Try the model
UAB

UAB 7 at Georgia 56

UGA
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:01 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 33 yds to the UAB 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+30.3Home team on offense+26.5Score differential+19.6Blowout margin+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8Garbage-time factor+4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 14:22: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 73 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UAB win probability +0.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 10:17: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 12 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +0.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:14: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 89 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +1.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:09: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 61 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:42: James Cook run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:47UAB 4th & 18 at UAB 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:39UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:28UAB 4th & 17 at UAB 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:23UAB 4th & 9 at UGA 41, down 28
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:20UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:34UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 43, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:01UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 9, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:55UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:30UAB 4th & 1 at UGA 41, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:00UAB 4th & 4 at UGA 30, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:02UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, down 56
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:20UGA 4th & 3 at UAB 44, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:22UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:17UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:14UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:09UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:13UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:42UGA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:11UGA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:14UGA Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:02UAB Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3094% → 94%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.0%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
93.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 73 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 1:156% → 6%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
93.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
93.8%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 21Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-10
93.8%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (-10 Yards) to the UAB 11Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+6
93.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
93.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kalen Jackson at the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:1794% → 94%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
93.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 10 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
93.7%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
93.7%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
93.6%
James Cook run for 1 yd to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
93.6%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
93.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 12 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4INT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:226% → 6%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
94.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
93.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
93.9%
Tyler Johnston III run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
50
+1
93.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-8
93.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Lewis Cine return for 8 yds to the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5094% → 94%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
94.2%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
94.2%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
94.2%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
94.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 39 yds, fair catch by J.J. Green at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:526% → 6%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
93.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 8 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+16
93.7%
Brown Jr., Jermaine rush for 8 yards to the UAB39, PENALTY GEORGIA face mask 16 yards to the GEORGIA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UAB.Similar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
93.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
93.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-8
93.5%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Adam Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
93.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
1 play · 89 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+89
95.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 89 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:154% → 4%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
95.7%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Nazir Stackhouse for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+3
95.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
95.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
97.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 61 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:282% → 2%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 17 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
97.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 16 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
98.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 6 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-5
98.1%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5598% → 98%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 60 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:352% → 1%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
98.5%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 15
OWN 13
0
98.5%
RaJae' Johnson-Sanders run for no gain to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+5
98.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 5 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
98.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+10
98.6%
Greenwell, Kyle punt 47 yards to the GEORGIA35, Jackson, Kearis return 34 yards to the UAB31, PENALTY GEORGIA holding 10 yards to the GEORGIA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UAB.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
98.5%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-1
98.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds to the GEORGIA 49 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
98.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to John FitzPatrick for 6 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-4
98.6%
James Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:201% → 1%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
99.1%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+12
99.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 1
OWN 16
-5
99.0%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+5
99.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 16
-7
99.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 9 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by UABSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+33
99.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 33 yds to the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:3399% → 99%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.0%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+3
99.0%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
98.9%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
99.1%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to John FitzPatrickSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:131% → 1%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.4%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 4 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.5%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.5%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+13
99.5%
Zamir White run for 13 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+20
99.6%
Stetson Bennett run for 20 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
James Cook run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:080% → 0%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
Johnston III, Tyler pass incomplete to Johnson-Sanders, RaJae', PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference 12 yards to the UAB37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UAB.Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.7%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Kelee Ringo return for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+32
99.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 32 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.7%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+15
99.7%
Beck, Carson pass incomplete, PENALTY UAB pass interference 15 yards to the UAB12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Justin Robinson for 12 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 6:000% → 0%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
99.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+5
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for no gain to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 30
-4
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Channing Tindall for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:56100% → 100%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Jaylen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 12 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 8 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.9%
Carson Beck run for 15 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
99.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
99.9%
Kendall Milton run for 10 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-13
99.9%
Carson Beck run for a loss of 13 yards to the UAB 15Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Brett SeitherSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 0
OPP 15
+32
99.9%
Jack Podlesny 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-20
100.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted for a TD Jamon Dumas-Johnson return for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25INT TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+32
99.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
100.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
100.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-61
100.0%
Carson Beck pass intercepted for a TD Keondre Swoopes return for 61 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Anthony Summey run for 7 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
100.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
Anthony Summey run for 4 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Anthony Summey run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+1
100.0%
Anthony Summey run for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:120% → 0%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
100.0%
Larry Wooden run for 23 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
100.0%
Larry Wooden run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:09
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 61 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q1 1:14
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 89 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q1 10:17
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 12 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com