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MIZ

Missouri 28 at Kentucky 35

UK
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:42 · Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+5.1Home team on offense+6.8Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:04: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 17 yds for a TD — MIZ win probability +8.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:19: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +9.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:15: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +11.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:11: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +20.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:28: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +22.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:45MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:00MIZ 4th & 15 at UK 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:09MIZ 4th & 5 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q3 8:10UK 4th & 10 at UK 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:42MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:57UK 4th & 6 at UK 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:23MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:07UK 4th & 1 at MIZ 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%−1.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:30MIZ 4th & 13 at UK 45, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    5.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:52UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:13UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:27MIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:26UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:19UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:15MIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:11MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:28UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0865% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+64
65.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 64 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
65.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
65.1%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Misso 5Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
65.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0734% → 34%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
65.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
65.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
65.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 1 yd to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
65.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
66.3%
Grant McKinniss punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:3266% → 72%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
66.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
66.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
66.1%
Will Levis run for 8 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
66.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+15
66.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
67.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 19 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
67.0%
Will Levis sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 35Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+9
66.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+8
66.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
67.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
67.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for no gain to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+14
66.9%
Levis,Will pass incomplete to Robinson,Wan'Dale PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference (Abrams-Draine,Kris) 14 yards from MIZ16 to MIZ02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4030% → 34%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.5%
Mookie Cooper run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+24
70.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
50
+15
70.1%
Bazelak,Connor pass intercepted by Dort Jr.,Cedrick at UKY25, End Of Play PENALTY UKY Pass Interference (Ajian,Tyrell) 15 yards from UKY50 to UKY35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
69.7%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+14
69.5%
Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
69.5%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
69.5%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
69.8%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.5%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Kent 1Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q1 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
70.7%
PENALTY MIZ False Start (Hea,Niko) 5 yards from UKY01 to UKY06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:3568% → 69%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.2%
Rodriguez Jr.,Christopher rush for 3 yards gain to the UKY28 (Nicholson,Devin; Evans,Akayleb) PENALTY MIZ Offside (Robinson,Darius) 5 yards from UKY25 to UKY30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+8
68.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.9%
Will Levis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:5233% → 31%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
66.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 15 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
66.3%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-10
66.4%
Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete to Chism,Keke QB hurried by Paschal,Joshua PENALTY MIZ Holding (Cook,Case) 10 yards from UKY37 to UKY47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+4
67.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 4 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
67.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
68.8%
Grant McKinniss punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 3:3468% → 78%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
68.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Akial Byers) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
68.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
68.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
68.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+15
68.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 15 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+49
69.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 49 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
70.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.7%
Will Levis run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:1725% → 25%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
74.6%
Chance Luper pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
74.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 16 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
74.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+5
74.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 5
50
0
75.1%
Grant McKinniss punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9Uncategorized
11 plays · 80 yds · 0:0080% → 81%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
80.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
79.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
78.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
79.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 14 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
80.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
80.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
50
+10
80.7%
Will Levis run for 10 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
80.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
80.6%
Will Levis run for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+7
80.1%
Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
80.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 21 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 1:3721% → 29%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
79.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 8 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
78.8%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
80.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 9 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+17
78.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 17 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
78.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
78.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Daniel Parker Jr.Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+16
79.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 16 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
70.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 17 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.5%
run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3328% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.2%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
72.5%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:0876% → 85%
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
75.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+31
75.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 31 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0417% → 31%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
83.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacquez Jones) to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
81.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 4 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
81.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 5 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+7
80.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Niko HeaSimilar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
80.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 9 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+4
80.9%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
80.0%
Connor Bazelak run for 11 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
80.0%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
68.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0576% → 76%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey SmokeSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
75.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
75.5%
Wilson Berry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:2827% → 25%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance LuperSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
73.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 11 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
71.2%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
72.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance LuperSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+6
73.0%
Connor Bazelak run for 6 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 4
OPP 46
-5
72.6%
PENALTY MIZ Delay Of Game 5 yards from UKY46 to MIZ49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
75.0%
Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:4578% → 78%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
78.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+11
78.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 11 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
78.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 11 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.3%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
78.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
79.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
77.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 4:4625% → 47%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
75.5%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
74.3%
Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
74.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 5 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+16
73.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 16 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke ChismSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
72.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
72.1%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+9
71.8%
Mookie Cooper run for 9 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
71.8%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Kent 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
72.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Daniel Parker Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+12
74.5%
Connor Bazelak run for 12 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
71.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 6 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
71.7%
Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete to Chism,Keke PENALTY MIZ Holding (Badie,Tyler) 11 yard from UKY06 to UKY17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
73.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+17
53.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4360% → 88%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
59.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
61.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 28 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
64.6%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+28
64.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 28 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
87.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0519% → 18%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.4%
Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
79.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+7
81.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 7 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+5
80.2%
PENALTY UKY Offside (Jones,Jacquez) 5 yards from MIZ44 to MIZ49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
78.3%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
81.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 6:1687% → 95%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
87.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
87.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-5
87.4%
Will Levis sacked by Devin Nicholson for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+33
86.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 33 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
89.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
89.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
88.6%
Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
89.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+5
89.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+3
88.6%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+37
95.4%
Matt Ruffolo 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:376% → 3%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
94.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 13 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
94.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-8
94.2%
Connor Bazelak sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3096% → 96%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
96.4%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-1
96.5%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+2
96.4%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:28
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+22.9
TD · Q4 13:11
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
-20.7
TD · Q3 9:15
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com