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ETSU

East Tennessee State 23 at Vanderbilt 3

VAN
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:40 · J.Saylors rushed to VAN 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by N.Clifton at VAN 40.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+33.6Home team on offense−0.1Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:24: T.Riddell pass complete to VAN 5. Catch made by M.Murray at VAN 5. Gain of 5 yards. M.Murray for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ETSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:29: T.Keltner 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ETSU, Holder-ETSU. — ETSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:29: Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 33 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Davis; M.Owusu at ETSU 33. — VAN win probability +4.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:36: K.Seals rushed to VAN 27 for -13 yards. K.Seals FUMBLES, forced by D.Manuel. Fumble RECOVERED by ETSU-S.Scott at VAN 27. S.Scott for yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ETSU win probability +11.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:33: T.Keltner 34 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ETSU, Holder-ETSU. — ETSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ETSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:49VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:56ETSU 4th & 3 at ETSU 8, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:19VAN 4th & 6 at ETSU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:20ETSU 4th & 4 at ETSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:56VAN 4th & 1 at ETSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:21VAN 4th & 21 at ETSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:40ETSU 4th & 1 at VAN 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:54VAN 4th & 11 at ETSU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:54VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:29ETSU 4th & 8 at VAN 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:01VAN 4th & 11 at ETSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:52ETSU 4th & 5 at VAN 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:33VAN 4th & 6 at ETSU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:36VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57ETSU 4th & 13 at ETSU 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−3.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:33ETSU 4th & 7 at VAN 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ETSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:24ETSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:0591% → 91%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.7%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 34 for 9 yards. Tackled by D.Davis at VAN 34.Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
90.7%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 34. Catch made by W.Sheppard at VAN 34. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at VAN 44.Similar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.6%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
90.6%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Delince at VAN 48.Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
90.5%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+51
90.5%
H.Smith punts 51 yards to ETSU 1, Center-VAN. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2310% → 10%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
90.4%
T.Riddell rushed to ETSU 4 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.James; D.Davis at ETSU 4.Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
90.2%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 8 for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at ETSU 8.Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
90.0%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for M.Murray.Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+39
90.1%
G.Taylor punts 39 yards to ETSU 47, Center-ETSU. Fair catch by C.Johnson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3090% → 90%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
90.1%
R.Davis rushed to ETSU 43 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Manuel at ETSU 43.Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
89.9%
R.Davis rushed to ETSU 43 for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Scott at ETSU 43.Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
89.7%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+43
89.5%
H.Smith punts 43 yards to ETSU End Zone, Center-VAN. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5011% → 11%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.4%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 20. Catch made by M.Murray at ETSU 20. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by VAN at ETSU 24.Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
89.2%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 24. Catch made by N.Adkins at ETSU 24. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by VAN at ETSU 26.Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
89.1%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 26. Catch made by Q.Holmes at ETSU 26. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Mahoney at ETSU 26.Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+44
89.0%
G.Taylor punts 44 yards to VAN 30, Center-ETSU. Fair catch by C.Johnson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5FG
13 plays · 35 yds · 3:5089% → 88%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
88.8%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.8%
P.Smith rushed to VAN 34 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Manuel at VAN 34.Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+31
88.3%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 34. Catch made by C.Pierce at VAN 34. Gain of 31 yards. Tackled by ETSU at ETSU 35.Similar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
88.8%
P.Smith rushed to ETSU 27 for 8 yards. Tackled by S.Scott; D.Davis at ETSU 27.Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
88.7%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson.Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
88.5%
P.Smith rushed to ETSU 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Scott at ETSU 26.Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
88.2%
K.Seals rushed to ETSU 24 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Dorsey; M.Evans at ETSU 24.Similar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
88.6%
R.Davis rushed to ETSU 18 for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at ETSU 18.Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-5
88.4%
PENALTY on VAN-B.Ashmore, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-12
88.3%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals sacked at ETSU 35 for -12 yards (C.Lakes)Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 21
OPP 35
0
87.7%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for R.Davis.Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 21
OPP 35
0
87.8%
J.Bulovas 53 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-VAN, Holder-VAN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:3512% → 13%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
