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USM

Southern Miss 14 at Alabama 63

ALA
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUSM aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUSM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:25 · Ty Keyes pass intercepted DeMarcco Hellams return for 6 yds to the Alab 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+47.0Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+1.1Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:00: Cameron Latu 1 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:26: Roydell Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:36: Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 81 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — USM win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:26: Ty Keyes pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 14 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:19USM 4th & 11 at USM 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:25USM 4th & 1 at ALA 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:31USM 4th & 14 at USM 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:50USM 4th & 3 at USM 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:33USM 4th & 7 at USM 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:55ALA 4th & 12 at ALA 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:52USM 4th & 17 at USM 18, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:32USM 4th & 1 at USM 34, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:09ALA 4th & 1 at USM 36, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:32USM 4th & 8 at ALA 49, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:04ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 24, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:58USM 4th & 19 at USM 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:25USM 4th & 4 at USM 31, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9USM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:46ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:41ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:00ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:26ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:36ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:26USM Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:15ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:22ALA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:29USM Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:16ALA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:49ALA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.4%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 4 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 20Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Ty Keyes pass incomplete to Antoine RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Mason Hunt punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:1499% → 99%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
99.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 35Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+2
99.4%
Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+15
99.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 15 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.3%
Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+25
99.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 25 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for no gain to the SoMis 17Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.3%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the SoMis 16Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+16
99.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 16 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4INT
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:551% → 1%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.3%
Chandler Pittman run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+21
99.3%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 21 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
99.2%
Ty Keyes pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+14
99.2%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 14 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+7
99.2%
Chandler Pittman run for 7 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
99.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 30Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-6
99.1%
Ty Keyes pass intercepted DeMarcco Hellams return for 6 yds to the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+27
99.2%
Jase McClellan run for 27 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.2%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the SoMis 48Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+20
99.1%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 20 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.1%
Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
99.3%
Cameron Latu 1 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:141% → 1%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
99.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 16Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-10
99.3%
Ty Keyes sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the SoMis 6Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 22
OWN 6
+8
99.3%
Ty Keyes run for 8 yds to the SoMis 14Similar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 14
OWN 14
+45
99.3%
Mason Hunt punt for 35 yds , JoJo Earle returns for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:4999% → 100%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.2%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OWN 44
+55
99.2%
Roydell Williams run for 55 yds to the SoMis 1Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the SoMis 1Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Ty Keyes run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 32Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Mason Hunt punt for 49 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Alab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
1 play · 81 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
99.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 81 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Da'quan Bailey-Brown for 3 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Da'quan Bailey-Brown for no gain to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Mason Hunt punt for 44 yds, downed at the Alab 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2599% → 100%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Alab 28Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-4
99.4%
Bryce Young sacked by TEAM for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 24 ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Alab 24Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+2
99.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 2 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+18
99.5%
James Burnip punt for 38 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 18 yds to the Alab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
99.7%
Keyes, Ty rush for 3 yards to the ALABAMA43, PENALTY SOUMISS holding 10 yards to the SOUMISS44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+26
99.7%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 26 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.7%
Ty Keyes run for no gain to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-3
99.7%
Ty Keyes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+19
99.8%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 19 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 14 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+12
99.7%
Jase McClellan run for 12 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.7%
Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+33
99.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 33 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.7%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+14
99.7%
Roydell Williams run for 14 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.7%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the SoMis 21Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+16
99.7%
Roydell Williams run for 16 yds to the SoMis 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.7%
Williams, Roydell rush for loss of 1 yard to the SOUMISS6, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal formation 5 yards to the SOUMISS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
99.8%
Bryce Young sacked by Josh Carr Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 17Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+8
99.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 8 yds to the SoMis 9Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 23Similar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
99.8%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Gerquan Scott) to the SoMis 18Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Ty Keyes pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+49
99.8%
Mason Hunt punt for 39 yds , JoJo Earle returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 42 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Alab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 8 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+13
99.8%
Jase McClellan run for 13 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+36
99.8%
Jase McClellan run for 25 yds to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (11 Yards) to the SoMis 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 11 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Ty Keyes run for 8 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Ty Keyes run for 1 yd to the SoMis 34Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Mason Hunt punt for 60 yds, downed at the Alab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18INT
12 plays · 65 yds · 6:15100% → 100%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for no gain to the Alab 6Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+22
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 22 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 4 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+23
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 23 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.9%
Jase McClellan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 46Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 7 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+8
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the SoMis 28Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-10
99.9%
Young, Bryce pass complete to Latu, Cameron for 19 yards to the SOUMISS9, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the SOUMISS38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 20
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-13
99.9%
Bryce Young pass intercepted Malik Shorts return for 13 yds to the SoMis 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 5:080% → 0%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.9%
Ty Keyes run for 8 yds to the SoMis 24Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Brad Dennis for no gain to the SoMis 24Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Chandler Pittman run for 11 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Chandler Pittman run for 2 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Ty Keyes run for 11 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+19
100.0%
Ty Keyes run for 19 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Ty Keyes run for 4 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+15
99.9%
Keyes, Ty pass incomplete to Caston, Jakarius, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Jobe, Josh) 15 yards to the ALABAMA12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUMISS.Similar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
99.9%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 17Similar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+6
100.0%
Chandler Pittman run for 6 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 11 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Chandler Pittman run for 3 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+19
100.0%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Dajon Richard for 19 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Ty Keyes pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Dajon Richard run for 2 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Dajon Richard run for no gain to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Mason Hunt punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Paul Tyson pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
James Burnip punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Da'quan Bailey-Brown at the SoMis 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
100.0%
Ty Keyes sacked by Jamil Burroughs for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 27Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 19
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Ty Keyes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 19
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Ty Keyes pass incomplete to Dajon RichardSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 19
OWN 27
-2
100.0%
Mason Hunt punt for 56 yds , JoJo Earle returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+35
100.0%
Paul Tyson pass complete to Javon Baker for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
50
+3
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 3 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the SoMis 46Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+23
100.0%
Paul Tyson pass complete to Cameron Latu for 23 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-8
100.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the SoMis 21 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SoMis 31Similar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 18
OPP 31
+3
100.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+4
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 4 yds to the SoMis 24Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+24
100.0%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Javon Baker for 24 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Dajon Richard run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
100.0%
Tee Webb run for 1 yd to the SoMis 27Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Dajon Richard run for 4 yds to the SoMis 31Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Mason Hunt punt for 29 yds, downed at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:26
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 12:36
Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 81 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
-0.2
TD · Q1 3:00
Cameron Latu 1 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com