Try the model
UAB

UAB 31 at Jacksonville State 0

JXST
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2021 · Cramton Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:28 · Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior−6.0Home team on offense−44.4Score differential−26.8Garbage-time factor−15.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:53: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +5.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:37: Timeout JACKSONVILLE ST, clock 02:37 — UAB win probability +2.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:35: Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 23 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +6.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:55: Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete — JXST win probability +2.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:51: Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:50JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11JXST 4th & 10 at UAB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:41JXST 4th & 4 at JXST 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:32UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:25JXST 4th & 14 at JXST 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:37JXST 4th & 14 at JXST 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:00UAB 4th & 5 at JXST 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:49JXST 4th & 6 at UAB 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:58JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47JXST 4th & 14 at JXST 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:05UAB 4th & 13 at JXST 35, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:28JXST 4th & 10 at UAB 36, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:55JXST 4th & 11 at JXST 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:43JXST 4th & 11 at JXST 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:30UAB 4th & 19 at UAB 48, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:12UAB 4th & 19 at UAB 48, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 4:53UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:35UAB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:51UAB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:35UAB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1012% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
12.2%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the JaxSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
12.3%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Sean Brown for 5 yds to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
12.7%
Josh Samuel run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 49Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-4
13.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for a loss of 4 yards to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
13.2%
Jack Dawson punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:1487% → 86%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
13.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
13.5%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Matthew Trehern) to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
13.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
14.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
14.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 46 DeWayne McBride fumbled, forced by Marshall Clark, recovered by JaxSt Jaylen SwainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1215% → 15%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
14.7%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
14.7%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to P.J. Wells for 5 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-5
15.0%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, False Start (Ye'Majesty Sanders) to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
15.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
14.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 5:1485% → 82%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
15.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+9
15.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 9 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
15.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+4
15.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
15.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 49Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-1
16.0%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 6
50
+3
16.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 47Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-5
17.1%
UAB Penalty, Delay of Game (Tyler Johnston III) to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
17.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 4:0418% → 20%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
18.0%
Josh Samuel run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 25Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
18.4%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, False Start (Zack Cangelosi) to the JaxSt 20Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
18.9%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Isaiah Montgomery for 7 yds to the JaxSt 27Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
19.0%
Zerrick Cooper run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
19.6%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, False Start (Michael Shaddix) to the JaxSt 26Similar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
19.5%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
20.2%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Josh Samuel for 6 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
20.4%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Josh SamuelSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-4
20.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 48 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5680% → 78%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
19.8%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
20.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
20.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+7
21.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 yds , Quan Charleston returns for 7 yds to the JaxSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:0223% → 22%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
22.6%
Wiggins, Ron rush for 1 yard to the JAXVILLEST41, PENALTY JAXVILLEST holding (Hill, Cam) 10 yards to the JAXVILLEST30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+11
22.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to P.J. Wells for 11 yds to the JaxSt 41Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
23.2%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the JaxSt 41Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
23.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 9
OWN 41
-5
22.3%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, False Start (La'Derrick Bell) to the JaxSt 36Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
22.3%
Jack Dawson punt for 61 yds, downed at the UAB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 5:3178% → 84%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
22.5%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Trea Shropshire) to the UAB 2Similar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+10
22.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 1
OWN 12
-6
22.6%
Johnston III, Tyler pass complete to Prince, Gerrit for 52 yards to the JAXVILLEST36, PENALTY UAB holding (Trehern, Matthew) 6 yards to the UAB6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+5
23.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+5
24.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
22.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+46
23.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 46 yds to the JaxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
21.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 35Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+30
21.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Ryan Davis for 30 yds to the JaxSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
21.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 3Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
15.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 1:5719% → 19%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
19.4%
Pat Jackson run for 11 yds to the JaxSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
20.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Pat Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 43Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+2
20.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Leeshoen Jarrett for 2 yds to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-5
19.9%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Wegener) to the JaxSt 40Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 14
OWN 40
0
19.3%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Damond Philyaw-Johnson) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
18.9%