J.Saylors rushed to ETSU 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by E.McAllister at ETSU 27.Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
88.0%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 27. Catch made by W.Huzzie at ETSU 27. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by J.Mahoney at ETSU 32.Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
87.9%
J.Saylors rushed to ETSU 36 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Orji at ETSU 36.Similar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.7%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for M.Murray. PENALTY on VAN-G.Jeudy-Lally, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
86.8%
PENALTY on ETSU-B.Austin, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
87.2%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for M.Murray.Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+3
87.3%
J.Saylors rushed to ETSU 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at ETSU 49.Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
87.0%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for ETSU. PENALTY on VAN-A.Orji, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+6
86.6%
T.Riddell pass complete to VAN 46. Catch made by N.Adkins at VAN 46. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by M.Worship at VAN 40.Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
86.6%
J.Saylors rushed to VAN 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by N.Clifton at VAN 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:4787% → 85%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
87.1%
M.Wright pass complete to VAN 40. Catch made by W.Sheppard at VAN 40. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by S.Scott at ETSU 47.Similar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
87.3%
M.Wright rushed to ETSU 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by S.Scott; R.Wright at ETSU 41.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-1
87.3%
M.Wright rushed to ETSU 42 for -1 yards. Tackled by S.Scott at ETSU 42.Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+1
86.9%
M.Wright rushed to ETSU 33 for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by Q.Smith at ETSU 33. PENALTY on VAN-B.Bresnahan, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+15
86.1%
M.Wright scrambles to ETSU 36 for 15 yards. Tackled by D.Manuel at ETSU 36.Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
87.0%
M.Wright pass complete to ETSU 36. Catch made by C.Pierce at ETSU 36. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ETSU at ETSU 29.Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-8
86.8%
M.Wright steps back to pass. M.Wright sacked at ETSU 37 for -8 yards (J.Harrison)Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
86.0%
M.Wright steps back to pass. M.Wright pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson.Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+37
85.2%
H.Smith punts 37 yards to ETSU End Zone, Center-VAN. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:2114% → 23%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+43
85.6%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 20. Catch made by M.Murray at ETSU 20. Gain of 43 yards. Tackled by J.Mahoney at VAN 37.Similar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
84.3%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 32 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Wright at VAN 32.Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+11
83.6%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 21 for 11 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at VAN 21.Similar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
83.1%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 20 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.McAllister at VAN 20.Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
82.8%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for Q.Holmes.Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
83.4%
T.Riddell pass complete to VAN 20. Catch made by I.Wilson at VAN 20. Gain of yards. Tackled by VAN at VAN 9. PENALTY on ETSU-ETSU, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 14
OPP 25
+19
83.7%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 6 for 19 yards. Tackled by B.Harris at VAN 6.Similar
Q2 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
82.5%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 5 for 1 yards. Tackled by N.Clifton; C.James at VAN 5.Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.1%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for W.Huzzie.Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
77.5%
T.Riddell pass complete to VAN 5. Catch made by M.Murray at VAN 5. Gain of 5 yards. M.Murray for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2679% → 78%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.1%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Dorsey at VAN 30.Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
79.1%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 33 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Dorsey at VAN 33.Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
78.6%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for R.Davis.Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+43
77.5%
H.Smith punts 43 yards to ETSU 24, Center-VAN. Fair catch by A.Huzzie.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:1722% → 32%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
77.7%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 32 for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Worship at ETSU 32.Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+4
76.8%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 32. Catch made by J.Saylors at ETSU 32. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by A.Orji; B.Anderson at ETSU 36.Similar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
76.7%
J.Saylors rushed to ETSU 39 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Orji at ETSU 39.Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
75.9%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for W.Huzzie.Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+36
76.2%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 39. Catch made by W.Huzzie at ETSU 39. Gain of 36 yards. Tackled by J.Mahoney at VAN 25.Similar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
74.1%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Davis at VAN 23.Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
73.8%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for M.Murray.Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
72.7%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for W.Huzzie.Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
67.9%
T.Keltner 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ETSU, Holder-ETSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:2370% → 68%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
70.2%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 25. Catch made by B.Bresnahan at VAN 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by S.Scott at VAN 36.Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
69.8%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 38 for 2 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ETSU at VAN 38. PENALTY on VAN-M.Warden, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 18
OWN 28
0
68.8%
