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TULN

Tulane 21 at Ole Miss 61

MISS
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:47 · Ryan Wright punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Braylon Sanders at the Miss 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior+15.0Home team on offense+30.9Score differential+24.7Blowout margin+12.9Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Matt Corral run for 15 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MISS win probability +3.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:30: Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 12 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK) — MISS win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:21: Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +3.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:12: Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 50 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK) — MISS win probability +5.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:42: Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 22 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +7.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:55MISS 4th & 1 at TULN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:57TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07MISS 4th & 3 at TULN 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−0.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:56TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45MISS 4th & 4 at TULN 20, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:57TULN 4th & 6 at MISS 49, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:47TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:15TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 33, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:54MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 26, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:12MISS 4th & 16 at midfield, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 14, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:24MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 42, up 40
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:51TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 23, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:45MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 27, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:56TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 41, down 40
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:30MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 45, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:27MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:41MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:40TULN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:00MISS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:30MISS Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:21TULN Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 7:12MISS Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 2:26MISS Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:42TULN Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 11:35MISS Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 10:59MISS Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 7:56MISS Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1384% → 84%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.1%
Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
84.1%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Dontario DrummondSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
84.0%
Jerrion Ealy run for 6 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
83.9%
Ealy, Jerrion rush for 4 yards to the OLEMISS44, PENALTY TULANE offside 5 yards to the OLEMISS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+1
83.9%
Jerrion Ealy run for 1 yd to the Miss 46Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
83.8%
Jerrion Ealy run for 5 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
83.8%
Jerrion Ealy run for 9 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 1
OPP 40
-2
83.7%
Jerrion Ealy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
83.6%
Matt Corral run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+4
83.4%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
83.5%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 17 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
84.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1816% → 16%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
83.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
83.8%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
83.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Braylon Sanders at the Miss 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 2:5984% → 86%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
83.9%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
83.9%
Matt Corral run for 5 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
83.9%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+14
83.8%
Matt Corral pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 14 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
84.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
84.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+17
84.0%
Jerrion Ealy run for 17 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
84.1%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jonathan MingoSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
84.1%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 11 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
84.1%
Dontario Drummond run for 5 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
84.1%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Dontario DrummondSimilar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
86.0%
Matt Corral run for 9 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4715% → 15%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.0%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
85.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
85.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Braylon Sanders at the Miss 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:1086% → 86%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
86.0%
Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+8
86.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 8 yds to the Miss 33 Henry Parrish Jr. fumbled, forced by Nick Anderson, recovered by Tulan Dorian Williams , return for 1 yd to the Miss 33 Dorian Williams fumbled, recovered by Tulan Rudy DysonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:2016% → 19%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
84.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 17 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
84.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 1 yd to the Miss 15Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+10
84.3%
Devin Brumfield run for 10 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
84.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:2283% → 87%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
83.0%
Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 18 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
83.5%
Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-2
83.4%
Jerrion Ealy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 49Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+6
82.7%
Matt Corral run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+5
82.6%
Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 5 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.2%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Braylon SandersSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+26
83.1%
Matt Corral pass complete to Snoop Conner for 13 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (Dorian Williams) to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
83.2%
Snoop Conner run for 5 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-2
83.2%
Snoop Conner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-5
82.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Orlando Umana) to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+15
86.6%
Matt Corral run for 15 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:2816% → 16%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
84.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
84.6%
Cameron Carroll run for no gain to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+18
84.9%
Michael Pratt run for 18 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
84.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 40 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
83.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-5
83.1%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Corey Dublin) to the Miss 10Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
83.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Cameron CarrollSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 0
OPP 10
+27
84.3%
Merek Glover 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:2486% → 91%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
86.4%
Corral, Matt pass incomplete to Sanders, Braylon, PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Kerr, Ajani) 15 yards to the OLEMISS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.Similar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
86.5%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
86.9%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 13 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
87.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 8 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-8
87.6%
Matt Corral sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-5
87.2%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Orlando Umana) to the Miss 47Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+36
86.9%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 36 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
87.6%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jonathan MingoSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
87.7%
Matt Corral run for 5 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
90.9%
Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 12 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:5310% → 15%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
89.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
89.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 11 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
89.6%
Michael Pratt run for 9 yds to the Miss 46Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
88.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
88.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+39
85.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
50
+50
91.3%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 50 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4910% → 10%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
89.8%
Ygenio Booker run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-2
90.0%
Michael Pratt sacked by Chance Campbell for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
90.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Devin BrumfieldSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
90.5%
Ryan Wright punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:1492% → 97%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
91.7%
Jerrion Ealy run for 20 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
91.7%
Corral, Matt pass incomplete to Sanders, Braylon, PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Monroe, Jaylon) 15 yards to the TULANE26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
91.7%
Jerrion Ealy run for 5 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
91.8%
Matt Corral pass complete to Chase Rogers for 1 yd to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-1
91.6%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 9 yds to the Tulan 11 OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dontario Drummond) to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+1
91.6%
Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+5
91.5%
Snoop Conner run for 5 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
92.1%
Matt Corral pass complete to Chase Rogers for 3 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-5
92.1%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Orlando Umana) to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+6
93.4%
Matt Corral run for 6 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
96.5%
Dontario Drummond run for 11 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:182% → 10%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
97.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 7 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (Mark Robinson) to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.4%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+12
97.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 12 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
97.3%
Michael Pratt sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 40Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+18
97.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 18 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
89.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 22 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:3795% → 96%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jonathan MingoSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
Parrish Jr., Henry rush for 5 yards to the OLEMISS30, PENALTY OLEMISS illegal shift 5 yards to the OLEMISS20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+23
94.8%
Jerrion Ealy run for 23 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
95.1%
Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 1 yd to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
94.8%
Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 4 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+16
94.7%
Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 16 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+54
95.7%
Caden Costa 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:439% → 8%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
91.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-10
91.2%
Pratt, Michael rush for 7 yards to the OLEMISS44, PENALTY TULANE holding (Dublin, Corey) 10 yards to the TULANE39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+6
92.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 6 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+6
92.2%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
92.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat Watts TULANE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyrick James) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:1095% → 98%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
95.2%
Matt Corral run for 8 yds to the OLEMISS 43 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Lance Robinson) to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
95.3%
Jerrion Ealy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+12
95.4%
Jerrion Ealy run for 12 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+9
95.3%
Jerrion Ealy run for 9 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.4%
Matt Corral run for 15 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:0899% → 99%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
98.5%
Matt Corral pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 25 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.3%
Matt Corral run for 12 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 5 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.3%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Will Wallace) to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Braylon Sanders at the Miss 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3999% → 100%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.4%
Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 17 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.5%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the Miss 49Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
99.5%
Matt Corral run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.6%
Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 45 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 11 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.6%
Jaetavian Toles run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+1
99.7%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 50 yds, fair catch by John Rhys Plumlee at the Miss 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.6%
Matt Corral pass complete to Snoop Conner for 6 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Dontario DrummondSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+3
99.7%
Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 3 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+4
99.7%
Snoop Conner run for 4 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.7%
Corral, Matt pass complete to Mingo, Jonathan for 14 yards to the OLEMISS44, PENALTY OLEMISS ineligible downfield on pass (Broeker, Nick) 5 yards to the OLEMISS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Corral, Matt pass incomplete to Sanders, Braylon, PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Kerr, Ajani) 15 yards to the OLEMISS40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.7%
Snoop Conner run for 16 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-13
99.7%
Matt Corral sacked by JoJo Dorceus for a loss of 13 yards to the OLEMISS 43 OLE MISS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Matt Corral) to the Miss 43Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 23
OWN 43
+7
99.7%
Snoop Conner run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 16
50
0
99.7%
Matt Corral pass incomplete to Snoop Conner OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 16
50
0
99.7%
Mac Brown punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
99.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-10
99.8%
Pratt, Michael rush for 15 yards to the TULANE39, PENALTY TULANE holding (Haynesworth, Sincere) 10 yards to the TULANE14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 50 yds, fair catch by John Rhys Plumlee at the Miss 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
99.8%
Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to John Rhys PlumleeSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Mac Brown punt for 56 yds, downed at the Tulan 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+13
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 13 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 4 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 55 yds, fair catch by John Rhys Plumlee at the Miss 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
99.9%
John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 20Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Jahcour Pearson run for 7 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Mac Brown punt for 55 yds , Bryce Bohanon returns for 4 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 9 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 3 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for 6 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Devin Brumfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 36 yds, downed at the Miss 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 28Uncategorized
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:25100% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 13 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Qua DavisSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the Miss 45Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+26
100.0%
Kinkead Dent run for 26 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
100.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+14
100.0%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 14 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
100.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
100.0%
Bobo Miller run for 2 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Bobo Miller run for 2 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:42
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 22 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 7:12
Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 50 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 7:21
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 39 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com