Try the model
EIU

Eastern Illinois 0 at South Carolina 46

SC
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:02 · Logen Neidhardt punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+19.2Home team on offense+33.9Score differential+27.5Blowout margin+14.5Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:23: Nick Muse 4 Yd pass from Zeb Noland (Nick Muse Run for Two-Point Conversion) — EIU win probability +0.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:25: Jaheim Bell 3 Yd pass from Zeb Noland (Parker White Kick) — SC win probability +0.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q1 0:49: run for 6 yds to the EIlln 32 — SC win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:49: Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:34: Zeb Noland pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 10 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:02SC 4th & 4 at SC 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29EIU 4th & 12 at EIU 23, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25SC 4th & 3 at EIU 3, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:49EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:23SC 4th & 6 at SC 43, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:33EIU 4th & 27 at EIU 41, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:22EIU 4th & 7 at SC 46, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:17SC 4th & 5 at EIU 40, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:10SC 4th & 7 at EIU 18, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:02EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 34, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:15EIU 4th & 9 at EIU 38, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:18EIU 4th & 1 at SC 42, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:52EIU 4th & 13 at EIU 32, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:52SC 4th & 1 at SC 49, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:23SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:25SC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:49SC Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:34SC Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:24SC Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:44SC Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5797% → 97%
Q1 14:59
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
96.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
96.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.6%
pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:3397% → 96%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.6%
run for no gain to the EIlln 27Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
96.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the EIlln 26Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+10
96.6%
Zeb Noland run for 10 yds to the EIlln 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
96.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the EIlln 14Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+6
96.6%
Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the EIlln 8Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+4
96.6%
ZaQuandre White run for 4 yds to the EIlln 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.4%
Nick Muse 4 Yd pass from Zeb Noland (Nick Muse Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:544% → 4%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.3%
Harrison Bey-Buie run for 2 yds to the EIlln 27Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
96.3%
Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Chris Katrenick sacked by Brad Johnson for 0 yards to the EIlln 23Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
96.2%
Logen Neidhardt punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 5:0496% → 96%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
96.1%
ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the EIlln 42Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
96.1%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+15
96.1%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 15 yds to the EIlln 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
96.2%
Zeb Noland pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 9 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-1
96.2%
ZaQuandre White run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 19Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-5
96.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 24Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+15
96.1%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 15 yds to the EIlln 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
96.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the EIlln 7Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.2%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.1%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the EIlln 3Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.2%
Jaheim Bell 3 Yd pass from Zeb Noland (Parker White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:364% → 5%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.1%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Xander Richards for 7 yds to the EIlln 32Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
96.0%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Tyler Hamilton for 4 yds to the EIlln 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Chris Katrenick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.1%
Markenzy Pierre run for no gain to the EIlln 36Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.1%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Xander Richards for 5 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
95.3%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:0096% → 98%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
96.2%
run for 6 yds to the EIlln 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
96.2%
run for 3 yds to the EIlln 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
96.1%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the EIlln 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.2%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the EIlln 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
96.2%
Juju McDowell run for no gain to the EIlln 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
96.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, fumbled snap, , score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap False Start enforced (TEAM) to the EIlln 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
96.1%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Russell Dandy) to the EIlln 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
96.2%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the EIlln 7Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
97.8%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:053% → 2%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.5%
Markenzy Pierre run for 6 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
97.4%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 12 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
97.4%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Robbie Lofton for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 41Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+1
97.4%
Chris Katrenick run for 1 yd to the EIlln 42Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
97.5%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the EIlln 42Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
97.6%
#80 L.Neidhardt punt 52 yards to the USC6, #6 J.Vann return 16 yards to the USC22 (#2 M.Aitken), score nullified by penalty. PENALTY USC Personal Foul on #0 D.Williams declined; USC Holding on #17 X.Legette enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the USC12 to the USC6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
97.6%
#80 L.Neidhardt punt 52 yards to the USC6, #6 J.Vann return 16 yards to the USC22 (#2 M.Aitken), score nullified by penalty. PENALTY USC Personal Foul declined; USC Holding on #17 X.Legette enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the USC12 to the USC6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 4:2198% → 98%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
