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ULM

UL Monroe 10 at Kentucky 45

UK
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · Jakyle Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:13: Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 33 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +0.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:20: Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 58 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +0.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:40: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:44: Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:54: Matt Ruffolo 45 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 4:29ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:17ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:39ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:08ULM 4th & 11 at UK 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:11ULM 4th & 20 at ULM 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:24UK 4th & 2 at UK 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:13UK 4th & 11 at UK 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:34ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:54UK 4th & 18 at ULM 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:07ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:50UK 4th & 18 at ULM 27, up 24
    Close callWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:28ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:50UK 4th & 6 at ULM 31, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:25ULM 4th & 2 at UK 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:39ULM 4th & 10 at UK 11, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:53ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:13UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:20UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:40UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:44UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:07UK Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:00UK Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:0196% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
96.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.1%
Will Levis pass intercepted Jabari Johnson return for no gain to the Kent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2TD
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:574% → 6%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
96.0%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the Kent 42Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-4
95.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+14
95.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 14 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
95.8%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
95.7%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+15
95.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 15 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
95.5%
Kadyn Roach run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 16Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-1
95.4%
Rhett Rodriguez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 13
OPP 17
-7
95.3%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Yusuf Corker for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 24Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 20
OPP 24
+12
95.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Kent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
95.1%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+1
94.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the Kent 7Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+2
94.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Kent 4Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
94.5%
Kadyn Roach 3 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:2695% → 95%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
94.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
94.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+5
94.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
94.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 19 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
94.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the KENTUCKY 48 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
94.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 33 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:366% → 6%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.4%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
94.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 1 yd to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
94.2%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
94.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 34 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Kent 42 Wan'Dale Robinson fumbled, recovered by Kent Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
95.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 58 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:535% → 6%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.7%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
94.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 11 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
94.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 8
50
0
94.3%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Zach RasmussenSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
50
-1
94.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 49Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
94.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 6:3295% → 96%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
94.5%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
94.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+9
94.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Formation (Tre Odom) to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
94.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
94.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
94.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
94.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
94.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+23
93.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 23 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
94.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-10
93.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+16
93.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 16 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
93.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:535% → 5%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Zach RasmussenSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.8%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
94.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:3495% → 95%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
95.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the Kent 43 Kavosiey Smoke fumbled, recovered by LaMon , return for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:426% → 5%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.4%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Will DerrickSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
94.4%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Chris Oats and - Team for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
94.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Kadyn RoachSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
94.7%
Devyn McCormick punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0995% → 98%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+62
94.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 62 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
95.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 5
OPP 13
-5
95.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Chris Rodriguez Jr.) to the LaMon 18Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
95.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
97.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:303% → 3%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
97.1%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
97.2%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Zach RasmussenSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-9
97.3%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
97.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
97.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+8
97.8%
Will Levis run for 8 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
97.9%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
97.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Rahsaan Lewis for 4 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
97.8%
Wilson Berry punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:423% → 2%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.5%
Rhett Rodriguez run for no gain to the LaMon 16Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
97.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 8 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
97.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Jared SparksSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 40 yds, downed at the Kent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:1598% → 98%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey SmokeSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
97.9%
Will Levis sacked by Zack Woodard and TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 3:482% → 2%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
97.6%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
97.5%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 8 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Kadyn Roach run for no gain to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Boogie KnightSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+14
97.7%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 14 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
97.5%
Boogie Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 13
OWN 49
-9
97.7%
Rhett Rodriguez sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 22
OWN 40
-9
97.8%
Colby Suits sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 31
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 43 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for 5 yds to the Kent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4798% → 98%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 5 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
98.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-8
98.2%
Will Levis sacked by Ty Shelby for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
98.0%
Wilson Berry punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:342% → 2%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-8
98.0%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Jordan Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:3598% → 99%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
98.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
98.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by #Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+57
98.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 57 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
98.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 5 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-10
98.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by KentSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 15
OPP 24
-3
98.0%
Will Levis sacked by Ty Shelby for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+45
98.7%
Matt Ruffolo 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
98.6%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 29Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
98.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 49 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:5599% → 100%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+24
98.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 24 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
99.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 21 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+15
98.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
99.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Rhett Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
99.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 31 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Beau Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Beau Allen pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 4 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Beau Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 6
OPP 31
-10
99.9%
Beau Allen sacked by Quincy Ledet Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 41 Beau Allen fumbled, recovered by LaMon Ty Shelby , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 5:060% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 5 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Kadyn Roach run for 2 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
100.0%
Abraham Alce run for 3 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
100.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+1
100.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+9
100.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 9 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
100.0%
Abraham Alce run for 5 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-5
100.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 11Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Will DerrickSimilar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
100.0%
Calum Sutherland 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Michael Drennen II run for 3 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
99.9%
Beau Allen pass complete to Tae Tae Crumes for 10 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
100.0%
Beau Allen pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 31 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
100.0%
Michael Drennen II run for 9 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
100.0%
Beau Allen pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 7 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Travis Tisdale run for 4 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
100.0%
Beau Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Michael Drennen II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jakyle Holmes run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Jakyle Holmes run for 10 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
100.0%
Jakyle Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:44
Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 10:40
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q1 4:20
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 58 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com