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ALST

Alabama State 0 at Auburn 62

AUB
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadALST aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreALST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:10 · Aubrey Grace punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+38.4Home team on offense+17.2Score differential+14.9Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Garbage-time factor+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:39: Anders Carlson 23 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:31: Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:14: Nehemiah Pritchett 80 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Anders Carlson Kick) — AUB win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:10: AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Aub 30 — AUB win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:01: Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 28 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ALST made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 14:04ALST 4th & 2 at ALST 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18AUB 4th & 2 at ALST 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:17ALST 4th & 2 at ALST 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:39AUB 4th & 6 at ALST 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:28ALST 4th & 13 at ALST 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:00AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:14ALST 4th & 3 at AUB 3, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:47ALST 4th & 9 at ALST 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:06AUB 4th & 5 at AUB 38, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:26ALST 4th & 2 at ALST 23, down 20
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:10ALST 4th & 6 at AUB 39, down 20
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:39ALST 4th & 6 at ALST 41, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:47ALST 4th & 8 at ALST 27, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:26ALST 4th & 5 at ALST 30, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:14ALST 4th & 10 at ALST 25, down 62
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q2 11:31AUB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:14AUB Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:01AUB Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:07AUB Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:25AUB Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:59AUB Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:33AUB Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:44AUB Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Harris) to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.5%
Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Jacory MerrittSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Aubrey Grace punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:39100% → 99%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 10 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+27
99.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 27 yds to the AlbSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 40Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+15
99.5%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AlbSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 12 yds to the AlbSt 13 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 23Similar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 8
OPP 23
+3
99.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
99.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 16Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-1
99.3%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 17Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
99.3%
Anders Carlson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:581% → 1%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 2 yds to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Wallace Corker for 9 yds to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.2%
Jacory Merritt run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 38Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the AlbSt 45Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
99.1%
Myles Crawley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 44Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+12
99.1%
Aubrey Grace punt blocked by Barton Lester blocked by Barton LesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4FG
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:3199% → 99%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Caylin NewtonSimilar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.1%
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 23Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-10
99.0%
AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 18
OPP 33
+24
99.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 24 yds to the AlbSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for no gain to the AlbSt 9Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 6 yds to the AlbSt 3Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.9%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 1Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 0
OPP 1
-5
98.8%
AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 6Similar
Q1 2:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
98.9%
Anders Carlson 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
98.8%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 6 yds to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-4
98.7%
Ryan Nettles sacked by Brenden Coffey for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 22Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Aubrey Grace punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:4499% → 99%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
98.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Aub 41Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+4
98.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
98.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 14 yds to the AlbSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
98.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 8 yds to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+11
98.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 11 yds to the AlbSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
98.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 14 yds to the AlbSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
98.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 6Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 7TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:141% → 1%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+5
98.8%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Wallace Corker for 5 yds to the AlbSt 35Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
98.7%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jacory Merritt for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.6%
Jacory Merritt run for 6 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-2
98.5%
Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 46Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+11
98.5%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 11 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
98.4%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 22 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (7 Yards) to the Aub 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.3%
Myles Crawley run for 1 yd to the Aub 5Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.3%
Myles Crawley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.4%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Terrance Ellis for 2 yds to the Aub 3Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+80
99.2%
Nehemiah Pritchett 80 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Anders Carlson Kick)Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.4%
AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Aub 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.2%
Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 28Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.3%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Keron Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Aubrey Grace punt for 41 yds, downed at the Aub 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3799% → 99%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tank BigsbySimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 5 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Oscar Chapman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Robert McMinn at the AlbSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.2%
Jared Daniels run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 17Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+7
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jared Daniels for 7 yds to the AlbSt 24Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-1
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Abdou Diop for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 23Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+23
99.2%
Aubrey Grace punt for 32 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 23 yds to the AlbSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-4
99.5%
Bo Nix sacked by Joshua Long for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 36 Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Joshua Long, recovered by AlbSt Nicholas Terry , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.1%
Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 35Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+11
99.2%
Ryan Nettles run for 11 yds to the AlbSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
99.1%
Ryan Nettles sacked by T.D. Moultry for a loss of 7 yards to the AlbSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Tevin SharpeSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Wallace Corker for 4 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Keron JonesSimilar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Aubrey Grace punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 12Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+14
99.1%
Tank Bigsby run for 14 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+51
99.2%
Tank Bigsby run for 51 yds to the AlbSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.2%
AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 28Similar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 28 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jared Daniels run for no gain to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Keron Jones for 10 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.8%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Keron Jones for 8 yds to the AlbSt 43Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+11
99.8%
Jared Daniels run for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
99.8%
Ryan Nettles run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 49 Ryan Nettles fumbled, forced by Marquis Burks, recovered by Aub Colby WoodenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:08100% → 100%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
99.8%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Demetris Robertson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 17INT TD
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 31Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Tevin Sharpe for 5 yds to the AlbSt 36Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-35
99.9%
Ryan Nettles pass intercepted for a TD Roger McCreary return for 35 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the AlbSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jared Daniels run for no gain to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to E'Shawn Mayes for 12 yds to the AlbSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Ryan Nettles run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 39Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Ryan Nettles pass complete to Tevin Sharpe for 2 yds to the AlbSt 41Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Terrance EllisSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+21
99.9%
Aubrey Grace punt for 44 yds , Devin Guice returns for 21 yds to the AUBURN 38 AUBURN Penalty, Clipping (10 Yards) to the Aub 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:16100% → 100%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
99.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for 25 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 49 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Jared Daniels run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 29Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AlbSt 34Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Myles Crawley pass incomplete to Grantis PooleSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Myles Crawley run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Aubrey Grace punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21TD
1 play · 94 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+94
99.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for 94 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Dante Norris run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 29Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
100.0%
Joe Owens Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the AlbSt 22 Joe Owens Jr. fumbled, recovered by AlbSt Dante NorrisSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
100.0%
Joe Owens Jr. run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Aubrey Grace punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 7:16100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Sean Jackson run for 9 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 46Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 43Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+17
100.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Canion for 17 yds to the AlbSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 7 yds to the AlbSt 19Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+3
100.0%
Jordon Ingram run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
100.0%
Jordon Ingram run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 11Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+3
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 8Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 3Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 5Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
100.0%
Sean Jackson 4 Yd Run (Ben Patton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Robert Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 19Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Robert Rivers run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 21Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
100.0%
Myles Crawley run for 9 yds to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Aubrey Grace punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25Uncategorized
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
100.0%
Jay Sharp run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 36 Jay Sharp fumbled, recovered by Aub Jay SharpSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+10
100.0%
Jay Sharp run for 10 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+8
100.0%
Jay Sharp run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Jay Sharp run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 42Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-3
100.0%
Jay Sharp run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:14
Nehemiah Pritchett 80 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Anders Carlson Kick)
+0.8
TD · Q3 12:01
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 28 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 11:31
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com