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MIZ

Missouri 34 at Boston College 41

BC
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.3BC 82.8%Connor Lytton 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 27 · Q3 0:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:40 · Connor Lytton 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 115Home team on offense+15.1Garbage-time factor+7.8Pregame prior+1.2Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Time remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:41: Michael Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +18.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 6:18: Tyler Badie run for 8 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +35.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:25: Travis Levy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +62.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: Harrison Mevis 56 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +44.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +16.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:44MIZ 4th & 1 at BC 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:59BC 4th & 1 at MIZ 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−1.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−6.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:03MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:01BC 4th & 7 at BC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:14MIZ 4th & 11 at BC 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05BC 4th & 17 at MIZ 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:32BC 4th & 4 at MIZ 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−1.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:40BC 4th & 6 at MIZ 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−9.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:38BC 4th & 9 at BC 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−4.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:22MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:56BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:03MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:20BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:41MIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:18MIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:25BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:2345% → 47%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
54.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
54.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+9
54.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dawson Downing for 9 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
54.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
54.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
54.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 1 yd to the BC 43Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
54.7%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+5
54.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Elijah Jones) to the BC 38Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+5
55.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 5 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
54.6%
Tyler Badie run for 24 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
52.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.5%
Dennis Grosel pass intercepted Shawn Robinson return for no gain to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0147% → 46%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
53.1%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
53.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
53.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance LuperSimilar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
53.7%
Grant McKinniss punt for 59 yds, downed at the BC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 98 yds · 1:4954% → 57%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
54.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
53.6%
Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+27
53.4%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 27 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
57.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 67 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:3244% → 49%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
55.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 8 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
55.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+17
55.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 17 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance LuperSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
55.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 12 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+39
54.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 39 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
50.6%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0153% → 59%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
53.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
52.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 17 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
53.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 9 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+18
53.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for 18 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
53.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
53.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+3
52.4%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Misso 9Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+1
51.9%
Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
53.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Misso 7Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:3844% → 43%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
55.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.5%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-10
55.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javon Foster) to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+4
56.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 4 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+6
56.7%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+46
56.8%
Grant McKinniss punt for 46 yds , Travis Levy returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4958% → 56%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
57.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
57.5%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
56.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Trae BarrySimilar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+4
56.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 52 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for 4 yds to the Misso 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 5:3644% → 49%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
55.7%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+8
55.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 8 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
54.4%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
54.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 9 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
53.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 1 yd to the BC 45Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
53.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+11
53.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 11 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
51.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to JJ Hester for 16 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
50.6%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the BC 18Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
50.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Graham-Mobley) to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
50.4%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 13Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
50.7%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
51.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
50.6%
Harrison Mevis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:4652% → 55%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
51.9%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 10 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
53.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
52.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
54.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Xavier Coleman for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+38
51.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 38 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
56.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
56.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-10
54.2%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Blaze Alldredge and Martez Manuel for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+49
55.3%
Connor Lytton 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2557% → 76%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
58.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
58.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
57.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
58.9%
Dennis Grosel run for 6 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
59.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 9
50
+15
60.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 15 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
61.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+6
61.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
61.8%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 1 yd to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+14
61.9%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 14 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
62.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.3%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:1830% → 32%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
69.7%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
68.2%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Josh DeBerry return for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 6:4576% → 83%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
75.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
75.8%
Dennis Grosel run for 8 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
76.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
78.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
78.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
78.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
78.7%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+4
77.7%
Dennis Grosel run for 14 yds to the Misso 25 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
78.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+5
76.5%
Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
79.7%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+6
81.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
81.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+1
83.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the Misso 14Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
82.5%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
82.8%
Connor Lytton 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4917% → 39%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.1%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
81.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+40
82.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 40 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
78.8%
Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
78.9%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
79.1%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.1%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the BC 1Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.0%
Michael Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4769% → 67%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
69.3%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
67.6%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
66.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:1236% → 76%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
63.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
64.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 5 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
62.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to JJ Hester for 8 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
61.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 8 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
60.6%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
59.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 32Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+2
59.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+14
63.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 14 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
61.1%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
59.2%
Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
24.0%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18TD
20 plays · 60 yds · 5:3542% → 95%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
41.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
42.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Blaze Alldredge) to the BC 49Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
43.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the BC 49Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
38.0%
Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
39.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
39.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
39.4%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
38.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 8 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+6
42.5%
Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
41.5%
Travis Levy run for 13 yds to the Misso 10 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Travis Levy) to the Misso 25Similar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 12
OPP 25
+7
38.4%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 7 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
39.7%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
33.1%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
35.7%
Dennis Grosel run for 7 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
33.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Trae BarrySimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
95.3%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19END OF GAME
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:2118% → 60%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
82.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 19 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
79.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 12 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
84.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+56
39.8%
Harrison Mevis 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
65.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Misso 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
65.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Misso 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+10
63.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 10 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
65.6%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
82.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.1%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted, touchback. Brandon Sebastian return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:25
Travis Levy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)
+62.1
FG · Q4 0:00
Harrison Mevis 56 yd FG GOOD
-44.2
TD · Q4 6:18
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
-35.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com