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LSU

LSU 27 at UCLA 38

UCLA
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:10 · Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−5.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:20: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 75 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +7.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:52: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:56: Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 44 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 1:07: Cade York 33 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:00: Brittain Brown 1 Yd Run (Nicholas Barr-Mira Kick) — UCLA win probability +18.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 5LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:14UCLA 4th & 17 at LSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:12LSU 4th & 18 at LSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:10UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:20LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:07LSU 4th & 9 at UCLA 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    39.4%−0.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:53LSU 4th & 7 at UCLA 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−6.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:52UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 32, up 4
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50LSU 4th & 8 at LSU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:38UCLA 4th & 2 at LSU 25, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%−1.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−10.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:07LSU 4th & 2 at UCLA 15, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%−1.9
    83% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−14.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:05LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 35, down 11
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:19LSU 4th & 1 at UCLA 47, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 12:34LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:20UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:49UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:52UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:56LSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:00UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:31UCLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:08LSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3143% → 44%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
43.0%
Brittain Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
43.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+36
43.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 36 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
43.5%
Kazmeir Allen run for 1 yd to the LSU 38Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
43.6%
Kazmeir Allen run for 4 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-12
43.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Ali A - Gaye and - 0 for a loss of 12 yards to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 17
OPP 46
+36
43.6%
Luke Akers punt for 36 yds , Trey Palmer returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 9 Trey Palmer fumbled, recovered by LSU Trey PalmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:2056% → 56%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
43.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 15 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
43.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+17
43.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 17 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
43.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+1
44.2%
Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the LSU 44 Max Johnson Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Mitchell Agude, recovered by LSU Tyrion Davis-PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2345% → 44%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
44.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+3
44.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-1
44.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+7
44.4%
Luke Akers punt for 53 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 7 yds to the LSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 4:0355% → 54%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
44.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
44.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+7
45.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
44.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
44.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 7 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
44.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 5 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
44.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
44.5%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-10
44.9%
Max Johnson sacked by Bo Calvert for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 43Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 18
OWN 43
+48
46.4%
Avery Atkins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 18 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (9 Yards) to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:4446% → 46%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
46.0%
Brittain Brown run for 6 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+9
46.4%
Brittain Brown run for 9 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
46.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
46.7%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-1
46.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Navonteque Strong for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
45.9%
Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:2754% → 62%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
45.7%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
45.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 10 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.8%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Devonta LeeSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+33
45.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 18 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
44.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 14 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
44.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
44.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 3 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
48.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 75 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3053% → 52%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
46.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
47.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
47.8%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrion Davis-PriceSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
48.4%
Avery Atkins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:1849% → 58%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
48.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 20 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
50.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
49.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+35
48.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 35 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
51.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 4 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
58.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:2844% → 42%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
55.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Josh Williams for 17 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
54.8%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
55.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 2
50
+10
54.5%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Quentin Lake) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
55.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 3 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
55.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 3 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
55.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jack BechSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-5
57.0%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
57.9%
Avery Atkins punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:0059% → 60%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
58.8%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+9
59.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 9 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+3
58.7%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
60.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 17Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
60.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass intercepted Eli Ricks return for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:2844% → 47%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
55.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 11 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
55.4%
Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Palmer, Trey (Team, -), PENALTY UCLA pass interference (A - Knight, Qwuantrezz) 15 yards to the UCLA7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU, QB hurry by Team, -, QB hit by Team, -.Similar
Q2 4:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.5%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q2 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
57.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q2 3:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
52.6%
Cade York 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5055% → 54%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-9
54.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Andre A - Anthony and - 0 for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+17
53.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 17 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+12
54.0%
Luke Akers punt for 49 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 12 yds to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5746% → 43%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
54.5%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
55.0%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
56.1%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
56.9%
Avery Atkins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:2656% → 56%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-14
56.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by BJ Ojulari for a loss of 14 yards to the UCLA 16 UCLA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the UCLA 16Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 24
OWN 16
+13
55.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 13 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0344% → 46%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.0%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
53.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
55.1%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
55.3%
Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 36Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
56.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+12
57.4%
Max Johnson run for 12 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-34
53.6%
Max Johnson pass intercepted Caleb Johnson return for 34 yds to the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:3262% → 75%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
61.7%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
61.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
75.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3227% → 44%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.8%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
73.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
73.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 20 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
56.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 44 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:3266% → 72%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
66.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
62.0%
Brittain Brown run for 19 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
64.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 23 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
66.7%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+4
65.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
72.4%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:2333% → 40%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
67.0%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
67.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 10 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
66.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
66.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+12
67.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 12 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
66.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+12
63.9%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 12 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
64.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Trey PalmerSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
65.0%
Max Johnson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
68.5%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
60.3%
Cade York 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:4767% → 88%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
66.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
68.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
69.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+43
69.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 43 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
72.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-10
72.8%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Greg Dulcich) to the LSU 20Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 14
OPP 20
0
72.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Zach CharbonnetSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+19
69.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 19 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.7%
Brittain Brown 1 Yd Run (Nicholas Barr-Mira Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1016% → 13%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
83.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 4 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
83.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 1 yd to the LSU 35Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
85.5%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
86.6%
Avery Atkins punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:2889% → 98%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
88.6%
Brittain Brown run for 12 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
89.2%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+11
89.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-9
90.9%
UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 19
OWN 36
+18
90.5%
Brittain Brown run for 18 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
91.5%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
91.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
92.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+45
98.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 45 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:123% → 9%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.0%
Max Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+17
97.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 17 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
97.6%
Max Johnson sacked by Mitchell Agude for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 39 Max Johnson fumbled, recovered by LSUSimilar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+14
98.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 14 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
97.8%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
91.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 45 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 16 yds · 3:3595% → 97%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
94.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+10
95.6%
Brittain Brown run for 10 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.7%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
96.6%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+5
96.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 14
OPP 18
-4
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 18
OPP 22
-4
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:00
Brittain Brown 1 Yd Run (Nicholas Barr-Mira Kick)
+18.5
TD · Q3 8:56
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 44 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q3 10:52
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Chase Cota for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com