Try the model
UNM

New Mexico 0 at Texas A&M 34

TA&M
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Kyle Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameTD+2.7TA&M 97.7%Isaiah Spiller 5 Yd Run (Seth SmallKick)AWAY 0 - HOME 21 · Q2 6:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:14 · Isaiah Spiller 5 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+35.7Home team on offense+16.8Score differential+11.3Garbage-time factor+5.8Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:28: Demond Demas 70 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Seth Small Kick) — TA&M win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:14: Isaiah Spiller 5 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick) — TA&M win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:05: Zach Calzada pass incomplete — TA&M win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:05: Seth Small 35 Yd Field Goal — UNM win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 13:07: Seth Small 44 Yd Field Goal — TA&M win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:54UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:38UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:48UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49TA&M 4th & 24 at UNM 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:05UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:14TA&M 4th & 5 at UNM 5, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:09UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:05TA&M 4th & 1 at UNM 18, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:07TA&M 4th & 4 at UNM 26, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:07UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:32UNM 4th & 15 at TA&M 44, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:43UNM 4th & 18 at UNM 23, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:13TA&M 4th & 15 at UNM 49, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:38UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 25, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:59TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 38, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:27TA&M 4th & 10 at UNM 20, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:21UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 46, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:44TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:28TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:14TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:20TA&M Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:003% → 4%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
96.7%
Bobby Wooden run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 2 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+39
96.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 39 yds to the NMex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 1:0197% → 97%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
96.5%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 16 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
96.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
96.5%
Devon Achane 26 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:554% → 4%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.4%
Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.3%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
96.3%
Bobby Cole run for 8 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
96.2%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Mannie Logan-GreeneSimilar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
96.5%
Demond Demas 70 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Seth Small Kick)Similar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
96.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 8Similar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
96.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:244% → 4%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
96.4%
Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.3%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
96.3%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+2
96.3%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+4
96.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 4 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:0596% → 96%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
96.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+9
96.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 9 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond DemasSimilar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+9
96.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 9 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-5
96.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 61 yds, downed at the NMex 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:304% → 4%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+16
96.1%
Aaron Dumas run for 16 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.0%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
96.0%
Aaron Dumas run for 13 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.0%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
96.0%
Aaron Dumas run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 12
OWN 32
+34
95.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 34 yds to the TEXASAM 34 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NMex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3196% → 96%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.2%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+18
96.2%
Devon Achane run for 18 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
96.2%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 31
-9
96.1%
Zach Calzada sacked by Justin Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 24
OPP 40
0
96.0%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 24
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mannie Logan-Greene at the NMex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:274% → 5%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
95.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the NMex 9Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
95.7%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+11
95.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 11 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.5%
Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-7
95.4%
Terry Wilson sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 16Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
95.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
95.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:4796% → 98%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.9%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
95.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
96.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 12
50
0
95.8%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond DemasSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 12
50
+18
95.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 18 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
95.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 5 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
95.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+11
95.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 11 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
95.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive Holding (8 Yards) to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
95.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
95.1%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 7Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.7%
Isaiah Spiller 5 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:503% → 3%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
97.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 3 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
97.2%
Terry Wilson sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+1
97.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:0098% → 98%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
98.1%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 14 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
98.1%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 21 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.1%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
98.1%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 1 yd to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
98.2%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 3 yds to the NMex 18Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+35
98.1%
Seth Small 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:232% → 3%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.6%
Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
97.4%
Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:3698% → 100%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+30
98.2%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Demond Demas for 30 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.2%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
98.2%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+5
98.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
98.2%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
99.5%
Seth Small 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:271% → 0%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.0%
Luke Wysong run for 5 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
99.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 16 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
99.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Devin Price for 7 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.6%
Zach Calzada sacked by Joey Noble for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 15
OWN 44
-5
99.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 20
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Zach Calzada pass intercepted Tavian Combs return for no gain to the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Andrew EricksonSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 9
50
+11
99.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 11 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.7%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
99.7%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+4
99.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-7
99.7%
Terry Wilson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
99.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+6
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 13 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+46
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 46 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.8%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+3
99.8%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the NMex 13Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+6
99.8%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Moose Muhammad III 7 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
99.9%
Terry Wilson sacked by DeMarvin Leal for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 24Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 17
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Luke WysongSimilar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 17
OWN 24
-1
99.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Chad Alexander for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for no gain to the TexAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+14
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 14 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Mannie Logan-Greene run for 6 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Luke Wysong run for 4 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-3
99.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Chad Alexander for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Earnest Crownover run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-3
99.9%
Zach Calzada sacked by Jeston Webskowski for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 53 yds, downed at the NMex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
99.9%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted Edgerrin Cooper return for 4 yds to the NMex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
99.9%
Earnest Crownover run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 3 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond DemasSimilar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
99.9%
Caden Davis 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:380% → 0%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Mannie Logan-Greene run for 3 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Luke Wysong run for 6 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Luke Wysong run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-6
99.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
100.0%
Amari Daniels run for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:14
Isaiah Spiller 5 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)
+2.7
FG · Q3 13:07
Seth Small 44 Yd Field Goal
+1.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 4:05
Zach Calzada pass incomplete
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com