Try the model
TA&M

Texas A&M 10 at Colorado 7

COLO
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:13: Timeout TEXAS A&M, clock 04:13 — COLO win probability +7.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:45: TEXAS A&M Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down — COLO win probability +9.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:41: Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 18 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +58.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:37: Brendon Lewis pass incomplete — COLO win probability +9.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:23: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 35 — TA&M win probability +14.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:30TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14TA&M 4th & 2 at COLO 35, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:07TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:21TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:37COLO 4th & 15 at TA&M 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:11TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59COLO 4th & 1 at TA&M 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−2.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−7.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:54TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:50COLO 4th & 3 at TA&M 43, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:25TA&M 4th & 3 at COLO 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−1.2
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:07COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:34TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:09COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−2.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:42TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:57COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:02TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:47COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 36, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−1.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:50COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:40COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:24COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 2:41TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−2.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2589% → 88%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
11.2%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
11.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
11.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:4112% → 12%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
11.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 15 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
11.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
12.0%
Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Jayden Peevy return for no gain to the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5888% → 87%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
11.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+8
12.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 8 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
12.3%
Haynes King run for 2 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+53
12.9%
Seth Small 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5813% → 14%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
13.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 6 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
13.6%
Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
13.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+13
13.5%
Josh Watts punt for 45 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 13 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4887% → 85%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
13.5%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-5
13.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+7
14.2%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
14.4%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
14.7%
Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:3415% → 21%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
14.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
14.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 3 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
15.1%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
15.8%
Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+30
16.5%
Brendon Lewis run for 30 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
17.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 4 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+12
17.5%
Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
18.1%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 8Similar
Q1 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
18.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the TexAM 2Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:5280% → 78%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
20.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
20.7%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
22.1%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
22.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 65 yds, downed at the Colo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:3422% → 26%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
21.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Montana Lemonious-CraigSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
21.9%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 17Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+13
22.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 13 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
22.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 19 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
23.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+5
24.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 5 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
24.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
25.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 17 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
26.6%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 14
OPP 27
-1
26.9%
Dimitri Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
26.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+46
26.0%
Cole Becker 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0073% → 71%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
27.4%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
27.2%
Zach Calzada run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
27.7%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 6
OWN 32
-5
28.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
28.7%
Nik Constantinou punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:0829% → 37%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
28.6%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
28.7%
Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+8
29.2%
Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
30.9%
Jarek Broussard run for 13 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
32.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
33.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 1 yd to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+15
33.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
35.6%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+10
36.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 10 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
36.6%
Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+1
37.2%
Ashaad Clayton run for 1 yd to the TexAM 5Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
37.2%
Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the TexAM 5Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
36.6%
Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the TexAM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5863% → 60%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
37.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+2
38.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 7
0
39.2%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 8
OWN 7
+13
39.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 56 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4340% → 40%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
50
-4
40.0%
Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+2
39.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+9
39.3%
Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
39.9%
Josh Watts punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 1:1860% → 66%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
40.3%
Devon Achane run for 15 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
40.2%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
50
+4
37.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
37.1%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+16
37.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 16 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
36.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
36.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 7 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
37.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+41
34.5%
Seth Small 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
36.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4835% → 33%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.5%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
35.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
33.6%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
33.2%
Josh Watts punt for 55 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 8 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2165% → 63%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
34.8%
Ainias Smith run for 3 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
34.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
35.7%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+5
37.3%
Nik Constantinou punt for 50 yds , Nikko Reed returns for 5 yds to the Colo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5137% → 40%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
37.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chase Penry for 2 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
37.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-12
36.4%
Lewis, Brendon pass complete to Fontenot, Alex for 10 yards to the COLORADO35, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference 12 yards to the COLORADO13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 19
OWN 13
+7
39.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 7 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+8
40.0%
Josh Watts punt for 55 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 8 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1660% → 58%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
40.3%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 8 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
38.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
39.5%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
42.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3645% → 44%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.5%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Daniel AriasSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
44.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+4
44.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 4 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+8
44.1%
Josh Watts punt for 54 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 8 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 4:4356% → 45%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
44.5%
Zach Calzada run for no gain to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
45.8%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+12
47.4%
Zach Calzada run for 12 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
44.3%
Zach Calzada run for 3 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-8
43.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 2 yds to the TexAM 46 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+14
51.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 1
50
+2
47.6%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
48.0%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-3
48.6%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 13
OWN 49
0
52.8%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
54.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:5855% → 56%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
54.7%
Ashaad Clayton run for 4 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+12
55.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
56.5%
Ashaad Clayton run for 3 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
56.7%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+5
55.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 5 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+5
56.4%
Josh Watts punt for 46 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 5 yds to the TexAM 41 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FUMBLE
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:3843% → 43%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
56.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
57.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
58.2%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.3%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
58.8%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
61.7%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 12 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
57.2%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Isaiah SpillerSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
58.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 7 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
56.7%
Zach Calzada run for 4 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
56.2%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 29 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
53.1%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
54.5%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 7 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+12
56.9%
Zach Calzada run for 12 yds Zach Calzada fumbled, recovered by Colo Mekhi BlackmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:5566% → 69%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
66.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
67.2%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
70.6%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
71.0%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+8
68.9%
Josh Watts punt for 45 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 8 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:0435% → 83%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
65.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
66.1%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 12 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
64.2%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 25 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
60.1%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
60.4%
Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
64.8%
Zach Calzada sacked by Na'im Rodman for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+4
68.8%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+8
71.5%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 8 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
71.3%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
73.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-5
75.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 18Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
17.4%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 18 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5732% → 23%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
31.2%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
28.5%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Andre White Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 22Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+11
22.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 11 yds to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:0392% → 95%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
8.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-2
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 14
OPP 37
-2
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:41
Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 18 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
-58.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:23
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 35
-14.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:37
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com