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TNTC

Tennessee Tech 0 at Tennessee 56

TENN
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadTNTC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreTNTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:09 · Drew Martin pass incomplete to Hunter Barnhart
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 183Pregame prior+0.3Home team on offense+28.7Score differential+11.9Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:47: Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:13: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 45 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:10: Devin Parker 41 yd FG MISSED — TNTC win probability +0.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:49: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TNTC win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:37: Solon Page III 31 Yd Interception Return (Chase McGrath Kick) — TNTC win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TNTC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 10 of 10TNTC made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 14:44TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:15TNTC 4th & 20 at TNTC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:25TNTC 4th & 2 at TNTC 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:06TENN 4th & 2 at TNTC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:40TNTC 4th & 8 at TNTC 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:13TENN 4th & 3 at TNTC 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:37TNTC 4th & 2 at TNTC 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:10TNTC 4th & 4 at TENN 24, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:18TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:08TNTC 4th & 3 at TNTC 27, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:08TNTC 4th & 3 at TNTC 27, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:05TENN 4th & 4 at TNTC 30, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:17TNTC 4th & 11 at TNTC 12, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:00TNTC 4th & 2 at TNTC 45, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:45TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:45TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:06TENN 4th & 7 at TNTC 38, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:31TNTC 4th & 24 at TENN 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:45TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:09TNTC 4th & 3 at TENN 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:50TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:47TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:13TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:1899% → 99%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 4 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
98.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 14:44
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
98.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 2 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 14:44
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+1
98.9%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta PaytonSimilar
Q1 14:44
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta PaytonSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Kolby Morgan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jyron Gilmore at the TnTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Willie Miller pass incomplete to Justin OdenSimilar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
98.7%
TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (Justin Oden) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-10
98.7%
Willie Miller sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the TnTch 20Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 20
OWN 20
+25
98.7%
Hayden Olsen punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TnTch 33 , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 25 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:2599% → 99%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 4 yds to the TnTch 29Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+29
98.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 29 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:191% → 2%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
98.7%
David Gist run for 2 yds to the TnTch 17Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
98.7%
Willie Miller run for 4 yds to the TnTch 21Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+2
98.7%
David Gist run for 2 yds to the TnTch 23Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Hayden Olsen punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:1999% → 98%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
98.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Walker Merrill for 11 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Walker Merrill for 7 yds to the TnTch 48Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+1
98.5%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the TnTch 47Similar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 6INT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:562% → 2%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
98.3%
Metrius Fleming sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TnTch 40Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
98.4%
Willie Miller pass incomplete to Quinton CrossSimilar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 17
OWN 40
-5
98.4%
PENALTY TTU Delay Of Game (Miller,Willie) 5 yards from TTU40 to TTU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 22
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Willie Miller pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:2398% → 99%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TnTch 36Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 19
OPP 46
+15
98.3%
TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TnTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
98.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the TnTch 23Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-10
98.4%
Hooker,Hendon pass complete to Payton,JaVonta for 7 yards to the TTU29 (Carlisle,Seth), out of bounds PENALTY TEN Holding (Wright,Darnell) 10 yards from TTU36 to TTU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+22
98.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 22 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 5:072% → 2%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Willie Miller run for 4 yds to the TnTch 29Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.4%
Willie Miller pass complete to Justin Oden for 5 yds to the TnTch 34Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.4%
Willie Miller run for 2 yds to the TnTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
98.4%
PENALTY TTU False Start (Miller,Willie) 5 yards from TTU36 to TTU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+13
98.4%
Willie Miller pass complete to Quinton Cross for 13 yds to the TnTch 44Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
98.4%
Willie Miller run for 2 yds to the TnTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
98.4%
David Gist run for 2 yds to the TnTch 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
98.0%
Willie Miller pass incomplete to Justin OdenSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
98.1%
Willie Miller pass incomplete to Quinton CrossSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
98.1%
Hayden Olsen punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
11 plays · 96 yds · 2:2798% → 99%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
98.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+15
98.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 15 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
98.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 7 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+5
98.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 5 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to JaVonta PaytonSimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
98.0%
Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete to Hyatt,Jalin PENALTY TTU Pass Interference (Boyd,Jamaal) 15 yards from TEN33 to TEN48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the TnTch 47Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jaylen WrightSimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+2
98.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the TnTch 45Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+45
98.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 45 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.7%
Willie Miller run for 6 yds to the TnTch 31Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.7%
Willie Miller run for 2 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Willie Miller pass incomplete to Justin OdenSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.7%
Hayden Olsen punt for 35 yds , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:3899% → 99%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
98.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 14 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
99.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 18 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 12FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:492% → 2%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.5%
David Gist pass incomplete to Justin OdenSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.6%
Willie Miller pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+6
98.6%
Willie Miller run for 6 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
97.9%
Devin Parker 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:5298% → 98%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
98.2%
Tiyon Evans run for 15 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+3
98.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tiyon Evans for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
97.8%
Kolby Morgan punt for 55 yds , Jyron Gilmore returns for no gain to the TnTch 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:102% → 2%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
98.0%
Willie Miller run for 1 yd to the TnTch 7Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+13
98.0%
Willie Miller run for 13 yds to the TnTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.9%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Quinton Cross for 3 yds to the TnTch 17Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+2
98.0%
David Gist run for 2 yds to the TnTch 19Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+8
98.0%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Metrius Fleming for 8 yds to the TnTch 27Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Hayden Olsen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Hayden Olsen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Velus Jones Jr. at the TnTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:1998% → 98%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the TnTch 44Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+8
