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MCN

McNeese 7 at LSU 34

LSU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:22 · Callum Eddings punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+35.6Score differential+32.2Garbage-time factor+10.4Blowout margin+17.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:16: Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 19 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — MCN win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q2 10:56: Avery Atkins punt for 41 yds MCNEESE ST Penalty, Running Into the kicker on SAMUEL, Tahj ( Yards) declined — MCN win probability +0.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:58: Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 3 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:47: Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 6 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:55: Cade York 56 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12MCN made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 13:49MCN 4th & 4 at MCN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:49LSU 4th & 5 at MCN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:16LSU 4th & 2 at MCN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:42MCN 4th & 22 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:20LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00MCN 4th & 8 at LSU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:46LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:07MCN 4th & 8 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:56LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:35MCN 4th & 8 at MCN 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:41LSU 4th & 14 at MCN 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:37MCN 4th & 9 at MCN 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:10LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:36LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:55MCN 4th & 24 at LSU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:58LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 48, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:38MCN 4th & 21 at MCN 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:52MCN 4th & 16 at MCN 16, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:55LSU 4th & 10 at MCN 38, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:55MCN 4th & 6 at MCN 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:28LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 39, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:42MCN 4th & 15 at MCN 20, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:28LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 37, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:22MCN 4th & 14 at MCN 42, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MCN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 8:16LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:58LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:47LSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:37LSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:30MCN Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MCNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Cody Orgeron run for 6 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Stephon Huderson run for no gain to the McNSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Eemil Herranen punt for 31 yds, downed at the LSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 5:3399% → 99%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+21
99.1%
Armoni Goodwin run for 21 yds to the McNSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the McNSt 36Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
99.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the McNSt 35Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+1
99.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the McNSt 34Similar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+7
99.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the McNSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+3
99.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 3 yds to the McNSt 26Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+7
99.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the McNSt 19Similar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Max Johnson sacked by Earenest Grayson III for 0 yards to the McNSt 29Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+19
98.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 19 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:341% → 2%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.8%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Josh Matthews for 12 yds to the McNSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the McNSt 40Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
98.8%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+11
98.8%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Josh Matthews for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+10
98.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 10 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
98.7%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-3
98.8%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Stephon Huderson for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 43Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Maason Smith for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 22
50
0
98.4%
Eemil Herranen punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2298% → 98%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.4%
Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 19Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+16
98.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 16 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 6 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
98.5%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
98.5%
Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-1
98.2%
Max Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 44 fumbled, recovered by LSU Corey KinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
98.0%
Deonta McMahon run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
98.0%
Deonta McMahon run for no gain to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
98.1%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
98.0%
Callum Eddings punt for 29 yds, downed at the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1298% → 98%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
98.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.0%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the LSU 18Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
98.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
97.9%
Avery Atkins punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:392% → 2%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
50
0
97.9%
Callum Eddings punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:1198% → 97%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
97.9%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
97.9%
Armoni Goodwin run for 2 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+24
97.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 24 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
98.0%
Max Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+41
97.4%
Avery Atkins punt for 41 yds MCNEESE ST Penalty, Running Into the kicker on SAMUEL, Tahj ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 3:143% → 3%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
97.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the McNSt 20Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
97.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the McNSt 23Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+7
97.5%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 7 yds to the McNSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.4%
Cody Orgeron run for a loss of 2 yards to the McNSt 28Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+4
97.5%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Mason Pierce for 4 yds to the McNSt 32Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-4
97.1%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the McNSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:4497% → 98%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
97.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 21 yds to the McNSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 4 yds to the McNSt 3Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 3 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:232% → 2%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 6 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
97.8%
Cody Orgeron run for a loss of 4 yards to the McNSt 27Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Callum Eddings punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:5498% → 98%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
97.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kole Taylor for 5 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+5