K.Seals scrambles to VAN 28 for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Scott at VAN 28. PENALTY on ETSU-J.Porter, Offensive Facemask, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
70.5%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 43. Catch made by C.Pierce at VAN 43. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ETSU at ETSU 49.Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+5
71.6%
K.Seals pass complete to ETSU 49. Catch made by C.Johnson at ETSU 49. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by K.Delince at ETSU 44.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
71.8%
K.Seals pass complete to ETSU 44. Catch made by W.Sheppard at ETSU 44. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at ETSU 45.Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
71.2%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for C.Pierce.Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
69.9%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 11
OPP 45
+34
68.3%
H.Smith punts 34 yards to ETSU 11, Center-VAN. Fair catch by A.Huzzie.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:2533% → 34%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
66.6%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 14 for 3 yards. Tackled by N.Clifton at ETSU 14.Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+23
66.1%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 37 for 23 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.George at ETSU 37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 6:0835% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.1%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at ETSU 31.Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
63.4%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 36 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Barr; G.Jeudy-Lally at ETSU 36.Similar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
62.6%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 41 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Orji at ETSU 41.Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
60.7%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 50 for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Worship at ETSU 50.Similar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+1
58.7%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 49 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at VAN 49.Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+37
58.4%
Q.Holmes rushed to VAN 12 for 37 yards. Tackled by J.Mahoney at VAN 12.Similar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
56.4%
J.Saylors rushed to VAN 16 for -4 yards. Tackled by M.Worship at VAN 16.Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+10
55.6%
T.Riddell pass complete to VAN 16. Catch made by J.Saylors at VAN 16. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at VAN 6.Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-1
55.0%
T.Riddell pass complete to VAN 6. Catch made by Q.Holmes at VAN 6. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by N.Clifton at VAN 7.Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
53.0%
T.Keltner 25 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ETSU, Holder-ETSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 5:0952% → 43%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.2%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Manuel at VAN 29.Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
52.0%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Price; S.Scott at VAN 34.Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
51.0%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Price; M.Evans at VAN 36.Similar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
51.1%
M.Wright steps back to pass. M.Wright pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
50.6%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 45 for 9 yards. Tackled by K.Delince at VAN 45.Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
51.3%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Manuel at VAN 48.Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
49.4%
M.Wright rushed to VAN 48 for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Scott at VAN 48.Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+14
48.0%
M.Wright pass complete to VAN 48. Catch made by C.Johnson at VAN 48. Gain of 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Delince at ETSU 38.Similar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
48.7%
M.Wright pass complete to ETSU 38. Catch made by C.Pierce at ETSU 38. Gain of yards. C.Pierce for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on VAN-T.Steen, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+2
46.8%
M.Wright rushed to ETSU 41 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Manuel at ETSU 41.Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+7
46.3%
M.Wright pass complete to ETSU 41. Catch made by W.Sheppard at ETSU 41. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by ETSU at ETSU 34.Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
45.7%
M.Wright steps back to pass. M.Wright pass incomplete intended for C.Pierce.Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
42.7%
M.Wright steps back to pass. M.Wright pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0959% → 64%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
41.0%
J.Saylors rushed to ETSU 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Orji at ETSU 37.Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
39.0%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 37. Catch made by W.Huzzie at ETSU 37. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by J.Mahoney at ETSU 42.Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
38.0%
D.Twitty rushed to ETSU 45 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Barr; M.Owusu at ETSU 45.Similar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
35.9%
T.Riddell scrambles to ETSU 46 for 1 yards. Tackled by VAN at ETSU 46.Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
34.7%
PENALTY on ETSU-ETSU, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
35.7%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for I.Wilson.Similar
Q3 0:18
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+9
36.3%
J.Saylors rushed to ETSU 50 for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Worship at ETSU 50.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1735% → 30%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
35.2%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 15 for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Evans at VAN 15.Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
34.3%
R.Davis rushed to VAN 17 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Delince; S.Scott at VAN 17.Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
31.1%
M.Wright steps back to pass. M.Wright pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson.Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+53
29.7%
H.Smith punts 53 yards to ETSU 30, Center-VAN. Fair catch by A.Huzzie.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:3266% → 77%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
33.9%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 33 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Davis; M.Owusu at ETSU 33.Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
29.7%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 35 for 2 yards. Tackled by E.McAllister at ETSU 35.Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+16
