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Kentucky 16 at South Carolina 10

SC
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:18 · Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−1.7Pregame prior−9.7Garbage-time factor−0.8Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:52: Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +15.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. FG · Q3 3:43: Matt Ruffolo 21 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +5.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:05: Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down — SC win probability +12.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:24: Juju McDowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line — SC win probability +12.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:31: Parker White 54 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +12.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UK made the numbers' call on 0 of 6
  1. Q1 6:18SC 4th & 3 at SC 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:55UK 4th & 2 at UK 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:45SC 4th & 12 at SC 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:07UK 4th & 2 at UK 11, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:13SC 4th & 6 at UK 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−1.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17UK 4th & 4 at UK 16, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:15SC 4th & 1 at UK 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.3%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:39SC 4th & 2 at SC 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UK 4th & 6 at SC 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.5%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:43UK 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−15.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:32SC 4th & 21 at SC 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−5.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:33SC 4th & 5 at UK 25, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    36.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−12.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:43SC 4th & 3 at UK 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%−4.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:26UK 4th & 2 at SC 9, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%−2.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−12.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:31SC 4th & 12 at UK 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:27UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:52SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0961% → 62%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
38.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
39.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
39.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
39.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
39.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
39.3%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
39.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
39.5%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
39.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+10
39.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
39.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
39.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 3 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+3
40.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 3 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
37.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 15 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4939% → 38%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.5%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
38.8%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
38.4%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for no gain to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
38.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:1162% → 62%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
38.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 15 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
37.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
37.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
37.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 1 yd to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
37.7%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:0338% → 38%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
38.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 12 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
38.4%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
38.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 4 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
38.7%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
39.1%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
38.8%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-5
38.8%
Luke Doty sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
37.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 56 yds, downed at the Kent 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0362% → 61%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
38.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 3 Chris Rodriguez Jr. fumbled, forced by Carlins Platel, recovered by KentSimilar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
38.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+4
38.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+3
38.8%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+7
38.8%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds , Josh Vann returns for 7 yds to the Kent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1740% → 39%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
40.4%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
40.4%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+1
40.2%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 1 yd to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
39.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3662% → 61%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
38.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
37.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Justin RiggSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
38.2%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
38.8%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4540% → 40%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
39.8%
Juju McDowell run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 4
50
+3
40.2%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
40.3%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
39.5%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Kent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:4666% → 67%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
33.6%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Justin RiggSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
33.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
32.7%
Will Levis pass intercepted Jaylan Foster return for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:3737% → 37%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
36.6%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+19
36.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 19 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
36.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Rico Powers for 10 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
37.3%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
38.1%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
38.0%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
36.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11END OF HALF
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:2765% → 72%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
34.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+5
34.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
33.8%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
32.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 11 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
30.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
29.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+10
29.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
28.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+3
29.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 3 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+11
30.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
29.0%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
28.3%
Matt Ruffolo 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0330% → 46%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.6%
Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
29.8%
Luke Doty run for 2 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
28.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 4 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+17
29.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 17 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
30.7%
Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
30.8%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+25
30.5%
Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 25 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
31.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 11 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
46.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:5860% → 72%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
39.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+13
41.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 13 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
36.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+17
36.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 17 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
35.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37 Chris Rodriguez Jr. fumbled, recovered by KentSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+18
35.6%
Will Levis run for 18 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
33.2%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
32.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+9
34.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
32.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 5Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
32.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
34.2%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
28.4%
Matt Ruffolo 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:5033% → 30%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
33.0%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+11
32.6%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 11 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
33.6%
Luke Doty run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
32.2%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-7
30.8%
Luke Doty sacked by Carrington Valentine for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 21
OWN 20
0
29.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 33 yds, downed at the Kent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
25.6%
Josh Ali run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 40 Josh Ali fumbled, forced by David Spaulding, recovered by SCaro Brad JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3238% → 35%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
38.0%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
39.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
35.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for no gain to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+2
35.3%
Luke Doty pass complete to Rico Powers for 2 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 18
OPP 38
+13
34.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 13 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 5
OPP 25
0
34.7%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:4273% → 77%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
25.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
23.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
23.2%
Josh Ali run for 9 yds to the Kent 47 Josh Ali fumbled, forced by R.J. Roderick, recovered by SCaro Kingsley EnagbareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4135% → 32%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
35.2%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 13
50
+3
32.2%
Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+7
31.1%
Luke Doty run for 7 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
31.7%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 5:0779% → 91%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
21.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+13
21.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 13 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
19.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
17.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+10
15.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
14.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-1
14.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+4
14.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
9.3%
Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:4611% → 23%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
10.8%
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 30 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
14.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
16.0%
Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 16
OPP 40
0
12.3%
Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+4
10.0%
Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+54
22.6%
Parker White 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:1589% → 96%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
5.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 10 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
5.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
5.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
4.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:52
Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+15.3
FG · Q4 2:31
Parker White 54 yd FG GOOD
+12.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:05
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com