20.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 35 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5421% → 19%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.4%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
21.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
21.8%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
22.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
21.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
18.6%
punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:1881% → 89%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
18.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 3 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+33
18.4%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
50
+13
18.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 13 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
18.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+19
17.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 19 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
17.7%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 6 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
14.6%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 3 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
14.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for no gain to the Misso 5Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+4
13.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.8%
Hendon Hooker 1 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5814% → 13%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
14.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
13.7%
D'ionte Smith run for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
13.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+15
12.6%
punt for 44 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 15 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:3288% → 92%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
12.1%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 15 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
11.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+12
11.7%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 12 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
11.6%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 2 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-10
11.6%
QB Keeper HOOKER, Hendon rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MIZ23 (NICHOLSON, Devin;ALLDREDGE, Blaze). PENALTY UT Holding on WRIGHT, Darnell enforced 10 yards from the MIZ25 to the MIZ35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+13
11.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, Face mask (13 yards) (Johnny Walker Jr.) to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
11.6%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Misso 10Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
11.6%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 2 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
11.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
8.1%
Chase McGrath 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 15 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
7.4%
BJ Harris run for 15 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:1694% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
6.6%
Tiyon Evans run for 9 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
6.4%
Tiyon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+15
6.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 15 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
6.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
6.1%
Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
6.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
6.2%
QB Keeper HOOKER, Hendon rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the MIZ29 (WHITESIDE, Kobie). PENALTY MIZ Personal Foul on WHITESIDE, Kobie enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the end of the play at the MIZ29 to the MIZ15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
6.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
6.0%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
6.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
5.6%
Chase McGrath 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0794% → 96%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
5.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Len'Neth Whitehead for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
6.0%
Tiyon Evans run for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
5.8%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+13
5.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 13 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
5.7%
Tiyon Evans run for 7 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
5.2%
Tiyon Evans run for 5 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
5.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 17 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
5.5%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-10
3.6%
PIERCE, Marcus rush to the right for a gain of 14 yards to the MIZ0, TOUCHDOWN UT , score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UT Holding on DAVIS, Dayne enforced 10 yards from the MIZ14 to the MIZ24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 18
OPP 24
0
3.7%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 18
OPP 24
+24
3.7%
Cedric Tillman 24 Yd pass from Hendon Hooker (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:244% → 2%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 6 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
4.0%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
4.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-3
4.1%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+14
4.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to JJ Hester for 14 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
4.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 10 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
4.7%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
4.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
4.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to BJ Harris for no gain to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
1.9%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted return for no gain to the Misso 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 48 yds · 7:4397% → 100%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
2.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+9
2.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
2.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
2.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
2.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
0.9%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+2
0.9%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
1.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
1.0%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+7
1.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 7 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
0.9%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.8%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.9%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.5%
Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 4:310% → 0%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+56
0.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 56 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
0.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
0.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 4 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
0.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+10
0.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 10 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
0.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 9 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+3
0.5%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
0.6%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.3%
D'ionte Smith 4 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 4:01100% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
0.3%
Joe Milton III run for 32 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
0.3%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 5 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+1
0.3%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+7
0.3%
Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
0.3%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+27
0.1%
Marcus Pierce Jr. 27 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 55 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+38
0.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 38 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
0.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 9 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
0.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-1
0.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+7
0.1%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+2
0.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Elijah Young for 2 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:31
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q2 10:01
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 35 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q2 11:38
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com