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AKR

Akron 10 at Auburn 60

AUB
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:00 · Anthony Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+43.3Home team on offense+5.0Score differential+2.1Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Garbage-time factor+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:55: Tank Bigsby run for 32 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson PAT MISSED) — AKR win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:14: Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 19 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:44: Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 28 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:13: Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 14:52: Bo Nix pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 34 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AKR win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 14 of 14
  1. Q1 9:23AKR 4th & 28 at AKR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:23AKR 4th & 28 at AKR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:32AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:32AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:37AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 32, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:05AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:05AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:06AKR 4th & 12 at AUB 47, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:50AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 20, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:58AUB 4th & 10 at AKR 42, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:58AKR 4th & 5 at AUB 40, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:43AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 23, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:51AKR 4th & 3 at AUB 27, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:48AKR 4th & 13 at AUB 23, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:55AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:14AUB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:44AUB Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:13AUB Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:49AUB Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:41AUB Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:28AKR Touchdown, down 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:28AUB Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
16 plays · 4 yds · 5:372% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.5%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
98.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for 7 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.5%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
98.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 3 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 37Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
98.4%
Jonzell Norrils run for 6 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
98.4%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Kato Nelson run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
98.4%
Kato Nelson run for 13 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 23
OWN 34
+5
98.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 23
OWN 34
+5
98.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 28
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 47 ydsSimilar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 28
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2898% → 98%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
98.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
98.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
50
+9
98.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 9 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+9
98.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 9 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
97.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 32 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson PAT MISSED)Similar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
97.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 32 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 2:182% → 2%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.8%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-4
97.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Derick Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-2
97.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Marcus Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
97.6%
Ethan Slike punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ja'Varrius Johnson at the Aub 34Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
97.6%
Ethan Slike punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ja'Varrius Johnson at the Aub 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:1898% → 98%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
97.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
50
+9
97.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 9 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+19
97.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 19 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
97.7%
Bo Nix run for 7 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
97.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+8
97.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 8 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
97.7%
Bigsby,Tank rush for 6 yards gain to the AKR03 (Jackson, Jr.,Ronald), out of bounds PENALTY AUB Holding (Troxell,Austin) 10 yards from AKR09 to AKR19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
98.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 19 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 9 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.7%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Nate) 5 yards from AKR25 to AKR20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
97.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 8 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
97.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jr. Oran Singleton for 6 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.7%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Williams,Nate) 5 yards from AKR25 to AKR20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
97.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Tristian Brank for 8 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
97.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jr. Oran Singleton for 6 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 7 yds · 2:152% → 2%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.5%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.5%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.5%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Gray,Xavior) 5 yards from AKR33 to AKR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.5%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.5%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Gray,Xavior) 5 yards from AKR33 to AKR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.5%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Gray,Xavior) 5 yards from AKR33 to AKR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.5%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Gray,Xavior) 5 yards from AKR33 to AKR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.5%
PENALTY AKR False Start (Gray,Xavior) 5 yards from AKR33 to AKR28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Ethan Slike punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:5399% → 99%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+42
98.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 42 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
50
+8
98.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 8 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+9
98.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 9 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
98.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
98.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+28
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 28 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 20 yds · 2:391% → 1%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for 11 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.3%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
99.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
99.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+2
99.3%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+2
99.3%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9TD
15 plays · 45 yds · 3:5299% → 100%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.3%
Demetris Robertson run for 7 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+7
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 7 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+9
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 9 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 6 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+10
99.3%
Bo Nix run for 10 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.5%
PENALTY AUB False Start (Fromm,Tyler) 5 yards from AKR02 to AKR07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.5%
PENALTY AUB False Start (Fromm,Tyler) 5 yards from AKR02 to AKR07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
15 plays · 28 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 17 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 17 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 9 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
99.7%
Kato Nelson sacked by Colby Wooden for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Ethan Slike punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 7 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+10
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 10 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 14 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.6%
Bo Nix run for 15 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 13 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe HudsonSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 6 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+44
99.7%
Anders Carlson 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
98.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 34 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+31
99.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 31 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 7 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+13
99.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 13 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 26 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14SF
4 plays · -25 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 12:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-7
99.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by T.D. Moultry for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Konata MumpfieldSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+24
99.8%
run for 24 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
99.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 37 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 14 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+6
99.8%
Sean Jackson run for 6 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
TJ Finley run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.9%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Ethan Slike punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
99.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 13 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
Malcolm Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Aub 37 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Frazier) to the Aub 49Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 19
OWN 49
0
99.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Canion for 9 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 6:300% → 0%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for 10 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 1 yd to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+24
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 24 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Jonzell Norrils run for 7 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
DJ Irons run for 2 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Anthony Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+22
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Anthony Williams Jr. for 22 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
100.0%
DJ Irons run for 9 yds to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 3 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
DJ Irons run for 2 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jonzell Norrils for 4 yds for a TD (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
99.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Malcolm Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20FG
16 plays · 40 yds · 8:550% → 0%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 2 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for 10 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
100.0%
Irons,DJ pass incomplete to Qualls, Jr.,George PENALTY AKR Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Brank,Tristian) 5 yards from AKR49 to AKR44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for 6 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 21
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
DJ Irons run for 4 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+24
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 24 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 28
-6
100.0%
DJ Irons sacked by Marquis Burks for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+7
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jr. Tony Grimes for 7 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Jr. Oran Singleton for 7 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Jonzell Norrils run for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
100.0%
DJ Irons sacked by Marquis Burks for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+2
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
100.0%
Cory Smigel 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
100.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 20 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
100.0%
Sean Jackson run for 16 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
100.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 14 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
100.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Michael Mathison for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
100.0%
PENALTY AKR Delay Of Game 5 yards from AKR30 to AKR25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:52
Bo Nix pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 34 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
-0.8
TD · Q2 9:44
Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 28 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q1 1:14
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 19 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com