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STAN

Stanford 41 at Vanderbilt 23

VAN
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:28 · Tanner McKee run for 2 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Home team on offense−0.6Pregame prior−22.1Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:19: Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +11.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:40: Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +7.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Joshua Karty 35 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +8.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:18: Tanner McKee pass complete to Jay Symonds for 5 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +10.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:26: Joseph Bulovas 34 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +3.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 12 of 12STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:35VAN 4th & 1 at STAN 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28STAN 4th & 1 at VAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55VAN 4th & 9 at STAN 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:35STAN 4th & 2 at VAN 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:41VAN 4th & 1 at STAN 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−2.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:53STAN 4th & 6 at VAN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:05VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:49VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:18VAN 4th & 6 at STAN 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:26VAN 4th & 10 at STAN 16, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:53STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:57VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:07STAN 4th & 16 at STAN 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:04VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:39STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:03VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:31STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:52VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:37STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:35VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:52STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:19VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:40STAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:18STAN Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:44STAN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2374% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
25.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
25.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 3 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+61
25.6%
Austin Jones run for 61 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
25.6%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 7Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
25.8%
Tanner McKee run for 7 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2DOWNS
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:0226% → 29%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.0%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
26.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 12 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
26.1%
Ken Seals run for 8 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
26.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
50
+7
26.2%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 7 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
26.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 6 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
26.3%
SEALS, Ken pass to the left complete for 7 yards to BODDIE, Devin caught at the STA34, BODDIE, Devin fumbled at STA30 forced by WILLIAMSON, Kendall, recovered by STA TEAM at the STA30, returned 0 yards to the STA30, End of Play. PENALTY STA Offsides on WILLIAMSON, Kendall enforced 5 yards from the STA37 to the STA32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+12
26.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 12 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
26.3%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
26.3%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+7
26.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 7 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
26.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
26.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.2%
Ken Seals run for no gain to the Stanf 1Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.4%
Re'Mahn Davis 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:3671% → 74%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
28.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 15 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
28.5%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
28.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
28.4%
Benjamin Yurosek run for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
28.8%
Tanner McKee run for 2 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
28.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
28.4%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+15
28.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 15 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
26.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 21 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:5728% → 28%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
27.8%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
27.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 14 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
28.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
28.6%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+7
28.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 7 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
28.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
28.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 7 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
29.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
29.3%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
28.9%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+44
27.9%
Joseph Bulovas 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:2073% → 72%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
27.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
27.2%
Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+32
26.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 32 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
26.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Houston Heimuli for 7 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+10
26.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 10 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
26.1%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for HUMPHREYS, John thrown to the VAN0. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on GEORGE, Allan enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the VAN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.1%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.1%
Isaiah Sanders run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
26.3%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
27.2%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
28.1%
DAVIS, Re'Mahn rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN1 (HERRON, Stephen). PENALTY STA Offsides on HERRON, Stephen enforced 5 yards from the VAN2 to the VAN7 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
15 plays · 98 yds · 7:1628% → 42%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+1
28.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 8Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+1
28.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 9Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+14
27.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 14 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
28.2%
Ken Seals sacked by Stephen Herron for 0 yards to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 19
OWN 14
+34
27.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 34 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
29.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
29.7%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
29.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
28.7%
Ken Seals run for 1 yd to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+26
29.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 26 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
30.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Stanf 16Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
30.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
30.6%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 3Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
42.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:1767% → 68%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
33.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
32.7%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the left incomplete intended for TREMAYNE, Brycen thrown to the VAN20. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on MAHONEY, Jaylen declined VAN Personal Foul on JEUDY, Gabe enforced 15 yards from the VAN47 to the VAN32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
32.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
32.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
33.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 5 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-5
35.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay Of Game (Isaiah Sanders) to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
32.2%
Joshua Karty 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3134% → 33%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
33.7%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
32.5%
Ken Seals pass intercepted return for no gain to the Vandy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:4271% → 79%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+26
29.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 26 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
21.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3523% → 24%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.3%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
23.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 6 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+48
23.7%
Harrison Smith punt for 38 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 48 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11FG
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+35
15.5%
Joshua Karty 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:1122% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
21.6%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
21.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 4 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
20.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 1 yd to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+13
20.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 41 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 13 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3183% → 94%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.1%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+24
17.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 24 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+26
17.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Jay Symonds for 26 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Jay Symonds for 5 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 2:5211% → 15%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
10.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 36 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
11.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
12.2%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
11.6%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+19
11.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 19 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
12.2%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
12.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Devin Boddie Jr.) to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 15
OPP 21
0
11.9%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+5
11.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 5 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
14.7%
Joseph Bulovas 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3388% → 89%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.6%
E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
11.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
11.8%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
11.4%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5614% → 13%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
13.5%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
13.3%
Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
13.8%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+17
12.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 53 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 17 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:5090% → 91%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
10.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 17 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
9.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
9.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 11 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
9.5%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brycen Tremayne) to the Stanf 47Similar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 16
OWN 47
0
9.6%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+5
9.7%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
9.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 11
OPP 48
-5
8.8%
SANBORN, Ryan punt 42 yards to the VAN6 downed by PARSONS, Bailey. PENALTY Before the snap, STA Illegal Motion on TREMAYNE, Brycen enforced 5 yards from the VAN48 to the STA47. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
8.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 50 yds, downed at the Vandy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 5:0311% → 7%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
11.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+3
11.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 11Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+2
11.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
11.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
9.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
9.9%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+3
9.6%
Ken Seals run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.6%
Ken Seals run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
9.7%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
9.5%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+20
7.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 56 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 20 yds to the Stanf 47 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Block (Jacob Mangum-Farrar) to the Stanf 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:2595% → 96%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
4.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
4.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 4
OWN 17
-7
5.1%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right complete for 7 yards to HUMPHREYS, John caught at the STA22 and advanced to the STA24 (WORSHIP, Max). PENALTY STA Pass Interference on HUMPHREYS, John enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards to the STA9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+5
5.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 5 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+14
4.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 49 yds for a 1ST down , Cam Johnson returns for 14 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:365% → 5%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
5.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 2 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
5.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
5.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (Cole Clemens) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3296% → 97%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
3.8%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
3.8%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
3.7%
Tanner McKee sacked by Michael Owusu and Daevion Davis for 0 yards to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
3.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:395% → 5%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
4.8%
Ken Seals run for 11 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.1%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
4.9%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
4.9%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
4.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 5:0897% → 100%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
3.3%
E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+26
3.2%
Casey Filkins run for 11 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
3.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 12 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
3.0%
Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+20
3.0%
Casey Filkins run for 20 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
3.0%
Tanner McKee run for 3 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+18
3.0%
E.J. Smith run for 18 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:441% → 2%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
0.7%
Mike Wright run for 14 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
0.7%
Mike Wright run for 13 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
0.7%
James Ziglor III run for 2 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+9
0.8%
Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
0.8%
James Ziglor III run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+5
0.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 5 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.9%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
1.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Cam Johnson for 26 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:19
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q3 11:18
Tanner McKee pass complete to Jay Symonds for 5 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)
-10.7
FG · Q2 0:00
Joshua Karty 35 yd FG GOOD
-8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com