97.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 5 yds to the McNSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
97.9%
Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the McNSt 40Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
97.9%
Trey Palmer run for 3 yds to the McNSt 37Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
97.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 4 yds to the McNSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
97.9%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
97.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Josh Williams for 1 yd to the McNSt 30Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
97.9%
Max Johnson sacked by Joey McNeely for 0 yards to the McNSt 37Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 14
OPP 37
+55
98.2%
Cade York 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Deonta McMahon run for no gain to the McNSt 25Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Deonta McMahon run for 2 yds to the McNSt 27Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
98.0%
Cody Orgeron run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 26Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+3
98.0%
Callum Eddings punt for 40 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 3 yds to the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2798% → 98%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.3%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.3%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+6
97.9%
Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Avery Atkins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the McNSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
97.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the McNSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2198% → 98%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.0%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
98.0%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
97.9%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
97.6%
Avery Atkins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the McNSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:412% → 2%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.9%
Cody Orgeron run for 2 yds to the McNSt 22Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+10
97.9%
ORGERON, Cody sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the MCN13 (CLARK, Damone). PENALTY LSU Illegal use of the hands on SMITH, Maason enforced 10 yards from the MCN22 to the MCN32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 5
OWN 37
+30
97.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 30 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
97.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
97.4%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Andre Anthony and Cameron Lewis for 0 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 16
OPP 39
0
97.8%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Andre Anthony for 0 yards to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 24
OPP 47
0
97.8%
Callum Eddings punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:5798% → 98%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
98.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 21 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+5
98.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Alex Adams for 5 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
98.1%
Avery Atkins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the McNSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 3:202% → 2%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
97.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the McNSt 19Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
97.7%
ORGERON, Cody sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the MCN19 (GUILLORY, Jacobian). PENALTY MCN Holding on NEASON, Hezekiah LSU Holding on STINGLEY JR., Derek , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
97.7%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+10
97.7%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Eli Ricks) to the McNSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.5%
Cody Orgeron sacked by BJ Ojulari for 0 yards to the McNSt 24Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+5
97.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the McNSt 29Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
97.7%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Andre Anthony for 0 yards to the McNSt 21Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 21
OWN 21
+1
97.9%
Callum Eddings punt for 29 yds , Koy Moore returns for 1 yd to the McNSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.2%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
98.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 14 yds to the McNSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
98.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 11 yds to the McNSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
98.2%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the McNSt 20Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+10
98.2%
Max Johnson run for 10 yds to the McNSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.2%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the McNSt 6Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 6 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.2%
Deonta McMahon run for 3 yds to the McNSt 25Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Deonta McMahon run for 2 yds to the McNSt 27Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Maason Smith for 0 yards to the McNSt 16Similar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 16
OWN 16
0
99.3%
Callum Eddings punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:5799% → 100%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
50
0
99.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
50
+9
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Deion Smith for 9 yds to the McNSt 41Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
99.3%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the McNSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
99.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
99.9%
Cade York 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Dontay Hargrove for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 24Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Deonta McMahon for 11 yds to the McNSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Deonta McMahon run for no gain to the McNSt 35Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Deonta McMahon for 4 yds to the McNSt 39Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Callum Eddings punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Leon Young for 0 yards to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kole Taylor for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Avery Atkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the McNSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the McNSt 28Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the McNSt 30Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Desmond Little for 0 yards to the McNSt 20Similar
Q4 8:42
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Callum Eddings punt for 30 yds , Deion Smith returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 10
50
+15
99.9%
NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Deion thrown to the MCN20. PENALTY MCN Pass Interference on JOYCE, Chris enforced 15 yards from the LSU50 to the MCN35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the McNSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 23 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 27TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Deonta McMahon run for 4 yds to the McNSt 25Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+32
99.9%
Deonta McMahon run for 32 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Deonta McMahon run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-4
99.9%
Deonta McMahon run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 44Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+44
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Carlos Williams for 44 yds for a TD Timeout LSU, clock 04:30 (Nolan Heitmeier KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, Offsides (Isaiah Chambers) to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+20
99.9%
Avery Atkins punt for 37 yds , Mason Pierce returns for 20 yds to the McNSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Maason Smith for 0 yards to the McNSt 42Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Cody Orgeron run for no gain to the McNSt 42Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 14
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Callum Eddings punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-6
99.9%
run for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:47
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 6 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 6:58
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 3 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
+0.7
FG · Q4 14:55
Cade York 56 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com