29.3%
T.Riddell pass complete to ETSU 35. Catch made by W.Huzzie at ETSU 35. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by J.Mahoney at VAN 49.Similar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
25.5%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 48 for -3 yards. Tackled by M.Owusu; A.Orji at ETSU 48.Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 13
OWN 48
0
24.2%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 48 for 0 yards. Tackled by N.Clifton at ETSU 48.Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
21.6%
T.Riddell steps back to pass. T.Riddell pass incomplete intended for M.Murray.Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 13
OWN 48
+32
22.7%
G.Taylor punts 32 yards to VAN 20, Center-ETSU. Downed by D.Twitty.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:1122% → 11%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+14
22.0%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 15. Catch made by W.Sheppard at VAN 15. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by K.Delince at VAN 29.Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
23.1%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 29. Catch made by W.Sheppard at VAN 29. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by K.Delince; B.Bockrath at VAN 35.Similar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
22.2%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson.Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
21.8%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 35. Catch made by C.Johnson at VAN 35. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by K.Delince at VAN 40.Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
10.8%
K.Seals rushed to VAN 27 for -13 yards. K.Seals FUMBLES, forced by D.Manuel. Fumble RECOVERED by ETSU-S.Scott at VAN 27. S.Scott for yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20INT
13 plays · 74 yds · 2:528% → 5%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
7.7%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 20. Catch made by C.Pierce at VAN 20. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at VAN 27.Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
8.0%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 27. Catch made by B.Bresnahan at VAN 27. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by K.Delince at VAN 30.Similar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
7.5%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard. PENALTY on ETSU-A.Huzzie, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
8.1%
K.Seals scrambles to VAN 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by ETSU at VAN 48. PENALTY on ETSU-ETSU, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
8.2%
K.Seals pass complete to ETSU 37. Catch made by W.Sheppard at ETSU 37. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at ETSU 30. PENALTY on VAN-T.Steen, Chop Block, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 25
OWN 48
+11
7.3%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 48. Catch made by R.Davis at VAN 48. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at ETSU 41.Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+9
7.3%
K.Seals pass complete to ETSU 41. Catch made by W.Sheppard at ETSU 41. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by A.Huzzie at ETSU 32.Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+7
7.7%
K.Seals pass complete to ETSU 32. Catch made by C.Johnson at ETSU 32. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by T.Robinson at ETSU 25.Similar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
7.7%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for R.Davis.Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+19
7.4%
K.Seals scrambles to ETSU 6 for 19 yards. Tackled by M.Price at ETSU 6.Similar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.7%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson.Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
5.3%
K.Seals pass INTERCEPTED at ETSU 1. Intercepted by K.Delince at ETSU 1. Tackled by VAN at VAN 4.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 21FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4096% → 99%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
4.3%
J.Saylors rushed to VAN 13 for 6 yards. Tackled by N.Clifton at VAN 13.Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
3.4%
J.Saylors rushed to VAN 13 for 0 yards. Tackled by E.Barr at VAN 13.Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-3
3.4%
J.Saylors rushed to VAN 16 for -3 yards. Tackled by A.Orji at VAN 16.Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
1.5%
T.Keltner 34 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ETSU, Holder-ETSU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22INT
8 plays · 69 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
1.4%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 10. Catch made by D.Boddie at VAN 10. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by Q.Smith; K.Delince at VAN 21.Similar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
1.4%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 21. Catch made by W.Sheppard at VAN 21. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by B.Bockrath at VAN 32.Similar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
1.4%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 32. Catch made by P.Smith at VAN 32. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by Q.Smith at VAN 42.Similar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
1.3%
K.Seals pass complete to VAN 42. Catch made by D.Boddie at VAN 42. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by Q.Smith at ETSU 47.Similar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
1.3%
K.Seals steps back to pass. K.Seals pass incomplete intended for W.Sheppard.Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
1.3%
K.Seals pass complete to ETSU 47. Catch made by W.Sheppard at ETSU 47. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by C.Hope at ETSU 32.Similar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
1.4%
K.Seals pass complete to ETSU 32. Catch made by D.Boddie at ETSU 32. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by Q.Smith at ETSU 21.Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
1.4%
K.Seals pass INTERCEPTED at ETSU End Zone. Intercepted by S.Arnold at ETSU End Zone. ETSU ran out of bounds. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.9%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 21 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Barr; F.Afemui at ETSU 21.Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
0.8%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 24 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Barr; M.Owusu at ETSU 24.Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
0.8%
Q.Holmes rushed to ETSU 27 for 3 yards. Tackled by F.Afemui; A.Orji at ETSU 27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:36
K.Seals rushed to VAN 27 for -13 yards. K.Seals FUMBLES, forced by D.Manuel. Fumble RECOVERED by ETSU-S.Scott at VAN 27. S.Scott for yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-11
TD · Q2 7:24
T.Riddell pass complete to VAN 5. Catch made by M.Murray at VAN 5. Gain of 5 yards. M.Murray for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-5.1
FG · Q2 2:29
T.Keltner 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-ETSU, Holder-ETSU.
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com