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South Carolina 20 at East Carolina 17

ECU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:06 · Kai Kroeger punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense+9.3Pregame prior−3.5Score differential+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Garbage-time factor+0.8Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:00: Holton Ahlers pass intercepted for a TD Damani Staley return for 63 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +11.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:46: Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 13 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +23.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:46: Owen Daffer 26 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +13.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:46: Parker White 39 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +11.6 pts (now 52%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Parker White 36 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +36.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:30ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46SC 4th & 18 at SC 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50ECU 4th & 21 at ECU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43SC 4th & 16 at SC 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:31ECU 4th & 4 at SC 26, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:14SC 4th & 15 at SC 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:06SC 4th & 2 at SC 20, down 14
    Close callPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:57SC 4th & 14 at SC 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:04ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:49SC 4th & 9 at SC 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:23ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:54SC 4th & 10 at SC 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:03ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:21SC 4th & 6 at ECU 41, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−1.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:00ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:51ECU 4th & 14 at SC 26, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.7 ptsWent for it · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.6%−5.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−16.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:46ECU 4th & 6 at SC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−21.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:46SC 4th & 9 at ECU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−4.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−14.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:54ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:49ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:53ECU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:00SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:46SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
44.3%
Tyler Snead pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 75 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2855% → 54%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
44.6%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 8 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
44.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
45.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
45.3%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
45.6%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+26
46.0%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 26 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
45.8%
Zeb Noland pass intercepted Warren Saba return for no gain to the ECaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1346% → 47%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
46.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 29Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+4
46.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 4 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
47.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
47.1%
Jonn Young punt for 55 yds, downed at the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:2253% → 51%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
47.4%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+10
47.9%
Josh Vann run for 10 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.1%
Ahmarean Brown run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
48.5%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
49.1%
Zeb Noland sacked by Jeremy Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
49.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds, downed at the ECaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4550% → 50%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
50.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 15 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
50.6%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
50.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-11
50.9%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 11 yards to the ECaro 46Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 21
OWN 46
0
50.1%
Jonn Young punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4750% → 49%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
50.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
50.6%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-8
51.0%
Zeb Noland sacked by Jeremy Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 14 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Zeb Noland) to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+8
51.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 8 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5953% → 53%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
52.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 15 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
53.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
53.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-1
53.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
52.9%
Owen Daffer 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:0947% → 49%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+48
52.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 48 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+25
50.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 25 yds Josh Vann fumbled, forced by Nolan Johnson, recovered by ECaroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:1454% → 54%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
53.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
54.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
54.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
55.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 3 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-3
55.0%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Holton Ahlers) to the ECaro 33Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
54.0%
Jonn Young punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1245% → 44%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
54.9%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 2 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-1
55.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+16
56.4%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 10 yds Dakereon Joyner fumbled, forced by Jeremy Lewis, recovered by ECaro D.J. Ford , return for 16 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:3058% → 65%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
58.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 10 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.4%
Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3437% → 35%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.5%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-11
64.1%
Zeb Noland run for a loss of 11 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
65.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5466% → 67%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
66.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+20
67.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cam Smith) to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
67.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+4
68.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-10
67.1%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 46 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Holton Ahlers) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
66.6%
Jonn Young punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2633% → 31%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
67.5%
Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-1
68.1%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+6
69.1%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Nick Muse for 6 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
69.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:5670% → 70%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
70.3%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+7
70.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-14
70.0%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Darius Rush return for no gain to the SCaro 47 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (14 Yards) to the SCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1830% → 28%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
70.1%
Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-5
69.3%
Kevin Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-7
71.6%
Zeb Noland sacked by Bruce Bivens for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 14
OWN 24
-2
72.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 52 yds , Tyler Snead returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17INT TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:2073% → 65%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
73.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
74.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 5 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+34
73.7%
Holton Ahlers run for 34 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
75.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
75.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Keaton MitchellSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-63
64.6%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted for a TD Damani Staley return for 63 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:4663% → 63%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
63.6%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
63.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
62.9%
Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, downed at the SCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
65.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3137% → 34%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
63.1%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
62.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
62.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
62.5%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
63.7%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
65.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2265% → 63%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Ryan JonesSimilar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Audie OmotoshoSimilar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
62.8%
Jonn Young punt for 43 yds, downed at the SCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0636% → 33%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
64.0%
Juju McDowell run for 16 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
62.4%
Juju McDowell run for 6 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-1
61.6%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-6
62.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Dylan Wonnum) to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
65.1%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
67.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4569% → 67%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
69.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
69.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
68.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
67.4%
Jonn Young punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:0934% → 32%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
66.5%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 14 yds to the SCaro 42 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 6
OWN 32
+13
65.4%
Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
65.0%
Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
64.0%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-2
64.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 43Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+2
65.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
67.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0073% → 74%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
72.7%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+3
73.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+6
72.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 6 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
74.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
74.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Walter StriblingSimilar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
74.2%
Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 0:4428% → 56%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+45
72.4%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 45 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
66.7%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
66.8%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+15
69.0%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ja'Quan McMillian) to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
66.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Kevin Harris) to the ECaro 13Similar
Q3 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
67.5%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
44.3%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 13 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 6:3954% → 71%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
57.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 16 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
59.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
60.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
60.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+15
60.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 15 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
61.8%
Keaton Mitchell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-1
62.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-8
60.3%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Brad Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 14
OPP 26
+14
55.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 14 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
64.9%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 13 Holton Ahlers fumbled, recovered by ECaro Holton AhlersSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
65.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+5
63.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
71.3%
Owen Daffer 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3442% → 52%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
58.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 11 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
57.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the ECaro 22 MarShawn Lloyd fumbled, forced by Jeremy Lewis, recovered by SCaro Nick MuseSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
58.7%
Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+1
59.7%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 21Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
48.1%
Parker White 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0956% → 52%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
56.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
56.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 1 yd to the ECaro 26Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+1
54.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 1 yd to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
52.3%
Jonn Young punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:2551% → 95%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
48.8%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 2 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+8
49.1%
Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
46.5%
Juju McDowell run for 15 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
43.3%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 6 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+5
41.1%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
41.4%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+16
39.5%
Juju McDowell run for 16 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
38.4%
Juju McDowell run for no gain to the ECaro 19Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
38.1%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 18Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+36
4.8%
Parker White 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Parker White 36 yd FG GOOD
-36.2
TD · Q3 0:46
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 13 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
-23.2
FG · Q4 8:46
Owen Daffer 26 yd FG GOOD
+13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com