98.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the TnTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
98.3%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the TnTch 33Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
98.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the TnTch 30Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the TnTch 30Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+10
98.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 10 yds to the TnTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 7 yds to the TnTch 13Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+7
98.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the TnTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the TnTch 1Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
97.6%
David Gist run for 4 yds to the TnTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 17INT
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:562% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Justin OdenSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.8%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Quinton Cross for 12 yds to the TnTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.7%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Justin Oden for 4 yds to the TnTch 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
97.6%
David Gist run for 3 yds to the TnTch 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
97.6%
Davis Shanley run for no gain to the TnTch 44Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+15
97.6%
Olsen,Hayden punt 24 yards to the TEN32, out of bounds PENALTY TEN Roughing The Kicker (Holiday,Jimmy) 15 yards from TTU44 to TEN41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Metrius Fleming pass incomplete to Davis ShanleySimilar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
97.4%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Quinton CrossSimilar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+12
97.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Quinton Cross for 12 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.1%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Quinton CrossSimilar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
97.1%
Davis Shanley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1798% → 98%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the TnTch 48Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+22
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 22 yds to the TnTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the TnTch 20Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+3
98.4%
Tiyon Evans run for 3 yds to the TnTch 17Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+16
98.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Walker Merrill for 16 yds to the TnTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
Tiyon Evans run for no gain to the TnTch 1Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-31
97.6%
Solon Page III 31 Yd Interception Return (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
98.1%
PENALTY TTU Block Below Waist (Shanley,Davis) 15 yards from TEN35 to TEN50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:202% → 2%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.6%
David Gist run for no gain to the TnTch 13Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
97.6%
Drew Martin run for 2 yds to the TnTch 11Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+1
97.6%
Drew Martin pass complete to David Gist for 1 yd to the TnTch 12Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+6
97.6%
Hayden Olsen punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TnTch 39 , Velus Jones Jr. returns for 6 yds to the TnTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3998% → 98%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
98.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 10 yds to the TnTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
98.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the TnTch 21Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
98.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TnTch 20Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+6
98.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the TnTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
98.1%
Hooker,Hendon pass incomplete to Keyton,Ramel QB hurried by Raines,Aidan PENALTY TTU Pass Interference (Washington,Nyquan) 12 yards from TTU14 to TTU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.1%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd to the TnTch 1Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Tiyon Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:383% → 3%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.5%
Drew Martin pass complete to David Gist for 12 yds to the TnTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
97.3%
Drew Martin pass complete to Justin Oden for 6 yds to the TnTch 43Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
97.3%
Jordan Brown run for 2 yds to the TnTch 45Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Jordan Brown run for no gain to the TnTch 45Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Hayden Olsen punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevon Flowers at the Tenn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:1598% → 98%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
97.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 5 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
97.9%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+5
97.9%
Bailey,Harrison pass incomplete to Keyton,Ramel PENALTY TTU Offside (Tucker,Chris) 5 yards from TEN17 to TEN22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
97.9%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 2 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Jimmy HolidaySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
97.9%
Kolby Morgan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jyron Gilmore at the TnTch 39Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
97.9%
Kolby Morgan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jyron Gilmore at the TnTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 24INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:393% → 2%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
97.4%
Drew Martin run for 1 yd to the TnTch 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+4
97.5%
Drew Martin pass complete to David Gist for 4 yds to the TnTch 42Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+8
97.5%
Drew Martin run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
50
+5
97.4%
Jordan Brown run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
97.3%
Drew Martin pass complete to Heath Price for 2 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
97.7%
Drew Martin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25TD
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:3199% → 99%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.6%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Andison Coby for 5 yds to the TnTch 47Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
98.6%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Walker Merrill for 6 yds to the TnTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.6%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 5 yds to the TnTch 36Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
98.6%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-2
98.5%
Harrison Bailey sacked by K.J. Phillips for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 38Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+8
98.4%
Harrison Bailey run for 8 yds to the TnTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.6%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 3 yds to the TnTch 27Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+1
98.6%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 1 yd to the TnTch 26Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+7
98.5%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 7 yds to the TnTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
98.6%
Marcus Pierce Jr. run for 7 yds to the TnTch 12Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+10
98.8%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 10 yds to the TnTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Harrison Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD, (JT Carver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:042% → 1%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.1%
Drew Martin pass complete to Jordan Brown for 13 yds to the TnTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
97.9%
Drew Martin sacked by Doneiko Slaughter for a loss of 8 yards to the TnTch 30Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Drew Martin run for no gain to the TnTch 30Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+39
98.2%
Drew Martin pass complete to Quinton Cross for 39 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
97.6%
Drew Martin sacked by Morven Joseph for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+2
97.9%
Drew Martin pass complete to Jordan Brown for 2 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+11
98.1%
Drew Martin pass complete to Jordan Brown for 11 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 4
OPP 25
-15
97.9%
PENALTY TTU Personal Foul (Dean,Jalal) 15 yards from TEN25 to TEN40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 19
OPP 40
-5
98.1%
PENALTY TTU Delay Of Game (Martin,Drew) 5 yards from TEN40 to TEN45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 24
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Hayden Olsen punt for 34 yds , Walker Merrill returns for no gain to the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4699% → 99%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.0%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 4 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
99.0%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for no gain to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
99.0%
Harrison Bailey run for no gain to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
99.1%
Kolby Morgan punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.3%
Drew Martin pass incomplete to Quinton CrossSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
98.3%
Drew Martin pass complete to Ashton Maples for 7 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
98.1%
Drew Martin pass incomplete to Jalal DeanSimilar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Drew Martin pass incomplete to Hunter BarnhartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.3%
Len'Neth Whitehead run for 7 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:13
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 45 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+0.7
FG · Q2 9:10
Devin Parker 41 yd FG MISSED
-0.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com