Jack Dawson punt blocked by Grayson Cash, recovered by Cash at the JaxSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3084% → 85%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
16.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 11Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
15.6%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 10Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
16.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
15.5%
Matt Quinn 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4117% → 17%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
16.9%
Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
16.6%
Josh Samuel run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2083% → 91%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
16.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 32 yds to the JaxSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
15.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the JaxSt 35Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+11
15.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the JaxSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
15.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 23Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
8.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 23 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:2610% → 11%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
10.4%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Michael Pettway for 12 yds to the JaxSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
10.8%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
10.5%
Pat Jackson run for 11 yds to the JaxSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
11.3%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
11.2%
Zerrick Cooper run for 6 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-2
11.4%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Pat Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
10.7%
Jack Dawson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:3991% → 93%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
9.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+6
9.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
9.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 25 yds to the JaxSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
8.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 36Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-15
7.9%
Johnston III, Tyler pass complete to Davis, Ryan for 11 yards to the JAXVILLEST25, PENALTY UAB personal foul (McBride, DeWayne) 15 yards to the UAB49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+14
7.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds to the JaxSt 37Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+13
7.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 13 yds to the JaxSt 24 DeWayne McBride fumbled, forced by George Steele, recovered by JaxSt Stevonte TullisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5710% → 9%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
9.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
9.3%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Pat Jackson for 2 yds to the JaxSt 26Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-5
9.3%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, False Start (Leeshoen Jarrett) to the JaxSt 21Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 13
OWN 21
0
9.2%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:10
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+5
9.1%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaylen Key) to the JaxSt 26Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
9.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 46 yds, downed at the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:5893% → 99%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
6.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 13 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
6.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+42
6.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 42 yds to the JaxSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
1.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:593% → 2%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
3.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to P.J. Wells for 24 yds to the JaxSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
3.2%
Zerrick Cooper run for 5 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 5
50
-15
3.0%
Ron Wiggins run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Sean Brown) to the JaxSt 39Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+2
2.7%
Zerrick Cooper run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 41Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+4
2.7%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 4 yds to the JaxSt 45Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
2.4%
Jack Dawson punt for 48 yds, downed at the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:3598% → 99%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
1.6%
Larry Wooden run for 1 yd to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+4
1.6%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+6
1.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 6 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
1.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+32
1.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 32 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+19
1.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 19 yds to the JaxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
1.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
0.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for no gain to the JaxSt 31Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-4
0.9%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by DJ Coleman and Lemuel Gordon for a loss of 4 yards to the JaxSt 35Similar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+52
1.0%
Matt Quinn 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:222% → 1%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
1.6%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Leeshoen Jarrett for 5 yds to the JaxSt 40Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
1.7%
UAB Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the JaxSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
1.4%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Pat Jackson for 4 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
1.5%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
1.2%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
1.2%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
1.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:3899% → 100%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis IV for 9 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+11
0.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 11 yds to the JaxSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
0.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 42Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+42
0.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 42 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass complete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson for 1 yd to the JaxSt 26Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Braydon HillSimilar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
0.1%
Zerrick Cooper run for 9 yds to the JaxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Quan CharlestonSimilar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Zerrick Cooper pass incomplete to Ron WigginsSimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
0.1%
JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Zerrick Cooper) to the JaxSt 30Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Zerrick Cooper run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 34Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+28
0.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 28 yds to the JaxSt 43Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+28
0.1%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 28 yds to the JaxSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
0.1%
A.J. Gates run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 40Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
0.1%
A.J. Gates run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 40Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-2
0.1%
A.J. Gates run for a loss of 2 yards to the JaxSt 42Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-5
0.1%
Tyetus Smith-Lindsey run for a loss of 5 yards to the JaxSt 47Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 14
OPP 47
-5
0.2%
UAB Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
0.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
0.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
0.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:35
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 23 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-6.9
TD · Q2 4:53
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q3 2:51
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com