97.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+15
97.8%
Zeb Noland pass complete to OrTre Smith for 15 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
97.8%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 8 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
97.8%
Zeb Noland pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 8 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.9%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cooper Willman at the EIlln 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:502% → 2%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.6%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Tyler Hamilton for 5 yds to the EIlln 43Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+15
97.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
97.5%
Kendi Young run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
97.4%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Tyler Hamilton for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 21
OWN 47
0
97.8%
Chris Katrenick sacked by Aaron Sterling and Zacch Pickens for 0 yards to the EIlln 41Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 27
OWN 41
0
97.8%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 0:5998% → 100%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
98.2%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Nick Muse for 11 yds to the EIlln 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.2%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+15
98.2%
ZaQuandre White run for 15 yds to the EIlln 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
98.3%
ZaQuandre White run for 7 yds to the EIlln 19Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+9
98.3%
ZaQuandre White run for 9 yds to the EIlln 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.5%
Zeb Noland pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 10 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Markenzy Pierre run for 2 yds to the EIlln 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:381% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Tyler Hamilton for 9 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.3%
Markenzy Pierre run for 2 yds to the EIlln 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
#9 C.Katrenick pass up the middle intercepted by #12 J.Foster at the EIU40 intended for #6 T.Hamilton. Foster return for 33 yards to the EIU7, out of bounds, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY USC Offsides enforced 5 yards from the EIU36 to the EIU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 5
OWN 41
-2
99.5%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Markenzy Pierre for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 39Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+12
99.5%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Tyler Hamilton for 12 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.5%
Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
99.5%
Chris Katrenick run for 3 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-5
99.5%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+1
99.5%
DeWayne Cooks Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Logen Neidhardt punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:12100% → 100%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.7%
Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+2
99.6%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Juju McDowell for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-10
99.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Muse) to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+15
99.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 15 yds to the EIlln 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.8%
Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 3 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
99.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the EIlln 38Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-2
99.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 40Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+19
99.7%
Zeb Noland pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 19 yds to the EIlln 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Zeb Noland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
99.8%
Parker White 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Kendi Young run for no gain to the EIlln 25Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to DeWayne Cooks Jr. for 9 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Markenzy Pierre run for no gain to the EIlln 34Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Logen Neidhardt punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 9 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+9
99.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 9 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
99.8%
Jahmar Brown pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 18 yds to the EIlln 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Jahmar Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.8%
Jahmar Brown pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 12 yds to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the EIlln 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-3
99.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 27Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Jahmar Brown sacked for 0 yards to the EIlln 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Harrison Bey-Buie run for 1 yd to the EIlln 38Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Chris Katrenick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Chris Katrenick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Logen Neidhardt punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.9%
Jahmar Brown pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
ZaQuandre White run for 8 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Jahmar Brown pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
ZaQuandre White run for 63 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 19INT TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
Chris Katrenick run for 11 yds to the EIlln 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.9%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Markenzy Pierre for 8 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Chris Katrenick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Markenzy Pierre run for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Chris Katrenick run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-61
99.9%
Jordan Burch 61 Yd Interception Return (Mitch Jeter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:520% → 0%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Harrison Bey-Buie run for 1 yd to the EIlln 26Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
100.0%
Chris Katrenick pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 9 yds to the EIlln 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
100.0%
Kendi Young run for a loss of 7 yards to the EIlln 28Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 17
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Chris Katrenick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Kendi Young run for 4 yds to the EIlln 32Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Logen Neidhardt punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 43 yds · 4:52100% → 100%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.9%
Juju McDowell run for 9 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+19
99.9%
Colten Gauthier pass complete to Trey Adkins for 19 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the EIlln 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Bradley Dunn run for 2 yds to the EIlln 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Bradley Dunn run for 2 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:49
Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 0:34
Zeb Noland pass complete to ZaQuandre White for 10 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+1.2
KEY PLAY · Q1 0:49
run for 6 yds to the EIlln 32
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com