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SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 28 at Missouri 59

MIZ
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:33 · Grant McKinniss punt for 56 yds , Garrett Todd returns for 8 yds to the SEMo 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+15.6Home team on offense+33.4Score differential+28.6Blowout margin+15.2Garbage-time factor+12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:16: Tyler Badie run for 49 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — SEMO win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:50: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 11 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:10: Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 46 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 12:41: Harrison Mevis 43 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:13: Tyler Badie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SEMO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:15SEMO 4th & 4 at SEMO 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:50SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:24SEMO 4th & 12 at SEMO 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:41MIZ 4th & 10 at SEMO 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:31SEMO 4th & 7 at SEMO 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:00SEMO 4th & 6 at SEMO 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28MIZ 4th & 2 at SEMO 5, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MIZ 4th & 1 at SEMO 21, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:33MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 35, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SEMO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 12:16MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:50MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:10MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:32MIZ Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13MIZ Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:55MIZ Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:54SEMO Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:45MIZ Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:14SEMO Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:00SEMO Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:00MIZ Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:42SEMO Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:4098% → 97%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.6%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
97.6%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+7
97.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 7 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.6%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
97.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the SEMo 49Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+49
97.4%
Tyler Badie run for 49 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:013% → 3%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Will Weidemann for 4 yds to the SEMo 29Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
97.4%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
97.4%
CJ Ogbonna run for 5 yds to the SEMo 31Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.2%
Zach Haynes punt for 47 yds, downed at the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:2597% → 97%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+32
97.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 32 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
97.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 7 yds to the SEMo 39Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
97.2%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the SEMo 38Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
97.2%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the SEMo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
97.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 17 yds to the SEMo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
97.2%
Mookie Cooper run for 6 yds to the SEMo 11Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
97.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 11 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:003% → 3%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.2%
Geno Hess run for 8 yds to the SEMo 33Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
97.1%
CJ Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the SEMo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.1%
CJ Ogbonna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.1%
CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the SEMo 39Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
97.1%
CJ Ogbonna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Zach Haynes punt for 37 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for no gain to the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:4097% → 98%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
97.2%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
97.2%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+9
97.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 9 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
97.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 46 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:462% → 2%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.7%
CJ Ogbonna run for 14 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
97.7%
OGBONNA, CJ scrambles to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the SEM41 (HANSFORD, Jatorian). PENALTY SEM Holding on RODGERS, Shyron enforced 10 yards from the SEM39 to the SEM29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+3
97.7%
Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 17
OWN 32
0
97.7%
CJ Ogbonna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+5
97.8%
Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the SEMo 37Similar
Q1 0:24
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Zach Haynes punt for 62 yds, downed at the Misso 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:1998% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+46
97.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 46 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 17 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the SEMo 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+3
97.8%
BJ Harris run for 3 yds to the SEMo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
98.1%
Harrison Mevis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:102% → 2%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Wesley Roberts for 9 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
97.9%
Geno Hess run for 6 yds to the SEMo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.9%
Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Geno Hess run for no gain to the SEMo 43Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
97.9%
CJ Ogbonna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Zach Haynes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 1:5998% → 98%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
98.2%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+4
98.2%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
98.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+10
98.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 10 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+52
98.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 52 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:321% → 1%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 5 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
CJ Ogbonna sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for 0 yards to the SEMo 27Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the SEMo 29Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Zach Haynes punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
19 plays · 74 yds · 5:4799% → 100%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Elijah Young for 1 yd to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-10
99.2%
BAZELAK, Connor pass to the left complete for 2 yards to LUPER, Chance to the MIZ29 (JOHNSON, Lawrence). PENALTY MIZ Holding on DOVE, Tauskie enforced 10 yards from the MIZ27 to the MIZ17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 19
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 19
OWN 17
+24
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 24 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.2%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+6
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 6 yds to the SEMo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on SWINSON, Messiah enforced (-5 Yards) to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 15
50
+2
99.2%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the SEMo 48Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+14
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to JJ Hester for 14 yds to the SEMo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.2%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+19
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 19 yds to the SEMo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
99.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 8 yds to the SEMo 5Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+4
99.4%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the SEMo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 13INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 15:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.6%
Geno Hess run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
99.6%
CJ Ogbonna run for 16 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
99.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 16 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
CJ Ogbonna pass intercepted return for no gain to the SEMo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 8:05100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 24
OWN 43
+9
99.7%
Elijah Young run for 9 yds to the SEMo 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+8
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Chance Luper for 8 yds to the SEMo 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+10
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 10 yds to the SEMo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.7%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
99.7%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the SEMo 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Dawson Downing run for no gain to the SEMo 21Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
99.7%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the SEMo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.7%
Dominic Lovett run for 8 yds to the SEMo 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+4
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 4 yds to the SEMo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the SEMo 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.7%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the SEMo 3Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 19 yds to the SEMo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Geno Hess for 5 yds to the SEMo 49Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
CJ Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+9
99.8%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Will Weidemann for 9 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-15
99.8%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+16
99.8%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Terrell Jester for 16 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
CJ Ogbonna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
CJ Ogbonna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Geno Hess 4 Yd Run (Kenny Doak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
BJ Harris run for 1 yd to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
BJ Harris run for 6 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+65
99.9%
Tyler Macon pass complete to JJ Hester for 65 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 17TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:230% → 0%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 5 yds to the SEMo 18Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Johnny King for 4 yds to the SEMo 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the SEMo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
100.0%
OGBONNA, CJ pass intercepted by GREEN IV, Allie at the SEM46 intended for KING, Johnny. Green IV return for 0 yards to the SEM46, End of Play. PENALTY MIZ Face mask on HANSFORD, Jatorian enforced 15 yards from the SEM26 to the SEM41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
99.9%
CJ Ogbonna run for 24 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
99.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for 17 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for 18 yds for a TD, (Kenny Doak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 1 yd to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Tyler Macon pass complete to Micah Wilson for 5 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Tyler Macon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 56 yds , Garrett Todd returns for 8 yds to the SEMo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 19TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 6:330% → 0%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
99.9%
Jalyn Williams run for 18 yds to the SEMo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for 6 yds to the SEMo 41Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for no gain to the SEMo 41Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for 6 yds to the SEMo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 46Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Jalyn Williams run for 7 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
CJ Ogbonna pass complete to Jake Holten for 6 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
99.9%
Geno Hess run for 13 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+26
99.9%
Jalyn Williams pass complete to Geno Hess for 26 yds to the Misso 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
run for no gain to the Misso 2Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kenny Doak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 6 yds to the SEMo 44Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-10
100.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (JJ Hester) to the Misso 44Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 14
OWN 46
-1
100.0%
Tyler Macon pass complete to Barrett Banister for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+55
100.0%
Michael Cox run for 55 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 21TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
100.0%
Q'Nairies Anderson run for 75 yds for a TD (Kenny Doak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 7 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
BJ Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
BJ Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:10
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 46 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+0.5
FG · Q2 12:41
Harrison Mevis 43 yd FG GOOD
+0.3
TD · Q1 12:16
Tyler Badie run for 49 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
-0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com